Chicago BlackhawksCHI 3–0 Final Nashville PredatorsNSH

Saturday, January 10, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Chicago BlackhawksCHI 012 3 21
Nashville PredatorsNSH 000 0 36

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
6:41 CHI Tyler Bertuzzi (23)PP Connor Bedard (26), Artyom Levshunov (19) · wrist xG 0.17 1–0 ▶
3rd Period
11:01 CHI Nick Lardis (4) Connor Bedard (27), Kevin Korchinski (1) · wrist xG 0.14 2–0 ▶
18:32 CHI Ryan Greene (5)EN Tyler Bertuzzi (13) · backhand xG 0.76 3–0 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CHI 33%Deserve to win67% NSH
CHINSH
2.86Expected goals3.09
3Goals (no shootout)0
1.47Expected goals, 5 on 52.10
41Shot attempts64
31Unblocked attempts52
21Shots on goal36

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
5:01 CHI Deserve to win Deserve to win · CHI takes the lead, 62–38%
NSH had led since 6:09 of the 1st, by as much as 65%
3rd Period
8:18 CHI Goalie Goalie · Commesso +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.01 xG, 25 shots on goal
15:35 NSH Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Saros, down 2–0
With 4:25 left; CHI scored at 18:32 of the 3rd (3–0)
16:03 NSH Deserve to win Deserve to win · NSH takes the lead, 61–39%
CHI had led since 5:01 of the 2nd, by as much as 66%
16:40 NSH xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.26–0.14
In xG over 10 minutes, 7:00 to 17:00 of the 3rd; goals 0–1

Shot map

CHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NSH shoots
Ryan O'Reilly: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:41) Ryan O'Reilly: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 0:42) Nick Perbix: backhand, 126 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:49) Erik Haula: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:57) Matthew Wood: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:56) Reid Schaefer: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:49) Michael Bunting: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:00) Luke Evangelista: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:03) Kevin Korchinski: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 5:54) Tyson Jost: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:07) Matthew Wood: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:09) Luke Evangelista: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 7:04) Kevin Korchinski: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:48) Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:53) Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:58) Connor Murphy: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:11) Alex Vlasic: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:19) Connor Bedard: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:55) Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 13:30) Nicolas Hague: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:13) Erik Haula: snap, 4 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:14) Nick Perbix: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:28) Tyson Jost: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 16:34) Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:44) Nicolas Hague: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:28) Connor Bedard: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 0:53) Filip Forsberg: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:35) Nick Lardis: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 2:06) Matt Grzelcyk: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:32) Landon Slaggert: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 2:58) Tyler Bertuzzi: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 3:28) Connor Bedard: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 4:31) Connor Bedard: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:33) Oliver Moore: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 5:01) Fedor Svechkov: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:55) Kevin Korchinski: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 7:22) Fedor Svechkov: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 7:33) Roman Josi: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:39) Tyson Jost: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:09) Ryan O'Reilly: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 8:40) Fedor Svechkov: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 9:37) Michael McCarron: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:27) Roman Josi: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:40) Cole Smith: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 10:56) Cole Smith: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 11:15) Matthew Wood: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 13:50) Andre Burakovsky: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:30) Alex Vlasic: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:13) Adam Wilsby: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:34) Tyson Jost: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:53) Nick Blankenburg: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:58) Jason Dickinson: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:23) Tyson Jost: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:21) Connor Murphy: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:30) Oliver Moore: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:31) Tyler Bertuzzi: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:41) Nick Lardis: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:59) Erik Haula: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:06) Nick Blankenburg: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:34) Tyler Bertuzzi: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 4:19) Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 4:20) Steven Stamkos: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:28) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 8:17) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:18) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 9:28) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 12:47) Luke Evangelista: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:48) Ryan O'Reilly: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:55) Brady Skjei: between-legs, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 12:57) Adam Wilsby: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 14:37) Roman Josi: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 15:16) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:03) Steven Stamkos: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:25) Luke Evangelista: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 16:36) Filip Forsberg: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:47) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:59) Steven Stamkos: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:36) Roman Josi: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:37) Tyson Jost: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 19:09) Nick Lardis: wrist, 154 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:53) Tyler Bertuzzi: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 6:41) Nick Lardis: GOAL, wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 11:01) Ryan Greene: GOAL, backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.76 (P3 18:32)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Chicago Blackhawks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
98 Connor Bedard 022 +2 40.33 0020:54
20 Ryan Greene 101 +2 10.76 1017:56
95 Andre Burakovsky 000 0 20.03 1017:32
95 Ilya Mikheyev 000 0 20.02 1116:49
86 Teuvo Teravainen 000 0 30.19 0016:09
16 Jason Dickinson 000 0 10.06 1115:57
59 Tyler Bertuzzi 112 +1 70.63 0015:50
76 Nick Lardis 101 +1 50.24 0112:44
8 Ryan Donato 000 0 00.00 2012:15
71 Nick Foligno 000 0 00.00 2011:29
11 Oliver Moore 000 0 30.23 1011:21
84 Landon Slaggert 000 0 10.13 2010:14
Defense
55 Artyom Levshunov 011 +1 10.02 4123:32
5 Connor Murphy 000 0 20.05 2021:01
72 Alex Vlasic 000 0 40.03 0020:32
44 Wyatt Kaiser 000 +1 00.00 1217:55
24 Matt Grzelcyk 000 +1 20.02 0117:46
14 Kevin Korchinski 011 +1 30.14 0114:04
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Drew Commesso 36036 1.000 3.09 +3.09

