| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 30 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:48 | Sean Kuraly (4) Tanner Jeannot (12), Charlie McAvoy (22) · wrist xG 0.09 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 12:06 | Elias Lindholm (8) David Pastrnak (30), Marat Khusnutdinov (10) · snap xG 0.14 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 14:02 | Mason Lohrei (4) Sean Kuraly (9), Tanner Jeannot (13) · wrist xG 0.06 | 0–3 ▶ | |
| 17:59 | Casey Mittelstadt (10) Viktor Arvidsson (12), Pavel Zacha (18) · wrist xG 0.05 | 0–4 ▶ | |
| 18:44 | Connor Zary (7) Morgan Frost (12), Kevin Bahl (5) · snap xG 0.21 | 1–4 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CGY | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.88 | Expected goals | 3.16 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 2.20 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.90 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 75 |
| 39 | Unblocked attempts | 53 |
| 29 | Shots on goal | 30 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:09 | BOS | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · BOS takes the lead, 70–30%
CGY had led since 4:36 of the 1st, by as much as 61% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:50 | CGY | No shift | No shift · Coleman, 11:05 on the bench
No shift after 4:03 of the 3rd; 14 shifts (9:55) before that |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 91 | Nazem Kadri | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 18:51 |
| 10 | Jonathan Huberdeau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 18:37 |
| 11 | Mikael Backlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 9 | 0.70 | 1 | 1 | 17:35 |
| 86 | Joel Farabee | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.26 | 2 | 2 | 17:17 |
| 27 | Matt Coronato | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 16:20 |
| 17 | Yegor Sharangovich | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 16:16 |
| 47 | Connor Zary | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.39 | 2 | 1 | 16:08 |
| 16 | Morgan Frost | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.42 | 1 | 0 | 14:29 |
| 28 | Justin Kirkland | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.15 | 4 | 1 | 10:28 |
| 43 | Adam Klapka | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.11 | 4 | 0 | 10:22 |
| 20 | Blake Coleman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.09 | 3 | 0 | 09:55 |
| 94 | Ryan Lomberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 09:36 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 4 | Rasmus Andersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 5 | 24:08 |
| 52 | MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.15 | 4 | 2 | 22:49 |
| 7 | Kevin Bahl | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 21:43 |
| 37 | Yan Kuznetsov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 19:40 |
| 48 | Hunter Brzustewicz | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 16:50 |
| 44 | Joel Hanley | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 12:56 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | 30 | 4 | 26 | .867 | 3.16 | -0.84 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 16:56 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 16:45 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 15:55 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 15:35 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 15:30 |
| 21 | Alex Steeves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.51 | 4 | 1 | 14:36 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.19 | 4 | 1 | 14:28 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 14:18 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.22 | 1 | 0 | 13:22 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.23 | 0 | 1 | 13:07 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.60 | 1 | 0 | 12:57 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 12:23 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.07 | 0 | 4 | 24:01 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | 0.02 | 2 | 2 | 20:30 |
| 20 | Henri Jokiharju | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 19:07 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 18:52 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.02 | 4 | 0 | 18:35 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.10 | 1 | 2 | 17:03 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo | 29 | 1 | 28 | .966 | 2.88 | +1.88 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Morgan Frost C | +1.67 | +0.70 | +0.27 | +0.81 | 0.00 | -0.07 | -0.04 | — | 14:29 |
| 17 Yegor Sharangovich C | +0.99 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:16 |
| 47 Connor Zary C | +0.78 | +0.75 | +0.26 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:08 |
| 4 Rasmus Andersson D | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 | — | 24:08 |
| 11 Mikael Backlund C | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.45 | -0.20 | -0.15 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 17:35 |
| 20 Blake Coleman L | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:55 |
| 7 Kevin Bahl D | +0.06 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 21:43 |
| 27 Matt Coronato R | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:20 |
| 48 Hunter Brzustewicz D | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:50 |
| 37 Yan Kuznetsov D | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:40 |
| 23 Justin Kirkland C | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.09 | — | 10:28 |
| 70 Ryan Lomberg L | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.35 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:36 |
| 43 Adam Klapka R | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 10:22 |
| 44 Joel Hanley D | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 12:56 |
| 86 Joel Farabee L | -0.76 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -1.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 17:17 |
| 32 Dustin Wolf G | -0.84 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.84 | 60:00 |
| 52 MacKenzie Weegar D | -0.85 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:49 |
| 10 Jonathan Huberdeau L | -1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:37 |
| 91 Nazem Kadri C | -1.45 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -1.43 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 18:51 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | +2.22 | +1.45 | +0.13 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:28 |
| 70 Joonas Korpisalo G | +1.88 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.88 | 60:00 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | +1.69 | +0.75 | +0.07 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:03 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | +1.58 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 12:23 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | +1.44 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 15:35 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +1.34 | +0.70 | +0.20 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:18 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +1.16 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.52 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 24:01 |
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +1.08 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:56 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | +1.01 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | — | 13:07 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | +0.92 | +0.55 | +0.14 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:22 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:45 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.39 | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.02 | — | 12:57 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:35 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +0.45 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.18 | +0.15 | -0.03 | -0.04 | — | 15:30 |
| 21 Alex Steeves C | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.33 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:36 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.33 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.05 | — | 15:55 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 18:52 |
| 20 Henri Jokiharju D | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:07 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 20:30 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.