| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:41 | Tyler Bertuzzi (23)PP Connor Bedard (26), Artyom Levshunov (19) · wrist xG 0.17 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 11:01 | Nick Lardis (4) Connor Bedard (27), Kevin Korchinski (1) · wrist xG 0.14 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 18:32 | Ryan Greene (5)EN Tyler Bertuzzi (13) · backhand xG 0.76 | 3–0 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CHI | NSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.86 | Expected goals | 3.09 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 0 |
| 1.47 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.10 |
| 41 | Shot attempts | 64 |
| 31 | Unblocked attempts | 52 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 36 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:01 | CHI | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · CHI takes the lead, 62–38%
NSH had led since 6:09 of the 1st, by as much as 65% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 8:18 | CHI | Goalie | Goalie · Commesso +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.01 xG, 25 shots on goal |
| 15:35 | NSH | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Saros, down 2–0
With 4:25 left; CHI scored at 18:32 of the 3rd (3–0) |
| 16:03 | NSH | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · NSH takes the lead, 61–39%
CHI had led since 5:01 of the 2nd, by as much as 66% |
| 16:40 | NSH | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.26–0.14
In xG over 10 minutes, 7:00 to 17:00 of the 3rd; goals 0–1 |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 98 | Connor Bedard | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 20:54 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.76 | 1 | 0 | 17:56 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 17:32 |
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 16:49 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 16:09 |
| 16 | Jason Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 15:57 |
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 0.63 | 0 | 0 | 15:50 |
| 76 | Nick Lardis | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 12:44 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:15 |
| 71 | Nick Foligno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 11:29 |
| 11 | Oliver Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | 1 | 0 | 11:21 |
| 84 | Landon Slaggert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 2 | 0 | 10:14 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 55 | Artyom Levshunov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 4 | 1 | 23:32 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 21:01 |
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 20:32 |
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 17:55 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 17:46 |
| 14 | Kevin Korchinski | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 14:04 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Commesso | 36 | 0 | 36 | 1.000 | 3.09 | +3.09 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 90 | Ryan O'Reilly | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.32 | 0 | 2 | 22:22 |
| 9 | Filip Forsberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.09 | 4 | 0 | 20:11 |
| 91 | Steven Stamkos | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.21 | 1 | 1 | 19:59 |
| 77 | Luke Evangelista | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 11 | 0.76 | 0 | 1 | 19:16 |
| 58 | Michael Bunting | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 16:06 |
| 56 | Erik Haula | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 15:00 |
| 71 | Matthew Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 13:30 |
| 9 | Fedor Svechkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 12:44 |
| 47 | Michael McCarron | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 4 | 0 | 12:43 |
| 22 | Cole Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.20 | 2 | 0 | 11:20 |
| 17 | Tyson Jost | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 10:22 |
| 49 | Reid Schaefer | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 07:42 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 59 | Roman Josi | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.14 | 1 | 1 | 25:04 |
| 3 | Nick Blankenburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.01 | 3 | 2 | 20:04 |
| 76 | Brady Skjei | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 19:02 |
| 48 | Nick Perbix | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 18:15 |
| 41 | Nicolas Hague | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 18:00 |
| 2 | Adam Wilsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.12 | 2 | 0 | 15:52 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | 20 | 2 | 18 | .900 | 2.10 | +0.10 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Drew Commesso G | +3.09 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +3.09 | 60:00 |
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | +1.55 | +1.45 | +0.41 | -0.27 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:50 |
| 98 Connor Bedard C | +1.53 | +1.40 | +0.21 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:54 |
| 76 Nick Lardis L | +1.51 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:44 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | +1.13 | +0.75 | +0.49 | -0.06 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | — | 17:56 |
| 55 Artyom Levshunov D | +0.50 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 23:32 |
| 14 Kevin Korchinski D | +0.47 | +0.55 | +0.09 | -0.05 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:04 |
| 11 Oliver Moore C | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.17 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 11:21 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.28 | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:55 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.09 | +0.15 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 16:09 |
| 16 Jason Dickinson C | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.37 | +0.15 | +0.08 | +0.05 | — | 15:57 |
| 84 Landon Slaggert L | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:14 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:46 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.29 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:15 |
| 17 Nick Foligno L | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 11:29 |
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:49 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.31 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:32 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:01 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | -0.54 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:32 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Matthew Wood R | +1.02 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.91 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:30 |
| 77 Luke Evangelista R | +0.95 | 0.00 | +0.49 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:16 |
| 76 Brady Skjei D | +0.68 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:02 |
| 17 Tyson Jost C | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:22 |
| 90 Ryan O'Reilly C | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.08 | — | 22:22 |
| 40 Fedor Svechkov C | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.42 | 0.00 | -0.09 | +0.02 | — | 12:44 |
| 59 Roman Josi D | +0.52 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.54 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 25:04 |
| 58 Michael Bunting L | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.07 | +0.30 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:06 |
| 48 Nick Perbix D | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:15 |
| 37 Nick Blankenburg D | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:04 |
| 56 Erik Haula L | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.22 | -0.15 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 15:00 |
| 74 Juuse Saros G | +0.10 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.10 | 56:51 |
| 9 Filip Forsberg L | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:11 |
| 91 Steven Stamkos C | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:59 |
| 83 Adam Wilsby D | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:52 |
| 49 Reid Schaefer L | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.35 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 7:42 |
| 36 Cole Smith R | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.26 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:20 |
| 41 Nicolas Hague D | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:00 |
| 47 Michael McCarron C | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.02 | — | 12:43 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.