hockeystats.io

Calgary FlamesCGY 2–1 Final Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

Saturday, January 10, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Calgary FlamesCGY 101 2 25
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 010 1 28

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:33 CGY Connor Zary (8) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.20 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
9:17 PIT Egor Chinakhov (5) Evgeni Malkin (22), Ben Kindel (11) · wrist xG 0.12 1–1 ▶
3rd Period
0:42 CGY Matt Coronato (12) Rasmus Andersson (19), Mikael Backlund (17) · wrist xG 0.09 2–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CGY 32%Deserve to win68% PIT
CGYPIT
1.74Expected goals2.73
2Goals (no shootout)1
1.36Expected goals, 5 on 51.75
52Shot attempts59
35Unblocked attempts39
25Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
12:19 PIT Deserve to win Deserve to win · PIT takes the lead, 60–40%
CGY had led since 2:33 of the 1st, by as much as 70%
18:30 PIT xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CGY 1.20–0.10
In xG over 10 minutes, 9:00 to 19:00 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
3rd Period
17:53 PIT Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Silovs, down 2–1
With 2:07 left

Shot map

CGY shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PIT shoots
Joel Farabee: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 1:16) Blake Lizotte: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:03) Mikael Backlund: backhand, 145 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:16) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:23) Parker Wotherspoon: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:29) Tommy Novak: tip-in, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:01) Sidney Crosby: backhand, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:48) Joel Farabee: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:23) Yan Kuznetsov: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:46) Connor Zary: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:24) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:09) Nazem Kadri: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:33) Yan Kuznetsov: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 12:41) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.33 (P1 13:48) Adam Klapka: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:39) Mikael Backlund: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:55) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 16:56) Connor Dewar: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:38) Yan Kuznetsov: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:54) Matt Coronato: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 0:50) Jack St. Ivany: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:24) Noel Acciari: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:29) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:36) Jonathan Huberdeau: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:30) Kevin Hayes: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:59) Blake Lizotte: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 10:18) Ben Kindel: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 11:35) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 12:12) Evgeni Malkin: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:19) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:28) Kris Letang: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:42) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:31) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:32) Jack St. Ivany: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:38) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:30) Ryan Lomberg: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 14:32) Yegor Sharangovich: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:50) Connor Dewar: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:24) Noel Acciari: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 16:05) Noel Acciari: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 16:14) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 17:55) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 162 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:05) Justin Brazeau: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:58) Joel Farabee: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:09) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 19:29) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:30) Ben Kindel: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:16) Joel Farabee: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:25) Matt Coronato: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 3:56) Nazem Kadri: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:16) Egor Chinakhov: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:48) Jonathan Huberdeau: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 5:03) Justin Kirkland: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:51) William Stromgren: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 6:17) Joel Hanley: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:22) Sidney Crosby: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 7:56) Joel Hanley: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:55) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:40) Kevin Hayes: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 9:46) Parker Wotherspoon: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 10:28) Parker Wotherspoon: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:38) Brett Kulak: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:46) Noel Acciari: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:52) Sidney Crosby: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:24) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 104 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:44) Kevin Bahl: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 14:19) Yan Kuznetsov: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:04) MacKenzie Weegar: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:12) Nazem Kadri: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 15:32) Anthony Mantha: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 18:58) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 19:47) Connor Zary: GOAL, wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 2:33) Egor Chinakhov: GOAL, wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 9:17) Matt Coronato: GOAL, wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 0:42)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Calgary Flames

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
91 Nazem Kadri 000 0 50.16 0121:13
86 Joel Farabee 000 0 40.17 0020:32
11 Mikael Backlund 011 +1 50.06 0019:37
10 Jonathan Huberdeau 000 0 50.26 1119:31
27 Matt Coronato 101 +1 40.23 0119:15
17 Yegor Sharangovich 000 +1 40.04 0015:39
47 Connor Zary 101 0 20.29 0013:45
43 Adam Klapka 000 0 10.03 4110:37
16 Morgan Frost 000 0 00.00 0110:20
28 Justin Kirkland 000 0 10.01 0008:00
94 Ryan Lomberg 000 0 10.00 2108:00
65 William Stromgren 000 0 10.10 0007:27
Defense
4 Rasmus Andersson 011 +1 40.03 1125:04
52 MacKenzie Weegar 000 -1 60.07 2423:21
7 Kevin Bahl 000 0 20.11 3423:16
37 Yan Kuznetsov 000 0 50.15 0120:20
44 Joel Hanley 000 +1 20.02 0013:03
94 Brayden Pachal 000 +1 00.00 4211:12
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Devin Cooley 28127 .964 2.73 +1.73

