| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 24 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:08 | Mathew Barzal (11) Ryan Pulock (17), Matthew Schaefer (17) · snap xG 0.07 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 4:01 | Anthony Duclair (5) Adam Pelech (4) · wrist xG 0.06 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 13:31 | Anthony Duclair (6) Casey Cizikas (6) · wrist xG 0.05 | 0–3 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:29 | Anthony Duclair (7) Mathew Barzal (23), Tony DeAngelo (14) · snap xG 0.02 | 0–4 ▶ | |
| 11:12 | Simon Holmstrom (9) Mathew Barzal (24), Ryan Pulock (18) · wrist xG 0.56 | 0–5 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:34 | Casey Cizikas (4) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.06 | 0–6 ▶ | |
| 11:28 | Tony DeAngelo (2) Anthony Duclair (10), Max Shabanov (11) · wrist xG 0.19 | 0–7 ▶ | |
| 18:36 | Calum Ritchie (7) Tony DeAngelo (15) · wrist xG 0.15 | 0–8 ▶ | |
| 19:02 | Casey Cizikas (5) Anthony Duclair (11), Scott Mayfield (5) · snap xG 0.24 | 0–9 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NJD | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.61 | Expected goals | 2.41 |
| 0 | Goals (no shootout) | 9 |
| 2.68 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.41 |
| 82 | Shot attempts | 34 |
| 63 | Unblocked attempts | 29 |
| 44 | Shots on goal | 24 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:31 | NJD | Goalie | Goalie · Markstrom −2.8 goals saved
3 goals on 0.22 xG, 5 shots on goal |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 13:48 | NYI | Goalie | Goalie · Sorokin +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.04 xG, 27 shots on goal |
| 15:40 | NJD | No shift | No shift · Palat, 15:39 on the bench
No shift from 3:29 of the 2nd to 3:21 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (5:06) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:20 | NJD | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.47–0.20
In xG over 10 minutes, 11:20 of the 2nd to 1:20 of the 3rd; neither team scored |
| 1:34 | NJD | Goalie | Goalie · Markstrom −4.4 goals saved
6 goals on 1.57 xG, 18 shots on goal |
| 19:02 | NJD | Goalie | Goalie · Markstrom −6.6 goals saved
9 goals on 2.41 xG, 24 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Jack Hughes | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 22:57 |
| 13 | Nico Hischier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 10 | 0.68 | 0 | 0 | 20:23 |
| 63 | Jesper Bratt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 20:20 |
| 91 | Dawson Mercer | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 18:05 |
| 28 | Timo Meier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 10 | 0.45 | 0 | 0 | 16:32 |
| 81 | Arseny Gritsyuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.37 | 2 | 0 | 16:24 |
| 16 | Connor Brown | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 3 | 0.47 | 1 | 0 | 14:40 |
| 11 | Stefan Noesen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 14:16 |
| 12 | Cody Glass | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 4 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 12:56 |
| 83 | Juho Lammikko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 0 | 10:45 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 09:39 |
| 41 | Luke Glendening | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 08:50 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Luke Hughes | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 9 | 0.20 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 |
| 7 | Dougie Hamilton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 11 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 23:11 |
| 71 | Jonas Siegenthaler | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 |
| 22 | Brett Pesce | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.21 | 2 | 1 | 18:06 |
| 5 | Brenden Dillon | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 14:41 |
| 6 | Colton White | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 12:54 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | 24 | 9 | 15 | .625 | 2.41 | -6.59 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 4 | 0.23 | 0 | 1 | 17:24 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 | 15:59 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 15:54 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.34 | 1 | 0 | 15:50 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 0.08 | 2 | 0 | 14:52 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 3 | 13:59 |
| 17 | Marc Gatcomb | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.14 | 4 | 1 | 13:52 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 3 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 13:41 |
| 64 | Calum Ritchie | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 13:37 |
| 49 | Maxim Shabanov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 2 | 13:03 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:55 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 12:26 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 3 | 21:46 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 21:16 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 20:57 |
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 20:40 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 1 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 20:37 |
| 0 | Cole McWard | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 15:12 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 44 | 0 | 44 | 1.000 | 3.61 | +3.61 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Dougie Hamilton D | +1.57 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:11 |
| 86 Jack Hughes C | +1.03 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:57 |
| 81 Arseny Gritsyuk R | +0.96 | 0.00 | +0.24 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 16:24 |
| 71 Jonas Siegenthaler D | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:11 |
| 13 Nico Hischier C | +0.66 | 0.00 | +0.44 | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 | — | 20:23 |
| 91 Dawson Mercer C | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 18:05 |
| 16 Connor Brown R | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.30 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:40 |
| 28 Timo Meier R | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.30 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:32 |
| 11 Stefan Noesen R | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 14:16 |
| 5 Brenden Dillon D | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 14:41 |
| 63 Jesper Bratt L | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.52 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 20:20 |
| 14 Luke Glendening C | -0.45 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 8:50 |
| 12 Cody Glass C | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.54 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 12:56 |
| 22 Brett Pesce D | -0.77 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:06 |
| 83 Juho Lammikko C | -0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.96 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:45 |
| 18 Ondrej Palat L | -0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 9:39 |
| 43 Luke Hughes D | -1.17 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -1.46 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 24:10 |
| 45 Colton White D | -1.45 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:54 |
| 25 Jacob Markstrom G | -6.59 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -6.59 | 60:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | +3.79 | +3.65 | +0.09 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:41 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +3.73 | +2.15 | +0.15 | +1.45 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.01 | — | 17:24 |
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | +3.61 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +3.61 | 60:00 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | +3.35 | +2.00 | +0.12 | +1.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:37 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | +2.46 | +2.20 | +0.19 | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.13 | — | 13:59 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | +1.98 | +0.75 | +0.44 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:59 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | +1.24 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +1.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:52 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | +1.21 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 21:46 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | +1.02 | +1.25 | +0.01 | -0.21 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 21:16 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | +0.98 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:57 |
| 49 Max Shabanov R | +0.91 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 13:03 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:50 |
| 4 Cole McWard D | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:12 |
| 64 Calum Ritchie C | +0.62 | +0.75 | +0.10 | -0.19 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 13:37 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +0.08 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.25 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:40 |
| 16 Marc Gatcomb C | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:52 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 12:55 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.12 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 15:54 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 12:26 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.