hockeystats.io

New York IslandersNYI 4–3 Final/OT Minnesota WildMIN

Saturday, January 10, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
New York IslandersNYI 1201 4 27
Minnesota WildMIN 2100 3 36

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:51 MIN Ben Jones (1) Brock Faber (17), Quinn Hughes (34) · tip-in xG 0.08 0–1 ▶
4:18 NYI Jean-Gabriel Pageau (7) Unassisted · xG 0.93 1–1 ▶
15:25 MIN Matt Boldy (27)PP Quinn Hughes (35), Mats Zuccarello (16) · slap xG 0.25 1–2 ▶
2nd Period
1:29 NYI Simon Holmstrom (11) Tony DeAngelo (16) · snap xG 0.07 2–2 ▶
8:26 MIN Kirill Kaprizov (25) Daemon Hunt (3), Quinn Hughes (36) · snap xG 0.09 2–3 ▶
19:34 NYI Casey Cizikas (6)SH Simon Holmstrom (11) · backhand xG 0.43 3–3 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring
Overtime
1:34 NYI Simon Holmstrom (12) Tony DeAngelo (17), Jonathan Drouin (17) · backhand xG 0.11 4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYI 37%Deserve to win63% MIN
NYIMIN
3.31Expected goals4.11
4Goals (no shootout)3
2.30Expected goals, 5 on 53.22
60Shot attempts65
45Unblocked attempts54
27Shots on goal36

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
18:14 MIN Deserve to win Deserve to win · MIN takes the lead, 60–40%
NYI had led since 4:18 of the 1st, by as much as 85%
3rd Period
11:30 MIN xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.32–0.05
In xG over 10 minutes, 4:20 to 14:20 of the 3rd; neither team scored

Shot map

NYI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MIN shoots
Matt Boldy: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 1:37) Maxim Tsyplakov: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:34) Jared Spurgeon: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:54) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:13) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:46) Casey Cizikas: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:43) Ben Jones: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:01) Jonas Brodin: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:38) Kirill Kaprizov: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 7:02) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 7:11) Adam Pelech: backhand, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:04) Marc Gatcomb: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:01) Matt Boldy: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:45) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:55) Adam Pelech: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:29) Quinn Hughes: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 11:03) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 13:57) Matt Boldy: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:10) Ryan Hartman: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 14:32) Matt Boldy: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:46) Matt Boldy: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:47) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:49) Scott Mayfield: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:58) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:05) Calum Ritchie: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 1:52) Yakov Trenin: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:25) Danila Yurov: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 3:49) Kirill Kaprizov: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 3:56) Jonas Brodin: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:02) Marcus Foligno: wrist, 83 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:01) Calum Ritchie: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:20) Emil Heineman: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:44) Emil Heineman: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:59) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:11) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 8:37) Kirill Kaprizov: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:11) Maxim Tsyplakov: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:18) Marc Gatcomb: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:36) Casey Cizikas: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:37) Maxim Tsyplakov: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:57) Ryan Pulock: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:06) Calum Ritchie: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:12) Quinn Hughes: backhand, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:27) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 12:32) Adam Pelech: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:01) Matt Boldy: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:23) Scott Mayfield: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:26) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:31) Anders Lee: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:33) Anders Lee: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 16:34) Ryan Pulock: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:44) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:59) Yakov Trenin: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 18:14) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 19:54) Tony DeAngelo: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:23) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:34) Matt Boldy: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:39) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:54) Anthony Duclair: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 1:00) Adam Pelech: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:08) Emil Heineman: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:25) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:36) Adam Pelech: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:27) Daemon Hunt: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:18) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.40 (P3 4:21) Jonathan Drouin: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:49) Quinn Hughes: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:24) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 6:05) Brock Faber: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:32) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:45) Ben Jones: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 7:06) Maxim Tsyplakov: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:41) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:44) Matt Boldy: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 8:42) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:53) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:09) Danila Yurov: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 9:54) Danila Yurov: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 11:19) Danila Yurov: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 11:39) Danila Yurov: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 12:12) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:11) Casey Cizikas: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 14:51) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:15) Brock Faber: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:24) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:26) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:31) Quinn Hughes: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 16:47) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:54) Anders Lee: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 17:09) Jake Middleton: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:53) Simon Holmstrom: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 19:15) Emil Heineman: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 1:02) Ben Jones: GOAL, tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 2:51) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: GOAL, shot, 6 ft, xG 0.93 (P1 4:18) Matt Boldy: GOAL, slap, 29 ft, xG 0.25 (P1 15:25) Simon Holmstrom: GOAL, snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 1:29) Kirill Kaprizov: GOAL, snap, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:26) Casey Cizikas: GOAL, backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.43 (P2 19:34) Simon Holmstrom: GOAL, backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 1:34)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Islanders

