| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 34 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:24 | Mika Zibanejad (17) Artemi Panarin (33), Matthew Robertson (6) · slap xG 0.02 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 2:31 | Marat Khusnutdinov (6) David Pastrnak (31), Henri Jokiharju (7) · snap xG 0.15 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 7:16 | Pavel Zacha (11) Charlie McAvoy (23) · snap xG 0.12 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 19:27 | Pavel Zacha (12)PP Elias Lindholm (21), David Pastrnak (32) · snap xG 0.76 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:12 | Fraser Minten (9) Viktor Arvidsson (13), Alex Steeves (6) · snap xG 0.06 | 1–4 ▶ | |
| 6:41 | Marat Khusnutdinov (7) David Pastrnak (33), Elias Lindholm (22) · snap xG 0.25 | 1–5 ▶ | |
| 11:26 | Pavel Zacha (13) Casey Mittelstadt (9) · snap xG 0.07 | 1–6 ▶ | |
| 14:04 | J.T. Miller (11)PP Mika Zibanejad (23), Vincent Trocheck (16) · wrist xG 0.24 | 2–6 ▶ | |
| 15:47 | Charlie McAvoy (2) David Pastrnak (34), Jonathan Aspirot (1) · snap xG 0.17 | 2–7 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:51 | Marat Khusnutdinov (8) David Pastrnak (35), Nikita Zadorov (14) · tip-in xG 0.07 | 2–8 ▶ | |
| 11:26 | Fraser Minten (10) David Pastrnak (36), Marat Khusnutdinov (11) · snap xG 0.16 | 2–9 ▶ | |
| 18:31 | Marat Khusnutdinov (9) Henri Jokiharju (8), Fraser Minten (10) · tip-in xG 0.08 | 2–10 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYR | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.62 | Expected goals | 4.68 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 10 |
| 1.66 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.27 |
| 60 | Shot attempts | 63 |
| 46 | Unblocked attempts | 54 |
| 29 | Shots on goal | 34 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30 | BOS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYR 1.67–0.17
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:20 of the 1st to 0:20 of the 2nd; goals 1–0 |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:41 | NYR | Goalie | Goalie · Quick −2.1 goals saved
5 goals on 2.94 xG, 17 shots on goal |
| 11:26 | NYR | Goalie change | Goalie change · Martin in for Quick
11:26 of the 2nd; Quick had allowed 6 goals on 20 shots (3.29 xG) |
| 11:30 | BOS | No shift | No shift · Geekie, 32:06 on the bench
No shift after 19:49 of the 1st; 7 shifts (6:14) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:50 | BOS | No shift | No shift · Lindholm, 18:45 on the bench
No shift after 15:42 of the 2nd; 15 shifts (12:05) before that |
| 18:31 | NYR | Goalie | Goalie · Martin −2.6 goals saved
4 goals on 1.37 xG, 13 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | 0.26 | 5 | 2 | 20:37 |
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 | 0.12 | 2 | 0 | 19:07 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 5 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 18:35 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.12 | 5 | 0 | 17:12 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 6 | 0.66 | 3 | 0 | 16:53 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 15:56 |
| 94 | Gabe Perreault | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 15:26 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 14:48 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 3 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 |
| 22 | Jonny Brodzinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 08:34 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.11 | 2 | 1 | 08:10 |
| 73 | Matt Rempe | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 08:08 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 25:32 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.05 | 3 | 0 | 24:19 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 8 | 0.15 | 3 | 0 | 20:16 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 18:04 |
| 60 | Scott Morrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 17:05 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:39 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick | 20 | 6 | 14 | .700 | 3.29 | -2.71 |
| Spencer Martin | 14 | 4 | 10 | .714 | 1.39 | -2.61 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 0 | 6 | 6 | +5 | 6 | 0.49 | 1 | 0 | 19:26 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 17:30 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 6 | 0.30 | 4 | 2 | 17:19 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.23 | 3 | 1 | 17:04 |
| 21 | Alex Steeves | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.37 | 4 | 1 | 16:02 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 15:44 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 4 | 1 | 5 | +6 | 6 | 0.71 | 1 | 2 | 15:34 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 1.14 | 0 | 0 | 15:26 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 8 | 0.51 | 0 | 1 | 15:04 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 13:52 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 12:05 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 06:14 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 0.39 | 1 | 1 | 21:26 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 3 | 0.02 | 4 | 0 | 19:52 |
| 20 | Henri Jokiharju | 0 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 5 | 0.08 | 2 | 0 | 18:47 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 18:38 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 18:38 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 18:20 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 29 | 2 | 27 | .931 | 2.62 | +0.62 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +0.71 | +0.75 | +0.43 | -0.39 | -0.15 | +0.08 | 0.00 | — | 16:53 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | +0.47 | +0.55 | +0.17 | -0.51 | +0.15 | +0.03 | +0.08 | — | 20:37 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:56 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.27 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:48 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | -0.22 | +1.45 | +0.08 | -1.52 | -0.15 | -0.04 | -0.04 | — | 19:07 |
| 94 Gabe Perreault R | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.24 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:26 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:15 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | -0.42 | +0.55 | +0.10 | -1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:16 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | -0.57 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.79 | +0.15 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 8:10 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | -0.64 | +0.70 | +0.16 | -1.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 18:35 |
| 60 Scott Morrow D | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 17:05 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | -0.75 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 25:32 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | -0.77 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 24:19 |
| 73 Matt Rempe C | -0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 8:08 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | -0.96 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.87 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:12 |
| 22 Jonny Brodzinski C | -0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 8:34 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | -1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:39 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | -1.53 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:04 |
| 41 Spencer Martin G | -2.61 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.61 | 28:34 |
| 32 Jonathan Quick G | -2.71 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.71 | 31:26 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +6.23 | +4.05 | +0.32 | +1.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 19:26 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | +6.06 | +3.55 | +0.46 | +2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 15:34 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +4.18 | +2.05 | +0.20 | +1.87 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.08 | — | 17:19 |
| 20 Henri Jokiharju D | +3.18 | +1.25 | +0.06 | +1.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:47 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +3.02 | +2.25 | +0.74 | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:26 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +2.74 | +1.45 | +0.25 | +0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 21:26 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | +2.14 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:38 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | +2.09 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:52 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | +1.98 | +1.25 | +0.01 | +0.69 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 12:05 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +1.98 | +0.70 | +0.33 | +0.74 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:04 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | +1.64 | +0.70 | +0.12 | +0.68 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:44 |
| 21 Alex Steeves C | +1.54 | +0.55 | +0.24 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:02 |
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | +0.62 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.62 | 60:00 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:14 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.27 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 18:38 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.17 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 17:30 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:04 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 18:20 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 13:52 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.