Los Angeles KingsLAK 4–3 Final/SO Edmonton OilersEDM

Saturday, January 10, 2026

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Los Angeles KingsLAK 11101 4 30
Edmonton OilersEDM 11100 3 26

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
9:12 EDM Leon Draisaitl (22) Kasperi Kapanen (5) · wrist xG 0.14 0–1 ▶
17:50 LAK Corey Perry (10)PP Brandt Clarke (15), Andrei Kuzmenko (8) · wrist xG 0.48 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
1:07 EDM Leon Draisaitl (23) Evan Bouchard (33) · slap xG 0.09 1–2 ▶
3:42 LAK Andre Lee (1) Quinton Byfield (19), Taylor Ward (2) · tip-in xG 0.10 2–2 ▶
3rd Period
6:21 LAK Alex Laferriere (12) Brandt Clarke (16), Adrian Kempe (20) · tip-in xG 0.05 3–2 ▶
9:20 EDM Connor McDavid (30)PP Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (25), Evan Bouchard (34) · wrist xG 0.13 3–3 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
EDM Connor McDavid vs Anton Forsberg Saved
LAK Adrian Kempe vs Connor Ingram Goal
EDM Leon Draisaitl vs Anton Forsberg Saved
LAK Brandt Clarke vs Connor Ingram Saved
EDM Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Anton Forsberg Saved

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

LAK 46%Deserve to win54% EDM
LAKEDM
2.60Expected goals2.83
3Goals (no shootout)3
2.02Expected goals, 5 on 51.45
66Shot attempts52
45Unblocked attempts39
30Shots on goal26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
19:40 LAK Shortened bench Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Lee and Helenius: no shift after 5:52 of the 3rd

Shot map

LAK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ EDM shoots
Taylor Ward: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 2:57) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:22) Corey Perry: backhand, 81 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:39) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:17) Spencer Stastney: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:02) Quinton Byfield: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:46) Vasily Podkolzin: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 6:57) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:11) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:37) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:51) Jeff Malott: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:23) Drew Doughty: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:28) Warren Foegele: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:33) Brandt Clarke: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:56) Andrei Kuzmenko: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:05) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:31) Brandt Clarke: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 13:45) Zach Hyman: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:09) Alec Regula: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:13) Spencer Stastney: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:40) Mattias Ekholm: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 16:24) Brandt Clarke: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:47) Brandt Clarke: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 18:41) Darnell Nurse: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:02) Curtis Lazar: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 0:09) Curtis Lazar: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:29) Quinton Byfield: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:44) Warren Foegele: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:45) Mattias Ekholm: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:00) Alex Laferriere: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:35) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:50) Samuel Helenius: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 3:03) Samuel Helenius: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:12) Drew Doughty: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:26) Warren Foegele: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:10) Zach Hyman: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:45) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:04) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 6:25) Zach Hyman: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 7:27) Alex Laferriere: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:16) Spencer Stastney: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 8:54) Warren Foegele: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:50) Alex Laferriere: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:37) Warren Foegele: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:56) Alec Regula: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:37) Leon Draisaitl: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:46) Connor McDavid: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:49) Evan Bouchard: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 16:56) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:03) Samuel Helenius: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:57) Taylor Ward: deflected, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:02) Joel Edmundson: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 19:30) Darnell Nurse: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:56) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 0:50) Drew Doughty: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:05) Kevin Fiala: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:17) Samuel Helenius: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:50) Adrian Kempe: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 6:26) Joel Edmundson: snap, 167 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:47) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 8:31) Warren Foegele: wrist, 178 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:16) Alex Turcotte: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:23) Alex Turcotte: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:00) Alex Laferriere: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 12:42) Corey Perry: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:52) Kasperi Kapanen: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 14:31) Andrei Kuzmenko: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 14:40) Brandt Clarke: wrist, 87 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:52) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:17) Quinton Byfield: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:26) Corey Perry: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:30) Connor McDavid: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (OT 0:29) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 1:24) Zach Hyman: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.21 (OT 1:58) Connor McDavid: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.23 (OT 2:55) Connor McDavid: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 3:34) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 4:46) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (OT 4:58) Leon Draisaitl: GOAL, wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 9:12) Corey Perry: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.48 (P1 17:50) Leon Draisaitl: GOAL, slap, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:07) Andre Lee: GOAL, tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 3:42) Alex Laferriere: GOAL, tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:21) Connor McDavid: GOAL, wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 9:20)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Los Angeles Kings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
55 Quinton Byfield 011 +1 30.11 1021:16
14 Alex Laferriere 101 0 100.44 2121:08
9 Adrian Kempe 011 0 60.00 0019:34
22 Kevin Fiala 000 -1 10.03 2019:16
37 Warren Foegele 000 0 80.16 1118:50
62 Andrei Kuzmenko 011 -1 40.25 0016:35
90 Corey Perry 101 0 40.54 0115:47
15 Alex Turcotte 000 -1 30.07 2215:11
39 Jeff Malott 000 0 10.08 2013:31
79 Samuel Helenius 000 0 40.24 2108:51
17 Taylor Ward 011 +1 20.15 1008:49
Defense
8 Drew Doughty 000 +1 60.11 1126:12
44 Mikey Anderson 000 +1 00.00 2224:31
6 Joel Edmundson 000 -1 30.10 1019:40
5 Cody Ceci 000 0 20.00 0117:56
2 Brian Dumoulin 000 0 10.00 1117:32
92 Brandt Clarke 022 -1 70.23 1217:31
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Anton Forsberg 26323 .885 2.83 -0.17

