Detroit Red WingsDET 5–3 Final Ottawa SenatorsOTT

Monday, January 5, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Detroit Red WingsDET	3	1	1	5	21
Ottawa SenatorsOTT	0	2	1	3	37

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
7:06	DET	Andrew Copp (6) Unassisted · snap xG 0.17	1–0 ▶
13:51	DET	Dylan Larkin (22)PP James van Riemsdyk (3), Alex DeBrincat (21) · wrist xG 0.50	2–0 ▶
19:43	DET	James van Riemsdyk (11) Jacob Bernard-Docker (2), Albert Johansson (6) · snap xG 0.12	3–0 ▶
2nd Period
7:33	OTT	Claude Giroux (9) Fabian Zetterlund (9), Jordan Spence (12) · wrist xG 0.17	3–1 ▶
14:10	OTT	Dylan Cozens (12)PP Jake Sanderson (22), Tim Stützle (25) · wrist xG 0.18	3–2 ▶
15:42	DET	Lucas Raymond (12) J.T. Compher (10), James van Riemsdyk (4) · wrist xG 0.09	4–2 ▶
3rd Period
6:55	OTT	Brady Tkachuk (7) Tim Stützle (26), Drake Batherson (23) · wrist xG 0.11	4–3 ▶
12:53	DET	Michael Rasmussen (6)SH Simon Edvinsson (11) · snap xG 0.20	5–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DET 22%Deserve to win78% OTT

DET		OTT
2.62	Expected goals	4.08
5	Goals (no shootout)	3
1.23	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.77
45	Shot attempts	69
31	Unblocked attempts	58
21	Shots on goal	37

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
20:00	OTT	Goalie change	Goalie change · Shepard in for Meriläinen The start of the 2nd; Meriläinen had allowed 3 goals on 9 shots (1.22 xG)
3rd Period
16:04	OTT	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Shepard, down 5–3 With 3:56 left
16:50	OTT	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced DET 1.27–0.20 In xG over 10 minutes, 6:50 to 16:50 of the 3rd; goals 1–1

Shot map

DET shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ OTT shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Detroit Red Wings

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
18	Andrew Copp	1	0	1	+1	2	0.24	1	0	19:59
71	Dylan Larkin	1	0	1	-1	8	0.71	0	0	18:13
93	Alex DeBrincat	0	1	1	+1	5	0.42	0	0	16:09
22	Mason Appleton	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	4	2	15:48
37	J.T. Compher	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	0	15:07
88	Patrick Kane	0	0	0	+1	7	0.28	0	0	14:31
23	Lucas Raymond	1	0	1	+2	3	0.21	0	0	14:18
27	Michael Rasmussen	1	0	1	+1	1	0.20	1	0	14:05
58	Emmitt Finnie	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	0	0	13:36
21	James van Riemsdyk	1	2	3	+2	3	0.16	0	0	12:44
92	Marco Kasper	0	0	0	-2	3	0.05	3	0	11:37
43	John Leonard	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	0	1	11:03
Defense
53	Moritz Seider	0	0	0	+1	3	0.02	0	2	24:44
77	Simon Edvinsson	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	1	2	23:20
8	Ben Chiarot	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	1	20:17
25	Jacob Bernard-Docker	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	2	1	15:45
20	Albert Johansson	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	14:59
44	Axel Sandin-Pellikka	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	13:32

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
John Gibson	37	3	34	.919	4.08	+1.08

Ottawa Senators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
18	Tim Stützle	0	2	2	+2	4	0.37	0	2	24:42
19	Drake Batherson	0	1	1	0	3	0.13	1	1	19:20
8	Brady Tkachuk	1	0	1	0	7	0.36	3	0	19:01
24	Dylan Cozens	1	0	1	-1	9	1.07	3	0	18:51
12	Shane Pinto	0	0	0	-2	4	0.38	1	0	18:28
71	Ridly Greig	0	0	0	-2	2	0.04	0	1	16:24
28	Claude Giroux	1	0	1	0	4	0.42	1	1	15:36
22	Michael Amadio	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	2	0	12:55
16	David Perron	0	0	0	-1	3	0.25	1	1	12:22
34	Stephen Halliday	0	0	0	-1	3	0.21	1	0	10:54
20	Fabian Zetterlund	0	1	1	0	3	0.23	0	0	10:10
21	Nick Cousins	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	08:16
Defense
85	Jake Sanderson	0	1	1	0	6	0.25	1	4	28:36
72	Thomas Chabot	0	0	0	-3	7	0.17	1	0	20:38
2	Artem Zub	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	2	19:23
10	Jordan Spence	0	1	1	+1	6	0.09	0	0	13:46
43	Tyler Kleven	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	2	0	13:25
4	Nick Jensen	0	0	0	-2	2	0.04	1	0	12:45