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
13 Mathew Barzal 000 0 40.14 0021:52
51 Emil Heineman 000 0 50.31 3020:11
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau 101 +2 21.06 0217:48
92 Simon Holmstrom 213 +3 30.29 0117:40
49 Maxim Shabanov 000 +1 00.00 1016:27
11 Anthony Duclair 000 0 40.11 0014:59
92 Jonathan Drouin 011 +1 10.01 1014:43
64 Calum Ritchie 000 0 30.17 0013:20
72 Anders Lee 000 0 30.17 2013:15
53 Casey Cizikas 101 -1 40.54 0012:55
72 Maxim Tsyplakov 000 -1 40.13 1008:42
17 Marc Gatcomb 000 -1 20.08 4007:08
Defense
48 Matthew Schaefer 000 0 30.00 0127:41
3 Adam Pelech 000 +1 70.12 1223:33
6 Ryan Pulock 000 -1 40.06 1123:14
77 Tony DeAngelo 022 +2 70.08 0017:55
24 Scott Mayfield 000 +1 40.04 0116:59
34 Adam Boqvist 000 0 00.00 1108:43
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ilya Sorokin 36333 .917 4.11 +1.11

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Kirill Kaprizov 101 0 100.66 0023:59
36 Mats Zuccarello 011 0 60.23 0021:42
12 Matt Boldy 101 -4 100.72 0119:44
22 Danila Yurov 000 +1 60.75 0018:16
38 Ryan Hartman 000 -2 50.61 0216:15
90 Marcus Johansson 000 -3 10.00 1014:25
17 Marcus Foligno 000 0 10.00 5414:13
78 Nico Sturm 000 0 00.00 1013:57
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 000 -1 00.00 2012:39
13 Yakov Trenin 000 +1 20.23 2010:47
18 Ben Jones 101 +1 30.16 4008:17
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 000 +1 00.00 0107:59
Defense
43 Quinn Hughes 033 0 110.62 0030:37
7 Brock Faber 011 +1 50.05 0027:13
25 Jonas Brodin 000 -2 20.03 0317:43
46 Jared Spurgeon 000 -2 10.01 1215:44
55 Jake Middleton 000 0 10.01 2013:45
48 Daemon Hunt 011 +1 10.01 0111:55
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Filip Gustavsson 27424 .889 3.31 -0.69

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Islanders

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
10 Simon Holmstrom R +2.91 +2.20 +0.19 +0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:40
77 Tony DeAngelo D +2.00 +1.40 +0.05 +0.68 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 17:55
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C +1.96 +0.75 +0.69 +0.39 0.00 +0.05 +0.08 — 17:48
30 Ilya Sorokin G +1.11 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.11 61:14
3 Adam Pelech D +1.01 0.00 +0.08 +0.70 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 23:33
53 Casey Cizikas C +0.80 +0.75 +0.35 -0.32 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 12:55
24 Scott Mayfield D +0.14 0.00 +0.02 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:59
16 Marc Gatcomb C +0.12 0.00 +0.05 +0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:08
7 Maxim Tsyplakov R +0.04 0.00 +0.09 +0.10 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 8:42
29 Jonathan Drouin L -0.03 +0.55 0.00 -0.60 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 14:43
64 Calum Ritchie C -0.09 0.00 +0.11 0.00 -0.15 -0.03 -0.02 — 13:20
34 Adam Boqvist D -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 8:43
27 Anders Lee L -0.19 0.00 +0.11 -0.33 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 13:15
49 Max Shabanov R -0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:27
51 Emil Heineman L -0.52 0.00 +0.20 -0.87 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 20:11
11 Anthony Duclair L -0.62 0.00 +0.07 -0.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:59
13 Mathew Barzal C -1.01 0.00 +0.09 -1.09 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 21:52
48 Matthew Schaefer D -1.41 0.00 0.00 -1.42 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 27:41
6 Ryan Pulock D -1.75 0.00 +0.04 -1.86 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 23:14

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
43 Quinn Hughes D +3.63 +1.80 +0.41 +1.41 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 30:37
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +3.12 +0.75 +0.43 +1.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 23:59
36 Mats Zuccarello R +2.60 +0.55 +0.15 +1.92 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 21:42
22 Danila Yurov R +2.35 0.00 +0.49 +1.87 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 18:16
7 Brock Faber D +1.87 +0.70 +0.04 +1.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 27:13
48 Daemon Hunt D +1.57 +0.70 +0.01 +0.83 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 11:55
39 Ben Jones C +1.43 +0.75 +0.10 +0.44 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 8:17
13 Yakov Trenin C +0.56 0.00 +0.15 +0.30 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 10:47
18 Vinnie Hinostroza C +0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.29 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 7:59
5 Jake Middleton D +0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.63 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 13:45
12 Matt Boldy L +0.24 +0.75 +0.47 -0.93 0.00 -0.04 -0.01 — 19:44
17 Marcus Foligno L -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.20 0.00 -0.01 +0.18 — 14:13
78 Nico Sturm C -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.26 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 13:57
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 12:39
32 Filip Gustavsson G -0.69 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.69 61:06
38 Ryan Hartman R -0.70 0.00 +0.40 -1.02 -0.15 -0.02 +0.10 — 16:15
25 Jonas Brodin D -0.77 0.00 +0.02 -0.95 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 17:43
46 Jared Spurgeon D -0.91 0.00 +0.01 -1.01 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 15:44
90 Marcus Johansson L -1.04 0.00 0.00 -1.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:25

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.