hockeystats.io

Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 4–3 Final/OT Winnipeg JetsWPG

Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 0121 4 31
Winnipeg JetsWPG 1110 3 20

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
5:16 WPG Cole Perfetti (3) Jonathan Toews (10), Josh Morrissey (27) · backhand xG 0.17 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
12:04 WPG Luke Schenn (1) Gabriel Vilardi (19), Adam Lowry (6) · wrist xG 0.02 0–2 ▶
19:09 VGK Mark Stone (13)PP Pavel Dorofeyev (14), Mitch Marner (32) · wrist xG 0.14 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
8:13 VGK Brett Howden (8) Noah Hanifin (14), Tomas Hertl (16) · slap xG 0.12 2–2 ▶
14:56 WPG Kyle Connor (20) Gabriel Vilardi (20) · wrist xG 0.12 2–3 ▶
15:55 VGK Reilly Smith (6) Brandon Saad (5), Ben Hutton (6) · backhand xG 0.12 3–3 ▶
Overtime
4:47 VGK Tomas Hertl (16)PP Mitch Marner (33), Jack Eichel (31) · tip-in xG 0.15 4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VGK 70%Deserve to win30% WPG
VGKWPG
3.04Expected goals1.92
4Goals (no shootout)3
2.06Expected goals, 5 on 50.83
66Shot attempts37
46Unblocked attempts26
31Shots on goal20

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
18:30 VGK No shift No shift · Barbashev, 12:10 on the bench
No shift from 8:27 of the 1st to 0:37 of the 2nd; 3 shifts (2:50) before that
2nd Period
3:20 WPG No shift No shift · Fleury, 41:14 on the bench
No shift after 13:16 of the 1st; 4 shifts (2:36) before that
3rd Period
2:40 VGK No shift No shift · Megna, 24:38 on the bench
No shift after 12:04 of the 2nd; 6 shifts (5:04) before that
8:50 VGK xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced WPG 1.03–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 18:50 of the 2nd to 8:50 of the 3rd; goals 2–0
14:56 VGK Goalie Goalie · Hart −2.0 goals saved
3 goals on 0.96 xG, 13 shots on goal

Shot map

VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WPG shoots
Brett Howden: deflected, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 2:38) Keegan Kolesar: poke, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:37) Reilly Smith: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 6:26) Vladislav Namestnikov: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 9:51) Josh Morrissey: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:09) Kyle Connor: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:27) Nino Niederreiter: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:55) Brandon Saad: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:12) Zach Whitecloud: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:14) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:40) Morgan Barron: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:36) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:38) Tomas Hertl: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 3:44) Neal Pionk: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:26) Nino Niederreiter: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:27) Nino Niederreiter: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:28) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:46) Jeremy Lauzon: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 7:49) Noah Hanifin: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:26) Noah Hanifin: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:32) Jack Eichel: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 13:51) Ivan Barbashev: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 14:02) Noah Hanifin: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:50) Tomas Hertl: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:37) Ben Hutton: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:31) Dylan Samberg: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:37) Jeremy Lauzon: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:40) Brett Howden: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:42) Jack Eichel: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:09) Noah Hanifin: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:13) Jack Eichel: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:59) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:41) Kaedan Korczak: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:50) Colton Sissons: backhand, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:59) Jeremy Lauzon: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 5:28) Jack Eichel: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:35) Brandon Saad: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:38) Braeden Bowman: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 7:31) Noah Hanifin: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 8:10) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:38) Keegan Kolesar: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 8:44) Jeremy Lauzon: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:47) Morgan Barron: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:01) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 10:09) Brandon Saad: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:43) Jack Eichel: wrist, 147 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:09) Mitch Marner: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 11:41) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 13:29) Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:38) Kyle Connor: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 14:48) Brandon Saad: bat, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 15:44) Adam Lowry: wrist, 158 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:49) Tanner Pearson: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:55) Jack Eichel: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:57) Morgan Barron: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 0:12) Neal Pionk: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 0:17) Jack Eichel: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.24 (OT 0:58) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 1:13) Reilly Smith: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 2:20) Reilly Smith: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 2:28) Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 3:24) Jonathan Toews: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 3:33) Dylan Samberg: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.34 (OT 3:35) Morgan Barron: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.27 (OT 3:50) Mark Stone: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 4:29) Cole Perfetti: GOAL, backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 5:16) Luke Schenn: GOAL, wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:04) Mark Stone: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 19:09) Brett Howden: GOAL, slap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 8:13) Kyle Connor: GOAL, wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 14:56) Reilly Smith: GOAL, backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 15:55) Tomas Hertl: GOAL, tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 4:47)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Jack Eichel 011 0 120.44 2025:59
61 Mark Stone 101 0 30.29 0022:03
93 Mitch Marner 022 -1 10.08 0020:13
20 Brandon Saad 011 +1 40.24 1016:11
21 Brett Howden 101 +1 30.33 2116:08
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 011 -2 10.00 0115:56
48 Tomas Hertl 112 0 70.37 0015:48
49 Ivan Barbashev 000 -1 10.08 2114:15
19 Reilly Smith 101 +1 60.38 0014:13
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 +1 30.14 5012:00
42 Braeden Bowman 000 -3 20.17 0011:56
15 Colton Sissons 000 0 10.01 1009:28
Defense
15 Noah Hanifin 011 +2 70.18 3230:49
6 Kaedan Korczak 000 -1 20.01 2123:34
28 Zach Whitecloud 000 0 20.01 0221:30
5 Jeremy Lauzon 000 -1 70.31 5119:33
17 Ben Hutton 011 0 40.02 2016:19
88 Jaycob Megna 000 -2 00.00 2105:04
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Carter Hart 20317 .850 1.92 -1.08

