| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 36 | |
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:50 | Jordan Eberle (15)PP Matty Beniers (18), Vince Dunn (16) · wrist xG 0.42 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 12:47 | David Pastrnak (18) Nikita Zadorov (13), Marat Khusnutdinov (9) · wrist xG 0.05 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:48 | Berkly Catton (1) Jared McCann (6), Ryker Evans (7) · slap xG 0.04 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 6:28 | David Pastrnak (19) Charlie McAvoy (21), Elias Lindholm (20) · wrist xG 0.04 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 18:23 | Ben Meyers (4) Tye Kartye (5) · snap xG 0.26 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 19:59 | Jared McCann (8)PP Vince Dunn (17), Matty Beniers (19) · slap xG 0.04 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 10:21 | Kaapo Kakko (3) Frederick Gaudreau (6), Chandler Stephenson (16) · wrist xG 0.16 | 2–5 ▶ | |
| 14:20 | Berkly Catton (2)PP Frederick Gaudreau (7), Kaapo Kakko (10) · backhand xG 0.11 | 2–6 ▶ | |
| 14:50 | Mason Lohrei (3) Pavel Zacha (17), Viktor Arvidsson (11) · wrist xG 0.14 | 3–6 ▶ | |
| 17:38 | Viktor Arvidsson (8)PP Casey Mittelstadt (8), Alex Steeves (5) · wrist xG 0.24 | 4–6 ▶ | |
| 19:48 | Kaapo Kakko (4)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.71 | 4–7 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| BOS | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.01 | Expected goals | 4.04 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 7 |
| 2.78 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.96 |
| 78 | Shot attempts | 55 |
| 61 | Unblocked attempts | 40 |
| 36 | Shots on goal | 27 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:21 | BOS | Goalie | Goalie · Swayman −2.6 goals saved
5 goals on 2.39 xG, 24 shots on goal |
| 17:01 | BOS | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · BOS takes the lead, 60–40%
SEA had led since 8:50 of the 1st, by as much as 66% |
| 17:51 | BOS | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Swayman, down 6–4
With 2:09 left; SEA scored at 19:48 of the 3rd (4–7) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 12 | 0.35 | 0 | 1 | 21:09 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 20:18 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.66 | 0 | 3 | 18:25 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 16:29 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.39 | 3 | 0 | 15:17 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 14:46 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.13 | 2 | 0 | 13:51 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 13:46 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 7 | 1 | 12:54 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 6 | 0 | 12:34 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 6 | 0.83 | 0 | 1 | 12:01 |
| 21 | Alex Steeves | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | 1 | 1 | 11:41 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.22 | 1 | 1 | 23:51 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.03 | 3 | 2 | 23:14 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 1 | 17:32 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 16:38 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 16:21 |
| 20 | Henri Jokiharju | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 26 | 6 | 20 | .769 | 2.95 | -3.05 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 2 | 19:59 |
| 89 | Frederick Gaudreau | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 18:50 |
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.44 | 0 | 1 | 18:18 |
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 16:59 |
| 19 | Jared McCann | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.59 | 0 | 1 | 16:13 |
| 84 | Kaapo Kakko | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 0.90 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 14:34 |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 | 13:56 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 |
| 59 | Ben Meyers | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 11:56 |
| 63 | Jacob Melanson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.09 | 5 | 0 | 09:58 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.15 | 2 | 1 | 09:56 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 22:17 |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 21:37 |
| 8 | Cale Fleury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 2 | 21:12 |
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 18:05 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 0 | 17:04 |
| 41 | Ryker Evans | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 15:13 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | 36 | 4 | 32 | .889 | 4.01 | +0.01 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +2.56 | +1.50 | +0.23 | +0.97 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:09 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +2.49 | +1.30 | +0.54 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:01 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +1.81 | +0.70 | +0.14 | +0.80 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 23:51 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | +1.54 | +0.55 | +0.43 | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.13 | — | 18:25 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | +1.43 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +0.50 | +0.15 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 14:46 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | +1.42 | +0.75 | +0.14 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:32 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +1.32 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +0.44 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:29 |
| 21 Alex Steeves C | +1.13 | +0.55 | +0.26 | +0.42 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:41 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +1.08 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.71 | +0.15 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 15:17 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | +0.92 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.36 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:46 |
| 20 Henri Jokiharju D | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:07 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.01 | — | 20:18 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | +0.58 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 23:14 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:21 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:38 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | -0.69 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.71 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.05 | — | 12:54 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:34 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | -0.88 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.99 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.02 | — | 13:51 |
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | -3.20 | 0.00 | — | — | -0.15 | — | — | -3.05 | 58:03 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84 Kaapo Kakko R | +2.65 | +2.05 | +0.58 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:02 |
| 19 Jared McCann L | +2.05 | +1.45 | +0.39 | +0.03 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:13 |
| 27 Berkly Catton C | +1.56 | +1.50 | +0.23 | 0.00 | -0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 13:56 |
| 89 Frederick Gaudreau C | +1.48 | +1.40 | +0.08 | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 18:50 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | +1.48 | +1.25 | +0.29 | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.01 | — | 18:18 |
| 41 Ryker Evans D | +1.18 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:13 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | +1.10 | +1.25 | +0.14 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:05 |
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | +0.91 | +0.75 | +0.28 | -0.29 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:59 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 17:04 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | +0.51 | +0.55 | +0.08 | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.12 | — | 19:59 |
| 59 Ben Meyers C | +0.32 | +0.75 | +0.17 | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 | — | 11:56 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | +0.15 | +0.70 | +0.10 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 9:56 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.07 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.06 | — | 13:36 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 21:37 |
| 35 Joey Daccord G | -0.14 | 0.00 | — | — | -0.15 | — | — | +0.01 | 60:00 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 14:34 |
| 63 Jacob Melanson R | -0.53 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 9:58 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | -1.11 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 22:17 |
| 8 Cale Fleury D | -1.26 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -1.51 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 21:12 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.