Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 2–5 Final San Jose SharksSJS

Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ	0	1	1	2	36
San Jose SharksSJS	1	1	3	5	36

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
19:11	SJS	Pavol Regenda (6) Alexander Wennberg (20), Tyler Toffoli (17) · wrist xG 0.16	0–1 ▶
2nd Period
4:14	SJS	Alexander Wennberg (8)PP William Eklund (17), Dmitry Orlov (20) · backhand xG 0.15	0–2 ▶
19:15	CBJ	Zach Werenski (16) Dmitri Voronkov (13), Kirill Marchenko (19) · wrist xG 0.04	1–2 ▶
3rd Period
15:16	SJS	Zack Ostapchuk (2) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.18	1–3 ▶
16:05	CBJ	Sean Monahan (6) Ivan Provorov (11) · wrist xG 0.52	2–3 ▶
17:46	SJS	Mario Ferraro (3)EN Alexander Wennberg (21) · wrist xG 0.49	2–4 ▶
18:31	SJS	Macklin Celebrini (23)EN Collin Graf (11), Mario Ferraro (8) · wrist xG 0.61	2–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CBJ 36%Deserve to win64% SJS

CBJ		SJS
3.50	Expected goals	5.52
2	Goals (no shootout)	5
2.95	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.78
65	Shot attempts	65
48	Unblocked attempts	46
36	Shots on goal	36

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
0:40	SJS	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · SJS takes the lead, 60–40% CBJ had led since 2:15 of the 1st, by as much as 74%
4:00	SJS	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.29–0.21 In xG over 10 minutes, 14:00 of the 1st to 4:00 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
17:10	SJS	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.34–0.00 In xG over 10 minutes, 8:30 to 18:30 of the 2nd; neither team scored
3rd Period
10:22	CBJ	Goalie	Goalie · Greaves +2.0 goals saved 2 goals on 4.04 xG, 31 shots on goal
10:50	SJS	No shift	No shift · Dellandrea, 18:32 on the bench No shift after 15:15 of the 2nd; 12 shifts (8:42) before that
17:42	CBJ	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Greaves, down 3–2 With 2:18 left; SJS scored at 17:46 of the 3rd (2–4)

Shot map

CBJ shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SJS shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Columbus Blue Jackets

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
22	Boone Jenner	0	0	0	0	5	0.53	4	1	18:18
86	Kirill Marchenko	0	1	1	-2	4	0.42	0	0	17:41
3	Charlie Coyle	0	0	0	-3	2	0.11	0	1	17:24
19	Adam Fantilli	0	0	0	-2	6	0.28	2	0	16:59
23	Sean Monahan	1	0	1	-1	5	0.67	0	0	16:16
10	Dmitri Voronkov	0	1	1	-1	6	0.46	2	1	16:08
24	Mathieu Olivier	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	15:53
4	Cole Sillinger	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	1	15:00
50	Brendan Gaunce	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	0	2	13:29
91	Kent Johnson	0	0	0	+1	4	0.21	0	1	13:04
21	Zachary Aston-Reese	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	1	07:39
58	Danton Heinen	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	0	06:43
Defense
9	Ivan Provorov	0	1	1	+1	5	0.05	0	2	28:17
8	Zach Werenski	1	0	1	-3	5	0.08	0	1	24:47
78	Damon Severson	0	0	0	0	7	0.21	0	1	22:58
5	Denton Mateychuk	0	0	0	0	5	0.21	0	1	20:07
15	Dante Fabbro	0	0	0	0	3	0.01	0	0	13:53
2	Jake Christiansen	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	2	07:17

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jet Greaves	34	3	31	.912	4.42	+1.42

San Jose Sharks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
71	Macklin Celebrini	1	0	1	+2	9	1.20	0	2	25:41
27	William Eklund	0	1	1	-1	9	0.85	0	2	21:17
21	Alexander Wennberg	1	2	3	+1	4	0.26	1	1	21:14
73	Tyler Toffoli	0	1	1	0	8	1.02	0	1	17:23
51	Collin Graf	0	1	1	+1	2	0.13	0	0	15:52
92	Igor Chernyshov	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0	0	15:11
84	Pavol Regenda	1	0	1	0	3	0.25	5	1	14:05
63	Zack Ostapchuk	1	0	1	+1	6	0.50	3	2	12:25
23	Barclay Goodrow	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	1	0	11:35
53	Jeff Skinner	0	0	0	0	4	0.08	0	0	11:05
10	Ty Dellandrea	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	4	0	08:42
75	Ryan Reaves	0	0	0	+1	2	0.15	2	0	08:07
Defense
9	Dmitry Orlov	0	1	1	0	3	0.11	1	1	19:47
6	Vincent Iorio	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	1	19:25
38	Mario Ferraro	1	1	2	+1	3	0.51	1	0	19:22
27	Timothy Liljegren	0	0	0	+1	3	0.14	1	2	18:48
6	Sam Dickinson	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	18:24
4	Nick Leddy	0	0	0	+1	2	0.00	0	1	15:44

