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Anaheim DucksANA 2–5 Final Carolina HurricanesCAR

Thursday, January 8, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Anaheim DucksANA 110 2 13
Carolina HurricanesCAR 032 5 35

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
13:18 ANA Ryan Poehling (3) Jackson LaCombe (21), Chris Kreider (10) · snap xG 0.22 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
8:56 CAR Mark Jankowski (3) Eric Robinson (5) · wrist xG 0.18 1–1 ▶
12:04 ANA Mikael Granlund (8) Mason McTavish (17), Beckett Sennecke (19) · tip-in xG 0.24 2–1 ▶
14:05 CAR Logan Stankoven (9) Taylor Hall (13), Jalen Chatfield (9) · snap xG 0.28 2–2 ▶
16:08 CAR Jalen Chatfield (1) Jordan Staal (7), Shayne Gostisbehere (26) · slap xG 0.07 2–3 ▶
3rd Period
10:39 CAR Jackson Blake (13) Alexander Nikishin (12), Logan Stankoven (12) · backhand xG 0.08 2–4 ▶
17:11 CAR Taylor Hall (9)EN Sean Walker (8), K'Andre Miller (16) · snap xG 0.89 2–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

ANA 47%Deserve to win53% CAR
ANACAR
2.77Expected goals3.83
2Goals (no shootout)5
1.94Expected goals, 5 on 52.47
37Shot attempts73
29Unblocked attempts53
13Shots on goal35

Shot map

ANA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CAR shoots
Shayne Gostisbehere: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:00) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 79 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:22) Seth Jarvis: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 1:39) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:05) Mikael Granlund: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 2:32) Ryan Strome: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 3:22) Leo Carlsson: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:23) Ryan Strome: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:46) Sebastian Aho: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:24) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:27) Alexander Nikishin: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:43) Jackson LaCombe: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:52) Ryan Strome: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:53) Beckett Sennecke: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 9:17) Mikael Granlund: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:45) Cutter Gauthier: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 10:03) Beckett Sennecke: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 10:25) Jalen Chatfield: snap, 161 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:36) Seth Jarvis: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:47) Jordan Martinook: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:51) Taylor Hall: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:26) Sean Walker: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:57) Ross Johnston: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:48) Ross Johnston: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.25 (P1 15:52) Eric Robinson: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:40) K'Andre Miller: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:56) Seth Jarvis: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 19:34) Jalen Chatfield: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 0:12) Jalen Chatfield: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:15) Ryan Strome: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 1:02) Alex Killorn: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:04) Sebastian Aho: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:13) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:16) Sebastian Aho: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 1:45) Jackson Blake: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 1:58) Jackson Blake: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:59) Shayne Gostisbehere: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:08) Cutter Gauthier: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:04) William Carrier: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 4:29) Mark Jankowski: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 4:30) Alexander Nikishin: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:36) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:49) Sebastian Aho: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:50) Logan Stankoven: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:11) Sean Walker: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:22) Seth Jarvis: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:25) Shayne Gostisbehere: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:31) Jackson LaCombe: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:35) Seth Jarvis: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:46) Beckett Sennecke: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 11:58) Mikael Granlund: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 11:59) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:19) Taylor Hall: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:29) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 14:23) Sean Walker: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:05) Beckett Sennecke: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 18:18) Sebastian Aho: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 18:48) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:26) Alexander Nikishin: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:01) Leo Carlsson: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:59) Ryan Strome: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:00) Drew Helleson: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:08) K'Andre Miller: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:03) Mark Jankowski: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:46) Jordan Staal: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:48) Mason McTavish: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 12:28) Beckett Sennecke: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:40) Alexander Nikishin: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:35) Eric Robinson: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:46) K'Andre Miller: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:32) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 18:16) Shayne Gostisbehere: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:23) Mason McTavish: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 19:04) Radko Gudas: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:06) Olen Zellweger: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:09) Ryan Poehling: GOAL, snap, 13 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 13:18) Mark Jankowski: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 8:56) Mikael Granlund: GOAL, tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 12:04) Logan Stankoven: GOAL, snap, 8 ft, xG 0.28 (P2 14:05) Jalen Chatfield: GOAL, slap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:08) Jackson Blake: GOAL, backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 10:39) Taylor Hall: GOAL, snap, 32 ft, xG 0.89 (P3 17:11)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Anaheim Ducks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
64 Mikael Granlund 101 -1 50.60 0020:17
17 Alex Killorn 000 -1 20.01 1019:31
91 Leo Carlsson 000 -1 20.12 0019:13
45 Beckett Sennecke 011 0 50.59 0018:36
22 Ryan Strome 000 -1 60.44 1016:41
83 Mason McTavish 011 0 40.21 0115:58
61 Cutter Gauthier 000 -1 30.17 2015:33
25 Ryan Poehling 101 -1 10.22 0413:56
22 Chris Kreider 011 0 00.00 4113:40
49 Ross Johnston 000 -2 20.32 3109:47
10 Jansen Harkins 000 -1 00.00 3108:35
Defense
65 Jacob Trouba 000 -2 00.00 2321:28
98 Pavel Mintyukov 000 0 10.00 1020:58
2 Jackson LaCombe 011 -1 20.07 0420:36
6 Radko Gudas 000 +1 10.00 6119:12
8 Olen Zellweger 000 -3 20.00 0218:34
14 Drew Helleson 000 -1 10.01 1213:12
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ville Husso 34430 .882 2.94 -1.06

