| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 21 |
 |
0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 32 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:07 | |
Josh Doan (14) Mattias Samuelsson (15), Jason Zucker (10) · wrist xG 0.19 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:58 | |
Alex Tuch (14) Bowen Byram (14), Josh Norris (10) · snap xG 0.06 | 2–0 ▶ |
| 9:34 | |
Mika Zibanejad (16) Artemi Panarin (31) · slap xG 0.13 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 12:34 | |
Jason Zucker (10)PP Rasmus Dahlin (25), Tage Thompson (18) · deflected xG 0.43 | 3–1 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:51 | |
Vincent Trocheck (11) J.T. Miller (13), Artemi Panarin (32) · wrist xG 0.04 | 3–2 ▶ |
| 14:38 | |
Mattias Samuelsson (7)SH Ryan McLeod (16) · snap xG 0.05 | 4–2 ▶ |
| 18:30 | |
Ryan McLeod (9)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.93 | 5–2 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| BUF | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.44 | Expected goals | 2.79 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 2.23 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.72 |
| 48 | Shot attempts | 66 |
| 36 | Unblocked attempts | 45 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 32 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:10 | BUF | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYR 1.72–0.13
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:10 to 13:10 of the 2nd; goals 2–1 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:10 | NYR | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced BUF 1.32–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 18:20 of the 2nd to 8:20 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
| 16:55 | NYR | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Quick, down 4–2
With 3:05 left; BUF scored at 18:30 of the 3rd (5–2) |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 89 | Alex Tuch | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 17:30 |
| 71 | Ryan McLeod | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 1.20 | 0 | 0 | 17:30 |
| 72 | Tage Thompson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.51 | 1 | 1 | 16:39 |
| 91 | Josh Doan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.29 | 3 | 0 | 16:09 |
| 6 | Zach Benson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 16:04 |
| 17 | Jason Zucker | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 0.90 | 1 | 0 | 15:00 |
| 22 | Jack Quinn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.66 | 0 | 0 | 14:12 |
| 12 | Jordan Greenway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 2 | 1 | 13:49 |
| 9 | Josh Norris | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 13:27 |
| 86 | Noah Ostlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 12:59 |
| 29 | Beck Malenstyn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 12:01 |
| 19 | Peyton Krebs | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.15 | 4 | 1 | 11:29 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 23 | Mattias Samuelsson | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.07 | 2 | 4 | 23:56 |
| 24 | Bowen Byram | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 23:45 |
| 26 | Rasmus Dahlin | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0.12 | 1 | 3 | 23:41 |
| 25 | Owen Power | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 22:15 |
| 73 | Zach Metsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 12:39 |
| 78 | Jacob Bryson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:55 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colten Ellis | 32 | 2 | 30 | .938 | 2.79 | +0.79 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 7 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 | 20:53 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.55 | 2 | 0 | 20:24 |
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.30 | 4 | 1 | 19:47 |
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 6 | 0.30 | 2 | 1 | 19:33 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.30 | 3 | 1 | 16:34 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 16:30 |
| 94 | Gabe Perreault | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 15:08 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 |
| 22 | Jonny Brodzinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 14:10 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 10:10 |
| 73 | Matt Rempe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 6 | 0 | 09:43 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 7 | 0.17 | 2 | 1 | 24:37 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.16 | 4 | 2 | 21:19 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 18:21 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 3 | 18:08 |
| 60 | Scott Morrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 14:30 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick | 20 | 4 | 16 | .800 | 3.36 | -0.64 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Ryan McLeod C | +2.93 | +1.45 | +0.78 | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 17:30 |
| 17 Jason Zucker L | +2.86 | +1.30 | +0.59 | +0.98 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:00 |
| 23 Mattias Samuelsson D | +2.11 | +1.45 | +0.05 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 23:56 |
| 89 Alex Tuch R | +1.45 | +0.75 | +0.12 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 17:30 |
| 72 Tage Thompson C | +1.24 | +0.55 | +0.33 | +0.35 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.07 | — | 16:39 |
| 9 Josh Norris C | +1.19 | +0.55 | +0.12 | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 13:27 |
| 91 Josh Doan R | +1.17 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +0.28 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 16:09 |
| 78 Jacob Bryson D | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:55 |
| 92 Colten Ellis G | +0.79 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.79 | 60:00 |
| 4 Bowen Byram D | +0.78 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 23:45 |
| 22 Jack Quinn R | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.43 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 14:12 |
| 6 Zach Benson L | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.34 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.07 | — | 16:04 |
| 26 Rasmus Dahlin D | +0.52 | +0.70 | +0.08 | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 23:41 |
| 73 Zach Metsa D | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 12:39 |
| 25 Owen Power D | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:15 |
| 12 Jordan Greenway L | -0.59 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:49 |
| 29 Beck Malenstyn L | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.68 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 12:01 |
| 19 Peyton Krebs C | -0.62 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.45 | -0.30 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 11:29 |
| 86 Noah Ostlund C | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.61 | -0.15 | -0.03 | +0.09 | — | 12:59 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +1.52 | +0.70 | +0.36 | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | — | 20:24 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +1.27 | +1.25 | +0.18 | -0.31 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:53 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +1.26 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 19:33 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | +1.15 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +0.01 | +0.15 | +0.03 | +0.01 | — | 19:47 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 24:37 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 21:19 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:34 |
| 94 Gabe Perreault R | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 15:11 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 14:30 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:38 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 10:08 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.27 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 16:30 |
| 60 Scott Morrow D | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:51 |
| 73 Matt Rempe C | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:43 |
| 22 Jonny Brodzinski C | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.35 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 14:12 |
| 25 Anton Blidh L | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:35 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | -0.59 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 18:08 |
| 32 Jonathan Quick G | -0.64 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.64 | 58:25 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | -0.76 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.62 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:21 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.