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
67 Rickard Rakell 000 -1 40.32 2022:57
87 Sidney Crosby 000 -1 40.10 2022:03
71 Evgeni Malkin 011 +1 40.10 1018:59
81 Ben Kindel 011 +1 40.19 0116:13
19 Connor Dewar 000 0 30.08 2214:59
52 Noel Acciari 000 0 40.30 1114:14
18 Tommy Novak 000 -1 10.02 0013:53
46 Blake Lizotte 000 0 30.16 1212:58
39 Anthony Mantha 000 -1 50.30 1011:52
16 Justin Brazeau 000 -1 50.66 0111:05
59 Egor Chinakhov 101 +1 20.13 1010:09
13 Kevin Hayes 000 -1 30.11 1007:45
Defense
65 Erik Karlsson 000 0 50.00 0025:03
58 Kris Letang 000 -1 10.05 2224:51
29 Parker Wotherspoon 000 0 40.12 1419:22
27 Brett Kulak 000 -1 20.03 0218:57
6 Ryan Shea 000 0 20.00 0014:27
6 Jack St. Ivany 000 0 30.05 0212:20
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Arturs Silovs 25223 .920 1.74 -0.26

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Calgary Flames

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
1 Devin Cooley G +1.73 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.73 59:48
47 Connor Zary C +1.42 +0.75 +0.19 +0.03 +0.45 -0.01 0.00 — 13:45
27 Matt Coronato R +1.24 +0.75 +0.15 +0.31 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 19:15
11 Mikael Backlund C +0.86 +0.55 +0.04 +0.34 0.00 -0.07 0.00 — 19:37
4 Rasmus Andersson D +0.38 +0.70 +0.02 -0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 25:04
17 Yegor Sharangovich C +0.31 0.00 +0.03 +0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:39
10 Jonathan Huberdeau L +0.25 0.00 +0.17 +0.19 -0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 19:31
94 Brayden Pachal D +0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 11:12
52 MacKenzie Weegar D +0.16 0.00 +0.05 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 23:21
37 Yan Kuznetsov D +0.14 0.00 +0.10 +0.18 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 20:20
43 Adam Klapka R +0.11 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 10:37
16 Morgan Frost C +0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 10:20
44 Joel Hanley D -0.03 0.00 +0.01 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:03
86 Joel Farabee L -0.20 0.00 +0.11 -0.33 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 20:32
23 Justin Kirkland C -0.26 0.00 +0.01 -0.25 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 8:00
91 Nazem Kadri C -0.28 0.00 +0.10 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:13
65 William Stromgren L -0.31 0.00 +0.07 -0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:27
70 Ryan Lomberg L -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 8:00
7 Kevin Bahl D -0.45 0.00 +0.07 -0.66 0.00 0.00 +0.14 — 23:16

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
16 Justin Brazeau R +0.86 0.00 +0.43 +0.39 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 11:05
59 Egor Chinakhov R +0.85 +0.75 +0.08 +0.03 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 10:09
28 Parker Wotherspoon D +0.83 0.00 +0.08 +0.58 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 19:22
46 Blake Lizotte C +0.57 0.00 +0.10 +0.23 +0.15 +0.01 +0.08 — 12:58
55 Noel Acciari C +0.55 0.00 +0.19 +0.30 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 14:14
81 Ben Kindel C +0.50 +0.55 +0.12 -0.21 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 16:13
19 Connor Dewar C +0.46 0.00 +0.05 +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 14:59
65 Erik Karlsson D +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 25:03
39 Anthony Mantha R +0.37 0.00 +0.19 +0.22 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 11:52
71 Evgeni Malkin C +0.36 +0.70 +0.06 -0.21 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 18:59
58 Kris Letang D +0.25 0.00 +0.03 +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 24:51
67 Rickard Rakell R +0.08 0.00 +0.20 -0.28 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 22:57
13 Kevin Hayes R +0.07 0.00 +0.07 +0.18 -0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 7:45
18 Tommy Novak C +0.06 0.00 +0.02 +0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:53
77 Brett Kulak D -0.04 0.00 +0.02 0.00 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 18:57
87 Sidney Crosby C -0.06 0.00 +0.07 -0.19 0.00 +0.09 -0.02 — 22:03
3 Jack St. Ivany D -0.15 0.00 +0.04 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 12:20
37 Arturs Silovs G -0.26 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.26 57:53
5 Ryan Shea D -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:27

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.