Carolina Hurricanes

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
24 Seth Jarvis 000 0 50.45 2017:59
11 Jordan Staal 011 0 20.04 3217:31
20 Sebastian Aho 000 -1 60.40 0016:36
48 Jordan Martinook 000 +1 10.02 2016:02
22 Logan Stankoven 112 +3 40.35 0115:27
53 Jackson Blake 101 +3 40.25 0115:15
37 Andrei Svechnikov 000 -2 30.04 1015:08
27 Nikolaj Ehlers 000 -1 80.42 0015:01
71 Taylor Hall 112 +3 40.94 1012:58
50 Eric Robinson 011 +1 30.02 1012:10
28 William Carrier 000 +1 20.16 1012:06
77 Mark Jankowski 101 +1 40.26 0011:54
Defense
19 K'Andre Miller 011 -1 40.05 1124:21
5 Jalen Chatfield 112 +2 50.14 1020:59
26 Sean Walker 011 0 30.10 1020:59
4 Shayne Gostisbehere 011 +3 50.14 0320:23
21 Alexander Nikishin 011 +1 80.06 2016:04
64 Joel Nystrom 000 +1 20.00 0013:37
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Frederik Andersen 13211 .846 2.77 +0.77

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Anaheim Ducks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
64 Mikael Granlund C +1.80 +0.75 +0.39 +0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 20:17
45 Beckett Sennecke R +1.40 +0.55 +0.39 +0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:36
2 Jackson LaCombe D +1.36 +0.70 +0.04 +0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.16 — 20:36
23 Mason McTavish C +1.32 +0.70 +0.13 +0.45 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 15:58
7 Radko Gudas D +0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.91 -0.30 0.00 +0.03 — 19:12
25 Ryan Poehling C +0.50 +0.75 +0.14 -0.52 0.00 -0.05 +0.18 — 13:56
16 Ryan Strome C +0.37 0.00 +0.29 -0.04 +0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 16:41
20 Chris Kreider L -0.04 +0.55 0.00 -0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.03 — 13:40
98 Pavel Mintyukov D -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 20:58
44 Ross Johnston L -0.34 0.00 +0.21 -0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:47
17 Alex Killorn L -0.37 0.00 +0.01 -0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:31
91 Leo Carlsson C -0.40 0.00 +0.08 -0.41 0.00 -0.05 -0.02 — 19:13
42 Tim Washe C -0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.40 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 10:24
24 Jansen Harkins C -0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.44 0.00 -0.01 +0.01 — 8:35
61 Cutter Gauthier L -0.61 0.00 +0.11 -0.86 +0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 15:33
14 Drew Helleson D -0.70 0.00 +0.01 -0.83 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 13:12
65 Jacob Trouba D -0.81 0.00 0.00 -0.94 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 21:28
33 Ville Husso G -1.06 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.06 59:49
51 Olen Zellweger D -1.20 0.00 0.00 -1.28 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:34

Carolina Hurricanes

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
71 Taylor Hall L +3.01 +1.45 +0.61 +0.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:58
5 Jalen Chatfield D +2.47 +1.30 +0.09 +1.10 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:59
4 Shayne Gostisbehere D +2.39 +0.55 +0.09 +1.64 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 20:23
22 Logan Stankoven C +2.30 +1.30 +0.23 +0.79 0.00 -0.02 +0.01 — 15:27
53 Jackson Blake R +1.79 +0.75 +0.16 +0.87 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:15
77 Mark Jankowski L +1.69 +0.75 +0.17 +0.72 0.00 +0.07 -0.02 — 11:54
50 Eric Robinson L +1.42 +0.70 +0.01 +0.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:10
21 Alexander Nikishin D +0.86 +0.70 +0.04 +0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:04
28 William Carrier L +0.86 0.00 +0.10 +0.76 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 12:06
31 Frederik Andersen G +0.77 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.77 59:30
11 Jordan Staal C +0.48 +0.70 +0.02 -0.42 0.00 +0.07 +0.10 — 17:31
48 Jordan Martinook L +0.41 0.00 +0.01 +0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:02
64 Joel Nystrom D +0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:37
24 Seth Jarvis C +0.14 0.00 +0.29 -0.28 +0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 17:59
20 Sebastian Aho C +0.06 0.00 +0.26 -0.21 0.00 +0.07 -0.06 — 16:36
26 Sean Walker D -0.04 +0.70 +0.07 -0.47 -0.30 0.00 -0.04 — 20:59
27 Nikolaj Ehlers L -0.30 0.00 +0.28 -0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:01
19 K'Andre Miller D -0.39 +0.55 +0.03 -1.02 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 24:21
37 Andrei Svechnikov R -1.05 0.00 +0.02 -1.09 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:08

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.