| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 28 | |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 4:10 | Tyler Toffoli (11)PP Alexander Wennberg (22), Macklin Celebrini (42) · wrist xG 0.47 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 11:34 | Alex Turcotte (3) Kevin Fiala (15) · wrist xG 0.14 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:38 | Adam Gaudette (9)PP Timothy Liljegren (7), Jeff Skinner (6) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 6:40 | Kevin Fiala (16) Alex Turcotte (7), Joel Edmundson (13) · wrist xG 0.15 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 17:50 | Alex Laferriere (11) Joel Edmundson (14), Cody Ceci (7) · tip-in xG 0.06 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 18:53 | Macklin Celebrini (24) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.26 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| 3:08 | William Eklund (11) Macklin Celebrini (43) · wrist xG 0.22 | 4–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SJS | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.53 | Expected goals | 3.13 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.12 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.58 |
| 60 | Shot attempts | 56 |
| 46 | Unblocked attempts | 37 |
| 28 | Shots on goal | 26 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:59 | SJS | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · SJS takes the lead, 64–36%
LAK had led since 8:33 of the 1st, by as much as 66% |
| 18:48 | LAK | Goalie | Goalie · Kuemper +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.02 xG, 18 shots on goal |
| 20:00 | SJS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced LAK 1.43–0.30
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:00 of the 2nd to the end of the 2nd; goals 0–1 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 11:50 | LAK | No shift | No shift · Dumoulin, 17:23 on the bench
No shift after the end of the 2nd; 10 shifts (10:07) before that |
| 18:06 | SJS | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Askarov, down 3–2
With 1:54 left; SJS scored at 18:53 of the 3rd (3–3) |
| 19:30 | LAK | No shift | No shift · Lee, 10:34 on the bench
No shift after 8:39 of the 3rd; 11 shifts (8:00) before that |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 10 | 0.80 | 1 | 0 | 25:12 |
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 21:26 |
| 27 | William Eklund | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 8 | 0.65 | 1 | 0 | 21:24 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1.56 | 1 | 0 | 16:55 |
| 84 | Pavol Regenda | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.39 | 4 | 1 | 15:29 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 15:27 |
| 92 | Igor Chernyshov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 14:43 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 12:36 |
| 63 | Zack Ostapchuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 12:09 |
| 53 | Jeff Skinner | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.27 | 2 | 0 | 11:50 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.29 | 4 | 1 | 11:39 |
| 75 | Ryan Reaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 07:54 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 27 | Timothy Liljegren | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.06 | 2 | 4 | 23:59 |
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 22:44 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 21:12 |
| 4 | Nick Leddy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 2 | 17:38 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 2 | 17:28 |
| 6 | Vincent Iorio | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 14:26 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | 26 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 3.13 | +0.13 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Kevin Fiala | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 0.45 | 3 | 0 | 22:26 |
| 62 | Andrei Kuzmenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 21:46 |
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.44 | 0 | 1 | 21:37 |
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.12 | 2 | 0 | 20:40 |
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.10 | 0 | 2 | 20:08 |
| 37 | Warren Foegele | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.17 | 2 | 0 | 18:29 |
| 15 | Alex Turcotte | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.51 | 1 | 0 | 17:22 |
| 39 | Jeff Malott | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.55 | 0 | 2 | 15:30 |
| 17 | Taylor Ward | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 10:20 |
| 79 | Samuel Helenius | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 07:36 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Drew Doughty | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 22:22 |
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 2 | 22:12 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.13 | 1 | 2 | 22:11 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 0.13 | 0 | 2 | 20:13 |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 15:00 |
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 10:07 |
| 43 | Jacob Moverare | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 06:58 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | 28 | 4 | 24 | .857 | 4.53 | +0.53 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +2.20 | +2.00 | +0.52 | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.02 | — | 25:12 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +2.05 | +0.75 | +1.01 | +0.44 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:55 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | +1.42 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.68 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | — | 21:26 |
| 53 Jeff Skinner L | +1.28 | +0.55 | +0.17 | +0.42 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:50 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | +1.07 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +0.08 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 11:39 |
| 84 Pavol Regenda L | +1.03 | 0.00 | +0.25 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:29 |
| 72 William Eklund L | +0.80 | +0.75 | +0.42 | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:24 |
| 37 Timothy Liljegren D | +0.55 | +0.70 | +0.04 | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 23:59 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 22:44 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:27 |
| 30 Yaroslav Askarov G | +0.13 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.13 | 62:21 |
| 92 Igor Chernyshov L | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.31 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:43 |
| 4 Nick Leddy D | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:38 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:28 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | -0.62 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:12 |
| 22 Vincent Iorio D | -0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.87 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 14:26 |
| 75 Ryan Reaves R | -1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:54 |
| 63 Zack Ostapchuk C | -1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.57 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 12:09 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | -1.65 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 12:36 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Alex Turcotte C | +3.28 | +1.45 | +0.33 | +1.45 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | — | 17:22 |
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | +2.81 | +1.25 | +0.09 | +1.24 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:13 |
| 22 Kevin Fiala L | +2.54 | +1.45 | +0.29 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 22:26 |
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | +1.94 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:12 |
| 96 Andrei Kuzmenko L | +1.68 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:46 |
| 39 Jeff Malott L | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.36 | +0.57 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 15:30 |
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.31 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:11 |
| 35 Darcy Kuemper G | +0.53 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.53 | 63:05 |
| 8 Drew Doughty D | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.70 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:22 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.29 | +0.11 | 0.00 | -0.07 | +0.01 | — | 21:37 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | +0.30 | +0.75 | +0.08 | -0.49 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 20:40 |
| 37 Warren Foegele L | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:29 |
| 52 Taylor Ward R | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:20 |
| 79 Samuel Helenius C | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:36 |
| 43 Jacob Moverare D | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:58 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | -0.35 | +0.55 | +0.03 | -0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:00 |
| 47 Andre Lee L | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 8:00 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.59 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 20:08 |
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 10:07 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.