| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 |
 |
2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 19 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:59 | |
Noah Dobson (8) Mike Matheson (15), Oliver Kapanen (10) · slap xG 0.03 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 17:35 | |
Oliver Kapanen (15) Juraj Slafkovský (19) · backhand xG 0.10 | 0–2 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:33 | |
Sam Bennett (15) Unassisted · snap xG 0.02 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 13:41 | |
Alexandre Texier (5) Alexandre Carrier (11), Nick Suzuki (34) · tip-in xG 0.11 | 1–3 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:26 | |
Alexandre Texier (6) Mike Matheson (16) · snap xG 0.26 | 1–4 ▶ |
| 11:23 | |
Sam Bennett (16) Evan Rodrigues (12), Niko Mikkola (6) · snap xG 0.07 | 2–4 ▶ |
| 17:59 | |
Juraj Slafkovský (16)EN Oliver Kapanen (11), Lane Hutson (36) · xG 0.99 | 2–5 ▶ |
| 19:10 | |
Alexandre Texier (7) Sammy Blais (5), Joseph Veleno (2) · bat xG 0.51 | 2–6 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| FLA | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.96 | Expected goals | 3.52 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 2.97 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.89 |
| 63 | Shot attempts | 45 |
| 43 | Unblocked attempts | 33 |
| 27 | Shots on goal | 19 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | FLA | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.15–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:00 to 13:00 of the 2nd; goals 1–0 |
| 13:41 | FLA | Goalie | Goalie · Bobrovsky −2.2 goals saved
3 goals on 0.84 xG, 9 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 11:21 | MTL | Goalie | Goalie · Montembeault +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.02 xG, 21 shots on goal |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Sam Reinhart | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 8 | 0.18 | 2 | 1 | 24:16 |
| 9 | Sam Bennett | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 8 | 0.37 | 1 | 0 | 20:16 |
| 15 | Anton Lundell | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 11 | 0.73 | 0 | 0 | 19:55 |
| 27 | Eetu Luostarinen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 3 | 1 | 19:36 |
| 23 | Carter Verhaeghe | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.71 | 0 | 0 | 18:53 |
| 17 | Evan Rodrigues | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 17:30 |
| 11 | Mackie Samoskevich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.53 | 0 | 0 | 11:43 |
| 70 | Jesper Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.52 | 0 | 1 | 11:24 |
| 18 | A.J. Greer | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.47 | 2 | 0 | 11:19 |
| 71 | Luke Kunin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 09:55 |
| 23 | Jack Studnicka | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 06:30 |
| 73 | Noah Gregor | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 05:53 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 42 | Gustav Forsling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 3 | 1 | 23:46 |
| 5 | Aaron Ekblad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 23:32 |
| 77 | Niko Mikkola | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 21:11 |
| 26 | Uvis Balinskis | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 18:24 |
| 2 | Jeff Petry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 2 | 16:58 |
| 73 | Donovan Sebrango | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 11:08 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky | 19 | 5 | 14 | .737 | 2.53 | -2.47 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 21:51 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 19:05 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 1.01 | 0 | 3 | 18:56 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 4 | 17:25 |
| 85 | Alexandre Texier | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 7 | 1.11 | 1 | 0 | 17:15 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 16:27 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 15:36 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 15:25 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 12:28 |
| 90 | Joseph Veleno | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.13 | 2 | 0 | 10:40 |
| 0 | Sammy Blais | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.04 | 5 | 0 | 07:36 |
| 62 | Owen Beck | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 07:09 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 26:25 |
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 24:07 |
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.13 | 0 | 3 | 23:04 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 6 | 22:06 |
| 3 | Jayden Struble | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 09:39 |
| 72 | Arber Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.01 | 6 | 0 | 08:37 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Montembeault | 27 | 2 | 25 | .926 | 3.96 | +1.96 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Sam Bennett C | +2.66 | +1.50 | +0.24 | +1.06 | -0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 20:16 |
| 17 Evan Rodrigues C | +1.63 | +0.70 | +0.12 | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 | — | 17:30 |
| 23 Carter Verhaeghe C | +1.18 | 0.00 | +0.46 | +0.76 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 18:12 |
| 11 Mackie Samoskevich R | +1.10 | 0.00 | +0.35 | +0.60 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:43 |
| 77 Niko Mikkola D | +0.96 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:02 |
| 15 Anton Lundell C | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.48 | +0.52 | -0.15 | +0.07 | -0.06 | — | 19:55 |
| 70 Jesper Boqvist C | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.34 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 11:24 |
| 10 A.J. Greer L | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.31 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 11:19 |
| 5 Aaron Ekblad D | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.70 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 23:32 |
| 42 Gustav Forsling D | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 23:46 |
| 27 Eetu Luostarinen C | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:36 |
| 6 Donovan Sebrango D | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:08 |
| 13 Sam Reinhart C | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:16 |
| 2 Jeff Petry D | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:58 |
| 26 Uvis Balinskis D | -0.77 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.72 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:16 |
| 53 Jack Studnicka C | -0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 6:30 |
| 18 Noah Gregor L | -1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 5:53 |
| 71 Luke Kunin C | -1.31 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 9:55 |
| 72 Sergei Bobrovsky G | -2.47 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.47 | 58:49 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 Alexandre Texier L | +4.02 | +2.25 | +0.72 | +0.75 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:15 |
| 35 Samuel Montembeault G | +1.96 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.96 | 60:00 |
| 27 Sammy Blais L | +1.91 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +1.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:36 |
| 90 Joseph Veleno C | +1.38 | +0.55 | +0.09 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:40 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | +1.16 | +2.00 | +0.10 | -1.10 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.20 | — | 17:19 |
| 47 Jayden Struble D | +1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 9:39 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | +1.07 | +0.55 | +0.09 | +0.50 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.04 | — | 21:51 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | +0.75 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.28 | — | 21:47 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | +0.68 | +0.75 | +0.08 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 22:43 |
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +0.67 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.41 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:27 |
| 62 Owen Beck C | +0.66 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 7:09 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +0.58 | +1.45 | +0.65 | -1.34 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 18:51 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | +0.36 | +1.40 | 0.00 | -1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 25:50 |
| 48 Lane Hutson D | -0.08 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:07 |
| 72 Arber Xhekaj D | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:37 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.65 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:28 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | -0.68 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 15:36 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | -1.05 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -1.12 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:25 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | -1.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.26 | -0.15 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 18:40 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.