Nashville Predators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
90 Ryan O'Reilly 000 -1 50.32 0222:22
9 Filip Forsberg 000 -1 50.09 4020:11
91 Steven Stamkos 000 -1 40.21 1119:59
77 Luke Evangelista 000 -1 110.76 0119:16
58 Michael Bunting 000 -1 10.02 1016:06
56 Erik Haula 000 0 30.11 0015:00
71 Matthew Wood 000 0 30.18 1013:30
9 Fedor Svechkov 000 0 30.31 0012:44
47 Michael McCarron 000 -1 10.03 4012:43
22 Cole Smith 000 -1 20.20 2011:20
17 Tyson Jost 000 0 60.34 0010:22
49 Reid Schaefer 000 -1 10.02 1007:42
Defense
59 Roman Josi 000 -1 60.14 1125:04
3 Nick Blankenburg 000 0 40.01 3220:04
76 Brady Skjei 000 0 20.17 0119:02
48 Nick Perbix 000 0 30.03 0018:15
41 Nicolas Hague 000 -1 20.05 0018:00
2 Adam Wilsby 000 -1 20.12 2015:52
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Juuse Saros 20218 .900 2.10 +0.10

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Chicago Blackhawks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
33 Drew Commesso G +3.09 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +3.09 60:00
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L +1.55 +1.45 +0.41 -0.27 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 15:50
98 Connor Bedard C +1.53 +1.40 +0.21 -0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:54
76 Nick Lardis L +1.51 +0.75 +0.16 +0.57 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:44
20 Ryan Greene C +1.13 +0.75 +0.49 -0.06 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 17:56
55 Artyom Levshunov D +0.50 +0.55 +0.01 -0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 23:32
14 Kevin Korchinski D +0.47 +0.55 +0.09 -0.05 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 14:04
11 Oliver Moore C +0.29 0.00 +0.15 +0.17 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 11:21
44 Wyatt Kaiser D +0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.28 -0.08 0.00 +0.08 — 17:55
86 Teuvo Teravainen C +0.12 0.00 +0.12 -0.09 +0.15 -0.02 -0.04 — 16:09
16 Jason Dickinson C -0.05 0.00 +0.04 -0.37 +0.15 +0.08 +0.05 — 15:57
84 Landon Slaggert L -0.18 0.00 +0.08 -0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:14
48 Matt Grzelcyk D -0.19 0.00 +0.01 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 17:46
8 Ryan Donato C -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.29 +0.08 0.00 0.00 — 12:15
17 Nick Foligno L -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.23 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 11:29
95 Ilya Mikheyev R -0.31 0.00 +0.01 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:49
28 Andre Burakovsky L -0.44 0.00 +0.02 -0.31 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 17:32
5 Connor Murphy D -0.52 0.00 +0.03 -0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 21:01
72 Alex Vlasic D -0.54 0.00 +0.02 -0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 20:32

Nashville Predators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
71 Matthew Wood R +1.02 0.00 +0.11 +0.91 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:30
77 Luke Evangelista R +0.95 0.00 +0.49 +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:16
76 Brady Skjei D +0.68 0.00 +0.11 +0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:02
17 Tyson Jost C +0.65 0.00 +0.22 +0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:22
90 Ryan O'Reilly C +0.64 0.00 +0.21 +0.29 0.00 +0.06 +0.08 — 22:22
40 Fedor Svechkov C +0.55 0.00 +0.20 +0.42 0.00 -0.09 +0.02 — 12:44
59 Roman Josi D +0.52 0.00 +0.09 +0.54 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 25:04
58 Michael Bunting L +0.36 0.00 +0.01 +0.07 +0.30 0.00 -0.02 — 16:06
48 Nick Perbix D +0.32 0.00 +0.02 +0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:15
37 Nick Blankenburg D +0.18 0.00 +0.01 +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 20:04
56 Erik Haula L +0.17 0.00 +0.07 +0.22 -0.15 +0.03 0.00 — 15:00
74 Juuse Saros G +0.10 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.10 56:51
9 Filip Forsberg L +0.05 0.00 +0.06 +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:11
91 Steven Stamkos C +0.05 0.00 +0.14 -0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:59
83 Adam Wilsby D 0.00 0.00 +0.08 -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:52
49 Reid Schaefer L -0.17 0.00 +0.01 -0.35 +0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 7:42
36 Cole Smith R -0.28 0.00 +0.13 -0.26 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 11:20
41 Nicolas Hague D -0.28 0.00 +0.03 -0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:00
47 Michael McCarron C -0.31 0.00 +0.02 -0.38 0.00 +0.07 -0.02 — 12:43

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.