| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 |
 |
1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 36 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:23 | |
Logan Stankoven (10) K'Andre Miller (17) · snap xG 0.30 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 14:13 | |
Matty Beniers (9) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.18 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:56 | |
Berkly Catton (3) Ryan Winterton (7) · snap xG 0.25 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 10:37 | |
Jordan Martinook (7) Jordan Staal (8), Seth Jarvis (12) · snap xG 0.19 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 13:50 | |
William Carrier (5) Jaccob Slavin (1), Jordan Staal (9) · deflected xG 0.16 | 2–3 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SEA | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.94 | Expected goals | 3.48 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.84 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.22 |
| 42 | Shot attempts | 66 |
| 29 | Unblocked attempts | 54 |
| 12 | Shots on goal | 36 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:19 | SEA | Goalie | Goalie · Daccord +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.01 xG, 30 shots on goal |
| 18:40 | SEA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Daccord, down 3–2
With 1:20 left |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 19:54 |
| 71 | Jaden Schwartz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | 0 | 2 | 18:14 |
| 89 | Frederick Gaudreau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 18:02 |
| 19 | Jared McCann | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 17:39 |
| 84 | Kaapo Kakko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.14 | 3 | 0 | 16:52 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 16:14 |
| 59 | Ben Meyers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 13:52 |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 13:27 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 13:27 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 12:26 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 11:13 |
| 63 | Jacob Melanson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.15 | 8 | 1 | 11:06 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 24:54 |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 2 | 24:45 |
| 8 | Cale Fleury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 6 | 0 | 18:33 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 3 | 16:45 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 16:22 |
| 41 | Ryker Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 15:41 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | 36 | 3 | 33 | .917 | 3.48 | +0.48 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 20 | Sebastian Aho | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 19:59 |
| 37 | Andrei Svechnikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 17:59 |
| 24 | Seth Jarvis | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.07 | 4 | 1 | 17:55 |
| 11 | Jordan Staal | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.31 | 0 | 1 | 17:41 |
| 27 | Nikolaj Ehlers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 17:17 |
| 48 | Jordan Martinook | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.30 | 2 | 2 | 16:35 |
| 22 | Logan Stankoven | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.49 | 0 | 0 | 14:30 |
| 71 | Taylor Hall | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 |
| 53 | Jackson Blake | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 12:59 |
| 50 | Eric Robinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 11:25 |
| 28 | William Carrier | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 10:17 |
| 77 | Mark Jankowski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 08:48 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 19 | K'Andre Miller | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.03 | 4 | 0 | 22:23 |
| 26 | Sean Walker | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 8 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 21:03 |
| 5 | Jalen Chatfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.10 | 0 | 2 | 20:42 |
| 74 | Jaccob Slavin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 19:35 |
| 4 | Shayne Gostisbehere | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 10 | 0.22 | 0 | 1 | 18:40 |
| 21 | Alexander Nikishin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 4 | 16:07 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Bussi | 12 | 2 | 10 | .833 | 1.94 | -0.06 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Joey Daccord G | +0.48 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.48 | 58:34 |
| 89 Frederick Gaudreau C | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.10 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.02 | — | 18:02 |
| 17 Jaden Schwartz L | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 18:14 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | +0.29 | +0.75 | +0.22 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:54 |
| 27 Berkly Catton C | +0.28 | +0.75 | +0.20 | -0.58 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.06 | — | 13:27 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | +0.22 | +0.70 | +0.10 | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:26 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 16:45 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:14 |
| 8 Cale Fleury D | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:33 |
| 84 Kaapo Kakko R | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:52 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:22 |
| 41 Ryker Evans D | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.19 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:41 |
| 59 Ben Meyers C | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.47 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 13:52 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:13 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.12 | — | 13:27 |
| 19 Jared McCann L | -0.58 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 17:39 |
| 63 Jacob Melanson R | -0.63 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:06 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | -1.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 24:45 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | -1.80 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 24:54 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jordan Staal C | +2.33 | +1.25 | +0.20 | +0.87 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 17:41 |
| 28 William Carrier L | +2.22 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +1.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:17 |
| 74 Jaccob Slavin D | +1.68 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:35 |
| 48 Jordan Martinook L | +1.52 | +0.75 | +0.20 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 16:35 |
| 24 Seth Jarvis C | +1.49 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:55 |
| 22 Logan Stankoven C | +1.42 | +0.75 | +0.32 | +0.37 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 14:30 |
| 5 Jalen Chatfield D | +1.01 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:42 |
| 19 K'Andre Miller D | +0.96 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 22:23 |
| 50 Eric Robinson L | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.24 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:25 |
| 77 Mark Jankowski L | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.72 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 8:48 |
| 53 Jackson Blake R | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:59 |
| 4 Shayne Gostisbehere D | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:40 |
| 21 Alexander Nikishin D | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 16:07 |
| 71 Taylor Hall L | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:05 |
| 37 Andrei Svechnikov R | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.24 | +0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 17:59 |
| 26 Sean Walker D | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.18 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:03 |
| 32 Brandon Bussi G | -0.06 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.06 | 60:00 |
| 27 Nikolaj Ehlers L | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:17 |
| 20 Sebastian Aho C | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.04 | — | 19:59 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.