hockeystats.io

Calgary FlamesCGY 1–4 Final Montréal CanadiensMTL

Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Calgary FlamesCGY 010 1 29
Montréal CanadiensMTL 031 4 36

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
3:10 MTL Alexandre Texier (4) Alexandre Carrier (10), Cole Caufield (21) · snap xG 0.07 0–1 ▶
7:05 MTL Lane Hutson (8) Phillip Danault (8), Alexandre Texier (7) · slap xG 0.15 0–2 ▶
8:12 MTL Oliver Kapanen (14) Juraj Slafkovský (18) · snap xG 0.42 0–3 ▶
17:39 CGY Joel Farabee (10) Yegor Sharangovich (6), Hunter Brzustewicz (1) · snap xG 0.01 1–3 ▶
3rd Period
3:56 MTL Cole Caufield (21) Alexandre Texier (8), Nick Suzuki (33) · snap xG 0.07 1–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CGY 18%Deserve to win82% MTL
CGYMTL
1.87Expected goals3.91
1Goals (no shootout)4
1.23Expected goals, 5 on 53.32
60Shot attempts64
41Unblocked attempts50
29Shots on goal36

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
12:10 MTL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CGY 1.30–0.29
In xG over 10 minutes, 2:10 to 12:10 of the 2nd; goals 3–0

Shot map

CGY shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MTL shoots
Alexandre Texier: snap, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:10) Mike Matheson: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:14) Mike Matheson: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:22) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 1:08) Brendan Gallagher: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:49) Cole Caufield: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:55) Matt Coronato: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:04) Joel Farabee: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:56) Brendan Gallagher: deflected, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:12) Jonathan Huberdeau: snap, 148 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:54) Cole Caufield: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 8:37) Morgan Frost: wrist, 91 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:43) Owen Beck: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:11) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:56) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:00) Matt Coronato: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:47) Oliver Kapanen: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:58) Nick Suzuki: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:04) Cole Caufield: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 12:53) Brendan Gallagher: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:36) Joel Farabee: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 14:05) Arber Xhekaj: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:58) Mike Matheson: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:22) Joel Farabee: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:37) Cole Caufield: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:45) Arber Xhekaj: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:06) Brendan Gallagher: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:11) Blake Coleman: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 18:49) Morgan Frost: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 18:57) Connor Zary: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:29) Oliver Kapanen: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:06) Blake Coleman: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 1:41) Hunter Brzustewicz: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:50) Yegor Sharangovich: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:54) Hunter Brzustewicz: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:02) Joel Farabee: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:14) MacKenzie Weegar: snap, 88 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:12) Mikael Backlund: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:20) Rasmus Andersson: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:10) Hunter Brzustewicz: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:46) Blake Coleman: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:36) Connor Zary: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:43) Phillip Danault: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 7:01) Phillip Danault: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:23) Nazem Kadri: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:54) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 8:10) Juraj Slafkovský: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 10:26) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 10:50) Nazem Kadri: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 12:19) Joseph Veleno: snap, 141 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:39) MacKenzie Weegar: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:56) Blake Coleman: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 14:07) Jonathan Huberdeau: tip-in, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 15:25) Alexandre Texier: snap, 144 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 15:33) Nazem Kadri: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 16:00) Nazem Kadri: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:15) Juraj Slafkovský: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:29) Cole Caufield: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:33) Noah Dobson: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:47) Cole Caufield: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 18:51) Matt Coronato: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:03) Blake Coleman: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:39) Nick Suzuki: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:08) Adam Klapka: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:24) Sammy Blais: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 3:20) Jayden Struble: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:22) Owen Beck: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:31) Zachary Bolduc: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:38) Mike Matheson: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:23) Blake Coleman: bat, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:36) Owen Beck: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:02) Owen Beck: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.52 (P3 8:05) Jonathan Huberdeau: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:20) Yan Kuznetsov: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:25) Nazem Kadri: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:29) Phillip Danault: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:52) Joseph Veleno: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 11:21) Yan Kuznetsov: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 11:44) Nick Suzuki: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 12:49) Connor Zary: wrist, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 14:25) Jonathan Huberdeau: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:56) Sammy Blais: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 18:02) Sammy Blais: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 18:03) Brendan Gallagher: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 18:07) Hunter Brzustewicz: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:32) Joel Farabee: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:53) Alexandre Texier: GOAL, snap, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:10) Lane Hutson: GOAL, slap, 31 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 7:05) Oliver Kapanen: GOAL, snap, 6 ft, xG 0.42 (P2 8:12) Joel Farabee: GOAL, snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:39) Cole Caufield: GOAL, snap, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 3:56)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Calgary Flames

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
20 Blake Coleman 000 -1 70.46 2020:44
91 Nazem Kadri 000 -1 60.32 0019:25
10 Jonathan Huberdeau 000 -1 40.12 0018:37
11 Mikael Backlund 000 -1 30.05 0018:28
27 Matt Coronato 000 0 40.09 0017:57
17 Yegor Sharangovich 011 0 30.01 0115:57
43 Adam Klapka 000 -1 20.04 5113:45
86 Joel Farabee 101 0 70.31 0013:41
47 Connor Zary 000 -1 50.09 0013:23
16 Morgan Frost 000 -1 20.07 0011:54
94 Ryan Lomberg 000 -1 00.00 1010:47
65 William Stromgren 000 -1 00.00 0008:04
Defense
4 Rasmus Andersson 000 -1 40.00 2322:52
52 MacKenzie Weegar 000 -3 40.06 2222:01
7 Kevin Bahl 000 -2 00.00 1220:09
37 Yan Kuznetsov 000 -2 40.16 1218:00
48 Hunter Brzustewicz 011 +1 40.10 0115:36
44 Joel Hanley 000 +1 10.00 1115:03
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dustin Wolf 36432 .889 3.91 -0.09

