Saturday, January 10, 2026
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
CBJ 59%Deserve to win 41% COL
CBJ COL
2.93 Expected goals 2.44
0 Goals (no shootout) 4
2.62 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.05
72 Shot attempts 69
53 Unblocked attempts 45
29 Shots on goal 31
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
2nd Period
19:17
COL
Goalie
Goalie · Miner +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.04 xG, 20 shots on goal
Shot map
CBJ shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → COL shoots
Boone Jenner: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:17)
Kent Johnson: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:18)
Ivan Provorov: wrist, 105 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:41)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:55)
Martin Necas: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:31)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 100 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:00)
Ilya Solovyov: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:55)
Martin Necas: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:26)
Nathan MacKinnon: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 3:43)
Victor Olofsson: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:31)
Victor Olofsson: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:33)
Boone Jenner: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:35)
Adam Fantilli: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:48)
Nathan MacKinnon: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:01)
Sam Malinski: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:01)
Kirill Marchenko: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:29)
Kirill Marchenko: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:30)
Artturi Lehkonen: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 10:48)
Martin Necas: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:01)
Nathan MacKinnon: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:09)
Martin Necas: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:28)
Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:43)
Brock Nelson: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 12:49)
Artturi Lehkonen: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:04)
Gavin Brindley: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 13:53)
Ross Colton: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:55)
Sean Monahan: slap, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 15:36)
Boone Jenner: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:53)
Danton Heinen: deflected, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 18:27)
Mikael Pyyhtia: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:30)
Danton Heinen: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 18:37)
Ivan Provorov: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:55)
Denton Mateychuk: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:58)
Jack Drury: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:50)
Parker Kelly: deflected, 20 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 1:57)
T.J. Tynan: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:56)
Brendan Gaunce: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:11)
Mikael Pyyhtia: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 3:31)
Mikael Pyyhtia: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:32)
Danton Heinen: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 3:43)
Mikael Pyyhtia: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:52)
Damon Severson: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 3:55)
Nathan MacKinnon: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 5:40)
Artturi Lehkonen: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:41)
Nathan MacKinnon: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 5:48)
Danton Heinen: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:29)
Sam Malinski: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:08)
Cale Makar: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:21)
Damon Severson: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:18)
Brendan Gaunce: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:19)
Boone Jenner: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 11:31)
Kirill Marchenko: deflected, 19 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 11:44)
Adam Fantilli: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:45)
Charlie Coyle: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:46)
Zach Werenski: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:33)
Sean Monahan: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.25 (P2 12:57)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:30)
Dmitri Voronkov: backhand, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:32)
Samuel Girard: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:08)
Danton Heinen: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:41)
Cole Sillinger: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:54)
Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:51)
Charlie Coyle: poke, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 19:17)
Boone Jenner: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 0:16)
Kirill Marchenko: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 1:25)
Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:20)
Brent Burns: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:30)
Valeri Nichushkin: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:50)
Damon Severson: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:18)
Mikael Pyyhtia: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 6:30)
