Sunday, January 4, 2026
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
VGK 55%Deserve to win 45% CHI
VGK CHI
2.56 Expected goals 2.31
2 Goals (no shootout) 3
2.20 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.42
41 Shot attempts 58
31 Unblocked attempts 37
15 Shots on goal 20
Shot map
VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → CHI shoots
Kaedan Korczak: backhand, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:29)
Colton Sissons: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 0:31)
Pavel Dorofeyev: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 2:01)
Mitch Marner: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:23)
Keegan Kolesar: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:36)
Nick Lardis: tip-in, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:53)
Mark Stone: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:51)
Colton Dach: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 8:21)
Colton Dach: poke, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:22)
Ben Hutton: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:51)
Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:24)
Artyom Levshunov: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:18)
Jack Eichel: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:05)
Matt Grzelcyk: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:35)
Tomas Hertl: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:45)
Colton Sissons: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 16:23)
Alex Vlasic: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:09)
Ben Hutton: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:50)
Matt Grzelcyk: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:27)
Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 1:41)
Jason Dickinson: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 1:49)
Alexander Holtz: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:33)
Kaedan Korczak: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:37)
Colton Sissons: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 3:56)
Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 4:57)
Colton Dach: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:21)
Alexander Holtz: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 8:28)
Landon Slaggert: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:48)
Colton Dach: bat, 13 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:49)
Artyom Levshunov: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:19)
Ryan Donato: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:20)
Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:02)
Colton Dach: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:02)
Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 14:42)
Mitch Marner: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:13)
Tomas Hertl: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:14)
Jack Eichel: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:37)
Tomas Hertl: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 15:58)
Andre Burakovsky: deflected, 24 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 17:12)
Tomas Hertl: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 18:12)
Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:40)
Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:44)
Jack Eichel: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:34)
Ryan Greene: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 5:38)
Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:10)
Louis Crevier: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:53)
Kaedan Korczak: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:35)
Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 11:35)
Pavel Dorofeyev: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:53)
Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:57)
Cole Reinhardt: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 13:09)
Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 13:32)
Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 15:14)
Ryan Greene: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 15:34)
Ryan Greene: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:35)
Oliver Moore: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:35)
Jack Eichel: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:44)
Brett Howden: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:45)
Ryan Greene: backhand, 167 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:48)
Jack Eichel: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:14)
Jack Eichel: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.27 (P3 16:17)
Connor Murphy: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:15)
Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 0:59)
Brandon Saad: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 10:40)
Tyler Bertuzzi: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:38)
Mark Stone: GOAL, wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 0:43)
Tyler Bertuzzi: GOAL, wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 11:36)
Tyler Bertuzzi: GOAL, snap, 6 ft, xG 0.32 (OT 1:18)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Vegas Golden Knights
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Akira Schmid
20 3 17
.850
2.31
-0.69
Chicago Blackhawks
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Vegas Golden Knights
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
9 Jack Eichel C
+1.65
+0.70
+0.35
+0.46
+0.15
-0.01
0.00
—
21:40
61 Mark Stone R
+1.52
+0.75
+0.13
+0.56
0.00
-0.02
+0.10
—
19:56
15 Noah Hanifin D
+1.52
+0.55
0.00
+0.91
0.00
0.00
+0.06
—
23:37
26 Alexander Holtz R
+1.25
+0.55
+0.15
+0.44
0.00
+0.01
+0.10
—
11:21
20 Brandon Saad L
+1.25
+0.75
+0.12
+0.35
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
12:14
17 Ben Hutton D
+0.98
0.00
+0.03
+0.74
0.00
0.00
+0.21
—
20:20
21 Brett Howden C
+0.98
+0.70
+0.04
+0.27
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
13:29
5 Jeremy Lauzon D
+0.91
0.00
0.00
+0.90
-0.15
0.00
+0.16
—
18:21
6 Kaedan Korczak D
+0.87
0.00
+0.02
+0.83
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
20:40
10 Colton Sissons C
+0.63
0.00
+0.24
+0.37
0.00
+0.04
-0.02
—
13:17
55 Keegan Kolesar R
+0.52
0.00
+0.05
+0.46
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
10:35
23 Cole Reinhardt L
+0.38
0.00
+0.05
+0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
9:51
49 Ivan Barbashev L
+0.30
0.00
+0.08
+0.21
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:32
48 Tomas Hertl C
-0.02
0.00
+0.28
-0.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:14
93 Mitch Marner R
-0.08
0.00
+0.03
-0.08
0.00
+0.01
-0.04
—
19:35
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R
-0.31
0.00
+0.09
-0.40
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
17:15
40 Akira Schmid G
-0.69
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.69
61:18
2 Zach Whitecloud D
-0.72
0.00
0.00
-0.87
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
19:16
88 Jaycob Megna D
-0.97
0.00
0.00
-0.78
-0.15
0.00
-0.04
—
15:41
Chicago Blackhawks
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L
+3.58
+2.25
+0.58
+0.76
0.00
-0.02
+0.01
—
19:01
28 Andre Burakovsky L
+1.64
+1.10
+0.08
+0.45
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
18:27
20 Ryan Greene C
+1.26
+0.70
+0.20
+0.38
0.00
-0.03
+0.01
—
14:44
55 Artyom Levshunov D
+0.89
+0.55
+0.18
+0.16
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
23:39
40 Arvid Soderblom G
+0.56
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.56
61:09
5 Connor Murphy D
+0.31
0.00
+0.02
+0.22
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
16:09
44 Wyatt Kaiser D
+0.30
0.00
+0.04
+0.28
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
18:44
34 Colton Dach C
0.00
0.00
+0.09
-0.14
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
11:23
86 Teuvo Teravainen C
-0.11
0.00
+0.03
-0.19
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
13:54
48 Matt Grzelcyk D
-0.12
0.00
+0.01
-0.15
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
18:09
17 Nick Foligno L
-0.21
0.00
0.00
-0.21
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:09
72 Alex Vlasic D
-0.25
+0.70
+0.01
-0.99
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
21:13
76 Nick Lardis L
-0.28
0.00
+0.02
-0.28
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
11:33
95 Ilya Mikheyev R
-0.29
+0.70
0.00
-0.93
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
17:33
84 Landon Slaggert L
-0.34
0.00
+0.01
-0.35
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
13:28
16 Jason Dickinson C
-0.46
0.00
+0.16
-0.65
0.00
+0.03
+0.01
—
17:06
11 Oliver Moore C
-0.47
0.00
+0.04
-0.48
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
13:04
8 Ryan Donato C
-0.77
0.00
+0.03
-0.84
0.00
0.00
+0.04
—
18:06
46 Louis Crevier D
-1.29
0.00
0.00
-1.34
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
19:41
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.