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Alex Nedeljkovic	36	2	34	.944	3.50	+1.50

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
23 Sean Monahan C	+2.16	+0.75	+0.43	+0.79	+0.15	+0.04	0.00	—	16:16
10 Dmitri Voronkov L	+1.93	+0.70	+0.30	+0.88	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	16:08
9 Ivan Provorov D	+1.64	+0.70	+0.03	+0.79	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	28:17
73 Jet Greaves G	+1.42	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.42	59:11
91 Kent Johnson C	+1.04	0.00	+0.14	+0.70	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	13:04
86 Kirill Marchenko R	+1.00	+0.55	+0.27	+0.18	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:41
19 Adam Fantilli C	+0.72	0.00	+0.18	+0.39	+0.15	+0.02	-0.02	—	16:59
38 Boone Jenner C	+0.44	0.00	+0.34	+0.19	-0.15	+0.01	+0.05	—	18:18
8 Zach Werenski D	+0.20	+0.75	+0.05	-0.59	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	24:47
78 Damon Severson D	+0.15	0.00	+0.14	+0.14	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	22:58
2 Jake Christiansen D	+0.14	0.00	0.00	+0.04	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	7:17
5 Denton Mateychuk D	+0.07	0.00	+0.13	+0.05	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	20:07
3 Charlie Coyle C	-0.19	0.00	+0.07	-0.33	0.00	+0.02	+0.05	—	17:24
16 Brendan Gaunce C	-0.19	0.00	+0.09	-0.41	0.00	+0.03	+0.10	—	13:29
27 Zachary Aston-Reese L	-0.25	0.00	+0.06	-0.19	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	7:39
43 Danton Heinen L	-0.27	0.00	+0.03	-0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	6:43
15 Dante Fabbro D	-0.43	0.00	+0.01	-0.22	-0.15	0.00	-0.06	—	13:53
24 Mathieu Olivier R	-0.56	0.00	0.00	-0.63	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	15:53
4 Cole Sillinger C	-0.62	0.00	0.00	-0.64	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	15:00

San Jose Sharks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
71 Macklin Celebrini C	+2.08	+0.75	+0.78	+0.33	+0.15	-0.05	+0.12	—	25:41
63 Zack Ostapchuk C	+1.81	+0.75	+0.33	+0.65	0.00	-0.02	+0.10	—	12:25
33 Alex Nedeljkovic G	+1.50	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.50	59:53
72 William Eklund L	+1.49	+0.70	+0.55	+0.12	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	21:17
9 Dmitry Orlov D	+1.32	+0.55	+0.07	+0.62	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	19:47
21 Alexander Wennberg C	+1.26	+2.15	+0.17	-1.10	0.00	-0.02	+0.05	—	21:14
75 Ryan Reaves R	+0.90	0.00	+0.10	+0.66	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	8:07
73 Tyler Toffoli C	+0.81	+0.55	+0.67	-0.45	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	17:23
38 Mario Ferraro D	+0.76	+1.30	+0.33	-0.88	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	19:22
10 Ty Dellandrea C	+0.58	0.00	+0.14	+0.30	+0.15	+0.01	-0.02	—	8:42
23 Barclay Goodrow C	+0.47	0.00	+0.06	+0.44	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	11:35
22 Vincent Iorio D	+0.37	0.00	+0.01	+0.33	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	19:25
6 Sam Dickinson D	+0.29	0.00	0.00	+0.22	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	18:24
84 Pavol Regenda L	+0.10	+0.75	+0.16	-0.83	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	14:05
92 Igor Chernyshov L	+0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.26	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	15:11
51 Collin Graf R	+0.07	+0.70	+0.08	-0.72	0.00	-0.02	+0.02	—	15:52
4 Nick Leddy D	-0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.03	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	15:44
53 Jeff Skinner L	-0.16	0.00	+0.05	-0.21	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:05
37 Timothy Liljegren D	-0.48	0.00	+0.09	-0.64	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	18:48

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.