Samuel Girard: wrist, 162 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 6:47)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:14)
Charlie Coyle: backhand, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:37)
Sean Monahan: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:47)
Martin Necas: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 7:55)
Sean Monahan: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:08)
Denton Mateychuk: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:57)
Kent Johnson: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:16)
Denton Mateychuk: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:21)
Zach Werenski: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:26)
Sam Malinski: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:48)
Sam Malinski: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:52)
Nathan MacKinnon: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 11:16)
Josh Manson: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:59)
Cole Sillinger: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:21)
Adam Fantilli: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 13:18)
Ross Colton: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:26)
Nathan MacKinnon: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:58)
Kent Johnson: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:57)
Parker Kelly: wrist, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:40)
Zakhar Bardakov: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:09)
Boone Jenner: slap, 14 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 17:35)
Victor Olofsson: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:11)
Brent Burns: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:07)
Brent Burns: GOAL, snap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 13:58)
Victor Olofsson: GOAL, backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 17:28)
Ilya Solovyov: GOAL, wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:30)
Brent Burns: GOAL, slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:33)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Columbus Blue Jackets
Colorado Avalanche
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Trent Miner
29 0 29
1.000
2.93
+2.93
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
38 Boone Jenner C
+0.89
0.00
+0.29
+0.41
+0.15
-0.01
+0.05
—
17:14
5 Denton Mateychuk D
+0.76
0.00
+0.06
+0.60
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
16:55
78 Damon Severson D
+0.72
0.00
+0.11
+0.48
0.00
0.00
+0.13
—
22:21
23 Sean Monahan C
+0.71
0.00
+0.32
+0.33
0.00
-0.02
+0.08
—
15:54
16 Brendan Gaunce C
+0.67
0.00
+0.03
+0.62
0.00
+0.02
0.00
—
11:29
82 Mikael Pyyhtia L
+0.61
0.00
+0.21
+0.28
0.00
0.00
+0.12
—
11:39
91 Kent Johnson C
+0.41
0.00
+0.05
+0.34
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
16:29
43 Danton Heinen L
+0.29
0.00
+0.32
-0.01
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
11:39
3 Charlie Coyle C
+0.28
0.00
+0.11
+0.03
+0.15
+0.01
-0.02
—
16:34
8 Zach Werenski D
+0.19
0.00
+0.08
+0.06
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
22:23
9 Ivan Provorov D
-0.04
0.00
+0.01
-0.11
0.00
0.00
+0.06
—
24:25
19 Adam Fantilli C
-0.08
0.00
+0.10
-0.10
-0.15
-0.03
+0.10
—
19:58
10 Dmitri Voronkov L
-0.30
0.00
0.00
-0.38
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
14:04
86 Kirill Marchenko R
-0.32
0.00
+0.19
-0.36
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
20:01
6 Egor Zamula D
-0.32
0.00
0.00
-0.50
0.00
0.00
+0.18
—
15:23
15 Dante Fabbro D
-0.51
0.00
0.00
-0.49
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
15:51
4 Cole Sillinger C
-0.53
0.00
+0.02
-0.51
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
11:14
24 Mathieu Olivier R
-0.60
0.00
0.00
-0.59
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
12:27
90 Elvis Merzlikins G
-1.56
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-1.56
60:00
Colorado Avalanche
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
50 Trent Miner G
+2.93
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+2.93
59:53
17 Parker Kelly C
+2.49
+1.25
+0.07
+1.15
0.00
-0.01
+0.03
—
14:38
95 Victor Olofsson L
+2.08
+1.30
+0.12
+0.81
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
13:23
84 Brent Burns D
+1.71
+1.50
+0.13
+0.07
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
20:04
18 Jack Drury C
+1.50
+0.70
+0.02
+0.62
0.00
+0.05
+0.10
—
15:18
28 Ilya Solovyov D
+1.47
+0.75
+0.03
+0.69
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
11:56
49 Samuel Girard D
+1.18
0.00
+0.04
+1.21
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
19:24
54 Gavin Brindley C
+1.04
+1.10
+0.06
-0.22
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
10:08
20 Ross Colton C
+0.81
+0.70
+0.04
+0.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
13:15
29 Nathan MacKinnon C
+0.32
0.00
+0.44
-0.06
-0.15
+0.05
+0.03
—
20:08
88 Martin Necas C
+0.16
0.00
+0.17
+0.01
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
20:51
62 Artturi Lehkonen L
+0.12
0.00
+0.18
-0.12
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
20:34
93 Zakhar Bardakov C
+0.05
+0.70
+0.02
-0.73
0.00
+0.01
+0.05
—
9:54
11 Brock Nelson C
-0.28
0.00
+0.07
-0.39
0.00
-0.04
+0.08
—
18:25
13 Valeri Nichushkin R
-0.32
0.00
+0.05
-0.43
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
15:16
70 Sam Malinski D
-0.34
0.00
+0.09
-0.63
0.00
0.00
+0.20
—
20:22
8 Cale Makar D
-0.35
0.00
+0.02
-0.55
+0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
23:37
9 T.J. Tynan C
-0.70
0.00
+0.03
-0.70
0.00
-0.02
0.00
—
8:13
42 Josh Manson D
-0.84
0.00
+0.01
-0.91
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
20:41
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.