| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 30 |
 |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:11 | |
Kyle Connor (21) Mark Scheifele (29), Alex Iafallo (8) · snap xG 0.16 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 17:02 | |
Vasily Podkolzin (10) Kasperi Kapanen (4), Ty Emberson (7) · wrist xG 0.14 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 18:16 | |
Tanner Pearson (5) Cole Koepke (5) · wrist xG 0.05 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 18:56 | |
Josh Morrissey (7) Kyle Connor (30), Mark Scheifele (30) · snap xG 0.05 | 1–3 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 19:39 | |
Connor McDavid (29) Leon Draisaitl (40), Evan Bouchard (32) · wrist xG 0.18 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 8:19 | |
Zach Hyman (13) Darnell Nurse (10) · wrist xG 0.11 | 3–3 ▶ |
| 10:37 | |
Evan Bouchard (9)PP Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (24), Connor McDavid (48) · snap xG 0.16 | 4–3 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| EDM | WPG | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.21 | Expected goals | 1.96 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.78 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.74 |
| 52 | Shot attempts | 40 |
| 42 | Unblocked attempts | 31 |
| 30 | Shots on goal | 16 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:18 | WPG | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · WPG takes the lead, 60–40%
EDM had led since 5:47 of the 1st, by as much as 70% |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 17:45 | EDM | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · EDM takes the lead, 60–40%
WPG had led since 16:18 of the 1st, by as much as 62% |
| 20:00 | EDM | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced WPG 1.28–0.05
In xG over 10 minutes, 14:10 of the 2nd to 4:10 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:03 | WPG | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Hellebuyck, down 4–3
With 1:57 left |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 9 | 0.77 | 0 | 0 | 24:24 |
| 29 | Leon Draisaitl | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 20:31 |
| 93 | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 19:53 |
| 18 | Zach Hyman | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.49 | 0 | 0 | 19:41 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.21 | 2 | 0 | 14:45 |
| 42 | Kasperi Kapanen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 14:44 |
| 96 | Jack Roslovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 14:11 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 12:47 |
| 53 | Isaac Howard | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.52 | 0 | 0 | 12:26 |
| 13 | Mattias Janmark | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 |
| 20 | Curtis Lazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 06:51 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 06:47 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0.29 | 0 | 1 | 26:02 |
| 24 | Spencer Stastney | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 20:55 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 20:07 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.10 | 1 | 3 | 20:05 |
| 49 | Ty Emberson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 16:40 |
| 61 | Riley Stillman | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 12:59 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Pickard | 16 | 3 | 13 | .813 | 1.96 | -1.04 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 55 | Mark Scheifele | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 22:43 |
| 81 | Kyle Connor | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 5 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 20:43 |
| 13 | Gabriel Vilardi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 18:21 |
| 19 | Jonathan Toews | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 | 17:28 |
| 9 | Alex Iafallo | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 16:50 |
| 36 | Morgan Barron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 16:02 |
| 17 | Adam Lowry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 15:34 |
| 62 | Nino Niederreiter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 14:43 |
| 91 | Cole Perfetti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 3 | 1 | 12:27 |
| 70 | Tanner Pearson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 10:20 |
| 45 | Cole Koepke | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.10 | 5 | 0 | 09:29 |
| 53 | Danil Zhilkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 06:55 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Josh Morrissey | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.23 | 0 | 2 | 24:40 |
| 4 | Neal Pionk | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 3 | 22:20 |
| 2 | Dylan DeMelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 19:43 |
| 54 | Dylan Samberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 19:21 |
| 8 | Logan Stanley | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 16:44 |
| 2 | Luke Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 2 | 14:35 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | 30 | 4 | 26 | .867 | 3.21 | -0.79 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97 Connor McDavid C | +3.37 | +1.30 | +0.50 | +1.47 | +0.15 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 24:24 |
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | +2.80 | +1.30 | +0.19 | +1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 26:02 |
| 18 Zach Hyman L | +2.43 | +0.75 | +0.32 | +1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:41 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | +1.53 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:07 |
| 29 Leon Draisaitl C | +1.49 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.06 | — | 20:31 |
| 93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | +1.31 | +0.70 | +0.08 | +0.72 | -0.15 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 19:53 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | +0.82 | +0.75 | +0.14 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:45 |
| 53 Isaac Howard L | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.34 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:26 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | +0.70 | +0.70 | +0.06 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 20:05 |
| 49 Ty Emberson D | +0.64 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:40 |
| 42 Kasperi Kapanen R | +0.51 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:44 |
| 28 Jack Roslovic C | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.26 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 14:11 |
| 61 Riley Stillman D | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:59 |
| 13 Mattias Janmark C | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 12:12 |
| 10 Trent Frederic C | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:47 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:47 |
| 20 Curtis Lazar C | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.36 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 6:51 |
| 24 Spencer Stastney D | -0.47 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:55 |
| 30 Calvin Pickard G | -1.04 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.04 | 60:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 Josh Morrissey D | +1.17 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 24:40 |
| 81 Kyle Connor L | +1.08 | +1.45 | +0.21 | -0.69 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:43 |
| 70 Tanner Pearson L | +0.99 | +0.75 | +0.03 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:20 |
| 55 Mark Scheifele C | +0.76 | +1.25 | +0.10 | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:43 |
| 45 Cole Koepke L | +0.41 | +0.70 | +0.07 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:29 |
| 91 Cole Perfetti C | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:27 |
| 5 Luke Schenn D | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 14:35 |
| 19 Jonathan Toews C | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.07 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 17:28 |
| 53 Danil Zhilkin C | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:55 |
| 13 Gabriel Vilardi C | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:21 |
| 64 Logan Stanley D | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:44 |
| 9 Alex Iafallo L | -0.34 | +0.55 | +0.04 | -0.94 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:50 |
| 36 Morgan Barron C | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.39 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:02 |
| 62 Nino Niederreiter R | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.33 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:43 |
| 4 Neal Pionk D | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 22:20 |
| 17 Adam Lowry C | -0.56 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.78 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:34 |
| 37 Connor Hellebuyck G | -0.79 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.79 | 57:46 |
| 2 Dylan DeMelo D | -0.85 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:43 |
| 54 Dylan Samberg D | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:21 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.