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
81 Kyle Connor 101 0 40.24 0021:15
55 Mark Scheifele 000 0 20.14 3121:14
36 Morgan Barron 000 +1 40.42 4017:26
9 Alex Iafallo 000 -1 10.00 1117:23
13 Gabriel Vilardi 022 +3 30.12 1016:51
17 Adam Lowry 011 0 10.00 1016:15
19 Jonathan Toews 011 +1 20.09 2214:59
91 Cole Perfetti 101 0 10.17 1014:19
62 Nino Niederreiter 000 -1 30.13 3014:09
70 Tanner Pearson 000 0 10.00 3011:57
14 Gustav Nyquist 000 0 20.07 0011:48
7 Vladislav Namestnikov 000 0 10.07 1009:30
Defense
54 Dylan Samberg 000 -1 20.35 0428:07
44 Josh Morrissey 011 0 30.01 0427:16
4 Neal Pionk 000 +1 20.07 1426:23
2 Dylan DeMelo 000 +1 20.02 1124:49
2 Luke Schenn 101 +1 30.02 3113:52
24 Haydn Fleury 000 0 00.00 0002:36
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck 31427 .871 3.04 -0.96

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
48 Tomas Hertl C +2.16 +1.30 +0.24 +0.47 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:48
15 Noah Hanifin D +2.00 +0.70 +0.12 +1.11 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 30:49
21 Brett Howden C +1.94 +0.75 +0.21 +0.83 +0.15 -0.02 +0.01 — 16:08
20 Brandon Saad L +1.78 +0.70 +0.15 +0.95 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:11
19 Reilly Smith R +1.54 +0.75 +0.24 +0.55 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 14:13
9 Jack Eichel C +1.29 +0.55 +0.29 +0.46 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 25:59
61 Mark Stone R +1.26 +0.75 +0.19 +0.33 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 22:03
2 Zach Whitecloud D +1.03 0.00 +0.01 +1.07 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 21:30
5 Jeremy Lauzon D +0.97 0.00 +0.20 +0.74 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:33
55 Keegan Kolesar R +0.88 0.00 +0.09 +0.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:00
17 Ben Hutton D +0.87 +0.55 +0.01 +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 16:19
93 Mitch Marner R +0.85 +1.25 +0.05 -0.57 +0.15 -0.05 +0.02 — 20:13
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +0.37 +0.70 0.00 -0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:56
10 Colton Sissons C +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:28
6 Kaedan Korczak D +0.13 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 23:34
49 Ivan Barbashev L +0.12 0.00 +0.05 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 14:15
42 Braeden Bowman R -0.37 0.00 +0.11 -0.45 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 11:56
88 Jaycob Megna D -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 5:04
79 Carter Hart G -1.08 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.08 64:47

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
13 Gabriel Vilardi C +2.12 +1.40 +0.08 +0.65 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 16:51
5 Luke Schenn D +0.58 +0.75 +0.01 -0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:52
19 Jonathan Toews C +0.51 +0.70 +0.06 -0.22 -0.15 +0.02 +0.10 — 14:59
36 Morgan Barron C +0.40 0.00 +0.27 +0.14 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 17:26
17 Adam Lowry C +0.24 +0.55 0.00 -0.36 0.00 +0.07 -0.02 — 16:15
81 Kyle Connor L +0.23 +0.75 +0.16 -0.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:15
91 Cole Perfetti C +0.16 +0.75 +0.11 -0.68 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:19
70 Tanner Pearson L +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.01 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 11:57
2 Dylan DeMelo D +0.13 0.00 +0.01 +0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 24:49
44 Josh Morrissey D +0.11 +0.55 +0.01 -0.48 -0.15 0.00 +0.18 — 27:16
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C -0.08 0.00 +0.05 -0.11 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 9:30
14 Gustav Nyquist R -0.26 0.00 +0.04 -0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:48
24 Haydn Fleury D -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 2:36
4 Neal Pionk D -0.33 0.00 +0.05 -0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 26:23
55 Mark Scheifele C -0.39 0.00 +0.09 -0.53 0.00 +0.04 +0.01 — 21:14
62 Nino Niederreiter R -0.65 0.00 +0.08 -0.71 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:09
54 Dylan Samberg D -0.73 0.00 +0.22 -0.87 -0.30 0.00 +0.22 — 28:07
9 Alex Iafallo L -0.80 0.00 0.00 -0.98 +0.15 -0.02 +0.05 — 17:23
37 Connor Hellebuyck G -0.96 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.96 64:47

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.