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Leevi Meriläinen	9	3	6	.667	1.22	-1.78
Hunter Shepard	12	2	10	.833	1.07	-0.93

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
21 James van Riemsdyk L	+2.43	+2.00	+0.11	+0.34	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:44
23 Lucas Raymond L	+1.29	+0.75	+0.14	+0.25	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	14:18
36 John Gibson G	+1.08	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.08	60:00
18 Andrew Copp C	+0.98	+0.75	+0.16	+0.12	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	—	19:59
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D	+0.98	+0.70	0.00	+0.40	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	15:45
37 J.T. Compher L	+0.94	+0.70	0.00	+0.24	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:07
93 Alex DeBrincat R	+0.93	+0.55	+0.27	+0.12	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	16:09
71 Dylan Larkin C	+0.69	+0.75	+0.46	-0.61	+0.15	-0.04	-0.02	—	18:13
20 Albert Johansson D	+0.52	+0.55	0.00	+0.07	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	14:59
27 Michael Rasmussen C	+0.48	+0.75	+0.13	-0.20	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	—	14:05
77 Simon Edvinsson D	+0.43	+0.70	+0.01	-0.20	-0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	23:20
88 Patrick Kane R	+0.29	0.00	+0.18	+0.11	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:31
22 Mason Appleton C	+0.13	0.00	+0.06	-0.16	+0.15	-0.01	+0.10	—	15:48
53 Moritz Seider D	+0.05	0.00	+0.01	-0.04	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	24:44
43 John Leonard L	-0.05	0.00	+0.13	-0.21	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	11:03
8 Ben Chiarot D	-0.42	0.00	+0.01	-0.48	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	20:17
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D	-0.59	0.00	0.00	-0.64	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	13:32
58 Emmitt Finnie C	-0.64	0.00	+0.02	-0.65	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	13:36
92 Marco Kasper C	-0.78	0.00	+0.03	-0.67	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	11:37

Ottawa Senators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
18 Tim Stützle C	+2.52	+1.25	+0.24	+0.80	+0.15	-0.02	+0.10	—	24:42
28 Claude Giroux R	+1.50	+0.75	+0.27	+0.60	-0.15	+0.02	+0.01	—	15:36
24 Dylan Cozens C	+1.35	+0.75	+0.70	-0.16	0.00	+0.06	0.00	—	18:51
20 Fabian Zetterlund L	+1.32	+0.70	+0.15	+0.53	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	10:10
7 Brady Tkachuk L	+1.31	+0.75	+0.23	+0.34	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	19:01
10 Jordan Spence D	+1.25	+0.55	+0.06	+0.66	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:46
19 Drake Batherson R	+0.89	+0.55	+0.08	+0.24	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	19:20
85 Jake Sanderson D	+0.87	+0.70	+0.16	-0.11	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	28:36
43 Tyler Kleven D	+0.54	0.00	+0.01	+0.67	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	13:25
83 Stephen Halliday C	+0.42	0.00	+0.13	+0.30	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	10:54
21 Nick Cousins C	+0.35	0.00	+0.01	+0.19	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	8:16
57 David Perron L	+0.34	0.00	+0.16	+0.29	-0.15	+0.01	+0.03	—	12:22
72 Thomas Chabot D	+0.03	0.00	+0.11	-0.10	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	20:38
3 Nick Jensen D	+0.01	0.00	+0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:45
12 Shane Pinto C	-0.04	0.00	+0.25	-0.59	+0.30	0.00	0.00	—	18:28
2 Artem Zub D	-0.14	0.00	+0.01	-0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	19:23
71 Ridly Greig C	-0.37	0.00	+0.03	-0.51	0.00	+0.06	+0.05	—	16:24
22 Michael Amadio R	-0.65	0.00	+0.02	-0.67	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:55
31 Hunter Shepard G	-0.93	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.93	35:47
1 Leevi Meriläinen G	-1.78	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.78	20:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.