Montréal Canadiens

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
24 Phillip Danault 011 +1 30.24 0118:22
14 Nick Suzuki 011 +2 30.22 0117:54
20 Juraj Slafkovský 011 0 100.68 1116:11
93 Ivan Demidov 000 0 20.00 0115:08
91 Oliver Kapanen 101 0 30.48 0014:52
13 Cole Caufield 112 +2 80.50 0014:43
90 Joseph Veleno 000 0 30.16 3014:17
76 Zachary Bolduc 000 0 30.09 4114:00
85 Alexandre Texier 123 +3 30.08 0113:57
7 Brendan Gallagher 000 +1 60.21 0013:24
62 Owen Beck 000 0 40.62 2011:16
0 Sammy Blais 000 0 30.27 4010:38
Defense
48 Lane Hutson 101 +3 20.15 0523:29
8 Mike Matheson 000 0 40.09 0123:10
45 Alexandre Carrier 011 +3 10.00 0219:22
53 Noah Dobson 000 -1 20.04 2418:46
3 Jayden Struble 000 0 20.02 2116:30
72 Arber Xhekaj 000 +1 20.04 6016:01
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jacob Fowler 29128 .966 1.87 +0.87

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Calgary Flames

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
86 Joel Farabee L +0.84 +0.75 +0.20 -0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 13:41
48 Hunter Brzustewicz D +0.62 +0.55 +0.07 -0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:36
17 Yegor Sharangovich C +0.62 +0.70 +0.01 -0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:57
27 Matt Coronato R -0.03 0.00 +0.06 -0.09 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 18:04
32 Dustin Wolf G -0.09 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.09 59:40
20 Blake Coleman L -0.13 0.00 +0.30 -0.42 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 20:51
44 Joel Hanley D -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.44 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 15:03
65 William Stromgren L -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.58 +0.30 0.00 0.00 — 8:04
11 Mikael Backlund C -0.36 0.00 +0.03 -0.46 0.00 +0.07 0.00 — 18:21
47 Connor Zary C -0.43 0.00 +0.06 -0.60 +0.15 -0.04 0.00 — 13:23
16 Morgan Frost C -0.56 0.00 +0.04 -0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:54
4 Rasmus Andersson D -0.71 0.00 0.00 -0.67 -0.15 0.00 +0.11 — 22:40
70 Ryan Lomberg L -0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:47
37 Yan Kuznetsov D -0.90 0.00 +0.11 -1.09 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:13
7 Kevin Bahl D -1.12 0.00 0.00 -1.24 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 19:56
43 Adam Klapka R -1.39 0.00 +0.02 -1.45 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 13:38
91 Nazem Kadri C -1.43 0.00 +0.21 -1.60 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 19:32
10 Jonathan Huberdeau L -1.58 0.00 +0.08 -1.65 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 18:30
52 MacKenzie Weegar D -1.74 0.00 +0.04 -1.87 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 22:13

Montréal Canadiens

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
85 Alexandre Texier L +3.36 +2.00 +0.05 +1.25 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 13:57
48 Lane Hutson D +2.69 +0.75 +0.10 +1.59 0.00 0.00 +0.25 — 23:29
13 Cole Caufield R +2.37 +1.30 +0.33 +0.73 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 14:43
45 Alexandre Carrier D +2.24 +0.70 0.00 +1.44 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 19:22
20 Juraj Slafkovský L +1.84 +0.70 +0.44 +0.68 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 — 16:11
91 Oliver Kapanen C +1.57 +0.75 +0.31 +0.64 0.00 -0.12 -0.02 — 14:52
14 Nick Suzuki C +1.43 +0.55 +0.14 +0.70 0.00 -0.03 +0.07 — 17:54
62 Owen Beck C +1.33 0.00 +0.41 +0.94 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:16
24 Phillip Danault C +1.30 +0.70 +0.16 +0.44 -0.15 +0.11 +0.05 — 18:22
90 Joseph Veleno C +1.22 0.00 +0.11 +0.94 +0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 14:17
27 Sammy Blais L +1.14 0.00 +0.18 +0.94 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 10:38
8 Mike Matheson D +1.12 0.00 +0.06 +1.01 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 23:10
32 Jacob Fowler G +0.87 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.87 60:00
93 Ivan Demidov R +0.74 0.00 0.00 +0.69 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:08
53 Noah Dobson D +0.73 0.00 +0.02 +0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 18:46
72 Arber Xhekaj D +0.40 0.00 +0.03 +0.59 -0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 16:01
11 Brendan Gallagher R +0.37 0.00 +0.14 +0.42 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 13:24
47 Jayden Struble D +0.27 0.00 +0.02 +0.35 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 16:30
76 Zachary Bolduc R -0.02 0.00 +0.06 -0.10 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 14:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.