Saturday, January 10, 2026
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
LAK 46%Deserve to win 54% EDM
LAK EDM
2.60 Expected goals 2.83
3 Goals (no shootout) 3
2.02 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.45
66 Shot attempts 52
45 Unblocked attempts 39
30 Shots on goal 26
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
19:40
LAK
Shortened bench
Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Lee and Helenius: no shift after 5:52 of the 3rd
Shot map
LAK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → EDM shoots
Taylor Ward: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 2:57)
Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:22)
Corey Perry: backhand, 81 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:39)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:17)
Spencer Stastney: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:02)
Quinton Byfield: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:46)
Vasily Podkolzin: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 6:57)
Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:11)
Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:37)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:51)
Jeff Malott: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:23)
Drew Doughty: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:28)
Warren Foegele: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:33)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:56)
Andrei Kuzmenko: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:05)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:31)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 13:45)
Zach Hyman: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:09)
Alec Regula: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:13)
Spencer Stastney: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:40)
Mattias Ekholm: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 16:24)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:47)
Brandt Clarke: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 18:41)
Darnell Nurse: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:02)
Curtis Lazar: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 0:09)
Curtis Lazar: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:29)
Quinton Byfield: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:44)
Warren Foegele: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:45)
Mattias Ekholm: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:00)
Alex Laferriere: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:35)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:50)
Samuel Helenius: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 3:03)
Samuel Helenius: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:12)
Drew Doughty: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:26)
Warren Foegele: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:10)
Zach Hyman: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:45)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:04)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 6:25)
Zach Hyman: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 7:27)
Alex Laferriere: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:16)
Spencer Stastney: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 8:54)
Warren Foegele: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:50)
Alex Laferriere: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:37)
Warren Foegele: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:56)
Alec Regula: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:37)
Leon Draisaitl: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:46)
Connor McDavid: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:49)
Evan Bouchard: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 16:56)
Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:03)
Samuel Helenius: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:57)
Taylor Ward: deflected, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:02)
Joel Edmundson: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 19:30)
Darnell Nurse: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:56)
Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 0:50)
Drew Doughty: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:05)
Kevin Fiala: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:17)
Samuel Helenius: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:50)
Adrian Kempe: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 6:26)
Joel Edmundson: snap, 167 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:47)
Leon Draisaitl: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 8:31)
Warren Foegele: wrist, 178 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:16)
Alex Turcotte: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:23)
Alex Turcotte: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:00)
Alex Laferriere: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 12:42)
Corey Perry: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:52)
Kasperi Kapanen: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 14:31)
Andrei Kuzmenko: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 14:40)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 87 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:52)
Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:17)
Quinton Byfield: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:26)
Corey Perry: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:30)
Connor McDavid: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (OT 0:29)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 1:24)
Zach Hyman: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.21 (OT 1:58)
Connor McDavid: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.23 (OT 2:55)
Connor McDavid: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 3:34)
Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 4:46)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (OT 4:58)
Leon Draisaitl: GOAL, wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 9:12)
Corey Perry: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.48 (P1 17:50)
Leon Draisaitl: GOAL, slap, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:07)
Andre Lee: GOAL, tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 3:42)
Alex Laferriere: GOAL, tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:21)
Connor McDavid: GOAL, wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 9:20)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Los Angeles Kings
Edmonton Oilers
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Los Angeles Kings
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
92 Brandt Clarke D
+1.65
+1.40
+0.15
+0.17
-0.15
0.00
+0.08
—
17:31
47 Andre Lee L
+1.50
+0.75
+0.06
+0.69
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
7:12
52 Taylor Ward R
+1.43
+0.55
+0.10
+0.79
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
8:49
14 Alex Laferriere R
+1.43
+0.75
+0.29
+0.33
0.00
+0.03
+0.03
—
21:08
8 Drew Doughty D
+1.30
0.00
+0.07
+1.18
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
26:12
10 Corey Perry R
+0.93
+0.75
+0.35
-0.21
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
15:47
55 Quinton Byfield R
+0.88
+0.70
+0.07
+0.19
0.00
-0.06
-0.02
—
21:16
9 Adrian Kempe R
+0.72
+0.55
0.00
+0.15
0.00
+0.02
0.00
—
19:34
44 Mikey Anderson D
+0.64
0.00
0.00
+0.60
0.00
0.00
+0.04
—
24:31
79 Samuel Helenius C
+0.46
0.00
+0.15
+0.27
0.00
-0.03
+0.07
—
8:51
39 Jeff Malott L
+0.28
0.00
+0.05
+0.25
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
13:31
96 Andrei Kuzmenko L
+0.24
+0.55
+0.17
-0.28
-0.15
0.00
-0.04
—
16:35
37 Warren Foegele L
+0.07
0.00
+0.11
-0.06
0.00
-0.01
+0.03
—
18:50
15 Alex Turcotte C
+0.05
0.00
+0.04
-0.06
0.00
+0.02
+0.05
—
15:11
6 Joel Edmundson D
-0.05
0.00
+0.06
-0.07
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
19:40
31 Anton Forsberg G
-0.17
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.17
65:00
5 Cody Ceci D
-0.18
0.00
0.00
-0.19
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
17:56
22 Kevin Fiala L
-0.27
0.00
+0.02
-0.26
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
19:16
2 Brian Dumoulin D
-0.30
0.00
0.00
-0.33
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
17:32
Edmonton Oilers
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
29 Leon Draisaitl C
+2.46
+1.50
+0.46
+0.44
0.00
+0.04
+0.02
—
27:27
2 Evan Bouchard D
+2.11
+1.25
+0.04
+0.46
+0.15
0.00
+0.21
—
30:36
42 Kasperi Kapanen R
+1.20
+0.70
+0.04
+0.35
+0.15
0.00
-0.04
—
16:48
97 Connor McDavid C
+0.90
+0.75
+0.44
-0.37
+0.15
-0.03
-0.04
—
27:06
14 Mattias Ekholm D
+0.65
0.00
+0.12
+0.51
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
23:02
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C
+0.49
+0.70
+0.15
-0.65
+0.15
+0.01
+0.13
—
22:39
92 Vasily Podkolzin R
+0.42
0.00
+0.07
+0.36
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
16:49
10 Trent Frederic C
+0.05
0.00
0.00
+0.02
0.00
+0.03
0.00
—
9:19
13 Mattias Janmark C
-0.03
0.00
0.00
-0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
8:16
18 Zach Hyman L
-0.06
0.00
+0.31
-0.37
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
22:29
20 Curtis Lazar C
-0.15
0.00
+0.08
-0.26
0.00
+0.01
+0.02
—
6:45
28 Jack Roslovic C
-0.22
0.00
0.00
-0.29
0.00
-0.01
+0.08
—
12:40
49 Ty Emberson D
-0.28
0.00
0.00
-0.34
0.00
0.00
+0.06
—
18:18
39 Connor Ingram G
-0.40
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.40
65:00
75 Alec Regula D
-0.41
0.00
+0.03
-0.49
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
9:56
53 Isaac Howard L
-0.54
0.00
0.00
-0.44
-0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
10:24
22 Matt Savoie C
-0.55
0.00
0.00
-0.61
0.00
+0.01
+0.05
—
11:47
25 Darnell Nurse D
-0.59
0.00
+0.02
-0.68
-0.15
0.00
+0.22
—
24:41
24 Spencer Stastney D
-0.68
0.00
+0.08
-0.74
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
14:20
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.