| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 30 | |
| 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 35 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:27 | Tyler Tucker (2) Brayden Schenn (9) · snap xG 0.29 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 9:26 | Nick Lardis (3)PP Oliver Moore (9), Matt Grzelcyk (9) · slap xG 0.13 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 7:41 | Oliver Moore (4)PP Matt Grzelcyk (10), Nick Foligno (7) · wrist xG 0.04 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 8:22 | Otto Stenberg (1) Unassisted · snap xG 0.06 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 8:57 | Connor Murphy (1) Unassisted · slap xG 0.07 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 12:27 | Landon Slaggert (2) Colton Dach (5), Connor Murphy (7) · tip-in xG 0.08 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 17:24 | Jason Dickinson (5) Louis Crevier (10) · tip-in xG 0.05 | 2–5 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:11 | Andre Burakovsky (10)PP Ryan Greene (12), Teuvo Teravainen (12) · wrist xG 0.17 | 2–6 ▶ | |
| 12:56 | Louis Crevier (4) Landon Slaggert (2), Alex Vlasic (8) · backhand xG 0.36 | 2–7 ▶ | |
| 13:19 | Nathan Walker (4) Alexey Toropchenko (4), Philip Broberg (12) · bat xG 0.09 | 3–7 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| STL | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.44 | Expected goals | 3.76 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 7 |
| 2.12 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.56 |
| 64 | Shot attempts | 56 |
| 46 | Unblocked attempts | 47 |
| 30 | Shots on goal | 35 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:27 | STL | Goalie | Goalie · Binnington −2.1 goals saved
4 goals on 1.93 xG, 22 shots on goal |
| 15:50 | CHI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced STL 1.39–0.20
In xG over 10 minutes, 5:50 to 15:50 of the 2nd; goals 3–1 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:11 | CHI | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · CHI takes the lead, 60–40%
STL had led since 0:27 of the 1st, by as much as 85% |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 15 | Dalibor Dvorsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 19:45 |
| 21 | Jimmy Snuggerud | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0.75 | 2 | 0 | 17:36 |
| 29 | Jonatan Berggren | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 17:32 |
| 89 | Pavel Buchnevich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 17:18 |
| 10 | Brayden Schenn | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.42 | 2 | 0 | 17:18 |
| 18 | Robert Thomas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 17:08 |
| 25 | Jordan Kyrou | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.50 | 1 | 0 | 16:14 |
| 63 | Jake Neighbours | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.19 | 5 | 1 | 15:40 |
| 28 | Otto Stenberg | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.10 | 5 | 0 | 13:55 |
| 13 | Alexey Toropchenko | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.10 | 2 | 2 | 11:17 |
| 26 | Nathan Walker | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.28 | 5 | 0 | 09:52 |
| 70 | Oskar Sundqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 09:16 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 17 | Cam Fowler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 22:00 |
| 6 | Philip Broberg | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 21:53 |
| 72 | Justin Faulk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 20:16 |
| 55 | Colton Parayko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 18:53 |
| 23 | Logan Mailloux | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:18 |
| 75 | Tyler Tucker | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 13:57 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | 35 | 7 | 28 | .800 | 3.76 | -3.24 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 20:05 |
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 17:02 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 16:09 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 15:27 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.35 | 1 | 2 | 15:15 |
| 16 | Jason Dickinson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.32 | 4 | 2 | 14:54 |
| 11 | Oliver Moore | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 14:37 |
| 71 | Nick Foligno | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:58 |
| 84 | Landon Slaggert | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 12:47 |
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.94 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 |
| 76 | Nick Lardis | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.26 | 3 | 0 | 12:20 |
| 34 | Colton Dach | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 10:12 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 23:57 |
| 55 | Artyom Levshunov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 21:09 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 4 | 19:08 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.55 | 2 | 2 | 17:35 |
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 17:32 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 16:59 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | 30 | 3 | 27 | .900 | 3.44 | +0.44 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Brayden Schenn C | +1.84 | +0.70 | +0.27 | +0.71 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 17:18 |
| 13 Alexey Toropchenko R | +1.17 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.15 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 11:16 |
| 75 Tyler Tucker D | +1.12 | +0.75 | +0.21 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 13:57 |
| 26 Nathan Walker L | +1.05 | +0.75 | +0.18 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 9:51 |
| 6 Philip Broberg D | +0.66 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:52 |
| 25 Jordan Kyrou R | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.32 | +0.27 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:14 |
| 21 Jimmy Snuggerud R | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.49 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:37 |
| 72 Justin Faulk D | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.35 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 20:16 |
| 70 Oskar Sundqvist C | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.15 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 9:15 |
| 63 Jake Neighbours L | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 15:40 |
| 89 Pavel Buchnevich L | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:19 |
| 28 Otto Stenberg C | +0.09 | +0.75 | +0.07 | -0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:55 |
| 55 Colton Parayko D | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:52 |
| 18 Robert Thomas C | -0.45 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.49 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | — | 17:09 |
| 17 Cam Fowler D | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:01 |
| 29 Jonatan Berggren R | -0.91 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:32 |
| 54 Dalibor Dvorsky R | -1.08 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -1.02 | -0.15 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 19:45 |
| 23 Logan Mailloux D | -1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.05 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:19 |
| 50 Jordan Binnington G | -3.39 | 0.00 | — | — | -0.15 | — | — | -3.24 | 59:56 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Connor Murphy D | +3.13 | +1.30 | +0.05 | +1.73 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 19:08 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | +3.11 | +1.25 | +0.03 | +1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 16:59 |
| 16 Jason Dickinson C | +2.58 | +0.75 | +0.21 | +1.33 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.12 | — | 14:54 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | +2.19 | +1.45 | +0.36 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:35 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | +1.87 | +0.75 | +0.20 | +0.81 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:09 |
| 84 Landon Slaggert L | +1.48 | +1.45 | +0.05 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:47 |
| 11 Oliver Moore C | +1.29 | +1.45 | +0.03 | -0.18 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:37 |
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | +1.23 | 0.00 | +0.61 | +0.48 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:28 |
| 76 Nick Lardis L | +0.90 | +0.75 | +0.17 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:20 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | +0.84 | +0.70 | +0.16 | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.02 | — | 20:05 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | +0.56 | +0.55 | +0.04 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:27 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | +0.53 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:32 |
| 30 Spencer Knight G | +0.44 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.44 | 59:26 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.30 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.04 | — | 15:15 |
| 34 Colton Dach C | +0.34 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 10:12 |
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.41 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:02 |
| 17 Nick Foligno L | -0.03 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.06 | — | 12:58 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | -0.96 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 23:57 |
| 55 Artyom Levshunov D | -1.48 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -1.37 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 21:09 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.