Edmonton Oilers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
29 Leon Draisaitl 202 +2 130.71 0027:27
97 Connor McDavid 101 -1 50.68 2027:06
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 011 -1 50.24 0322:39
18 Zach Hyman 000 -1 40.47 0022:29
92 Vasily Podkolzin 000 +2 10.11 6016:49
42 Kasperi Kapanen 011 +2 10.06 2016:48
96 Jack Roslovic 000 0 10.00 0212:40
22 Matt Savoie 000 -1 00.00 0111:47
53 Isaac Howard 000 -1 00.00 0110:24
10 Trent Frederic 000 0 00.00 2009:19
13 Mattias Janmark 000 0 00.00 0008:16
20 Curtis Lazar 000 -1 30.13 4006:45
Defense
2 Evan Bouchard 022 +1 10.06 1530:36
25 Darnell Nurse 000 0 40.03 1424:41
14 Mattias Ekholm 000 +1 50.18 1123:02
49 Ty Emberson 000 0 20.00 0218:18
24 Spencer Stastney 000 -1 30.12 0014:20
75 Alec Regula 000 -1 40.04 1109:56
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Ingram 30327 .900 2.60 -0.40

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Los Angeles Kings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
92 Brandt Clarke D +1.65 +1.40 +0.15 +0.17 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 17:31
47 Andre Lee L +1.50 +0.75 +0.06 +0.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:12
52 Taylor Ward R +1.43 +0.55 +0.10 +0.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:49
14 Alex Laferriere R +1.43 +0.75 +0.29 +0.33 0.00 +0.03 +0.03 — 21:08
8 Drew Doughty D +1.30 0.00 +0.07 +1.18 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 26:12
10 Corey Perry R +0.93 +0.75 +0.35 -0.21 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 15:47
55 Quinton Byfield R +0.88 +0.70 +0.07 +0.19 0.00 -0.06 -0.02 — 21:16
9 Adrian Kempe R +0.72 +0.55 0.00 +0.15 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 19:34
44 Mikey Anderson D +0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.60 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 24:31
79 Samuel Helenius C +0.46 0.00 +0.15 +0.27 0.00 -0.03 +0.07 — 8:51
39 Jeff Malott L +0.28 0.00 +0.05 +0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:31
96 Andrei Kuzmenko L +0.24 +0.55 +0.17 -0.28 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 16:35
37 Warren Foegele L +0.07 0.00 +0.11 -0.06 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 18:50
15 Alex Turcotte C +0.05 0.00 +0.04 -0.06 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 15:11
6 Joel Edmundson D -0.05 0.00 +0.06 -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 19:40
31 Anton Forsberg G -0.17 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.17 65:00
5 Cody Ceci D -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 17:56
22 Kevin Fiala L -0.27 0.00 +0.02 -0.26 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 19:16
2 Brian Dumoulin D -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:32

Edmonton Oilers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
29 Leon Draisaitl C +2.46 +1.50 +0.46 +0.44 0.00 +0.04 +0.02 — 27:27
2 Evan Bouchard D +2.11 +1.25 +0.04 +0.46 +0.15 0.00 +0.21 — 30:36
42 Kasperi Kapanen R +1.20 +0.70 +0.04 +0.35 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 16:48
97 Connor McDavid C +0.90 +0.75 +0.44 -0.37 +0.15 -0.03 -0.04 — 27:06
14 Mattias Ekholm D +0.65 0.00 +0.12 +0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 23:02
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C +0.49 +0.70 +0.15 -0.65 +0.15 +0.01 +0.13 — 22:39
92 Vasily Podkolzin R +0.42 0.00 +0.07 +0.36 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 16:49
10 Trent Frederic C +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.02 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 9:19
13 Mattias Janmark C -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:16
18 Zach Hyman L -0.06 0.00 +0.31 -0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 22:29
20 Curtis Lazar C -0.15 0.00 +0.08 -0.26 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 6:45
28 Jack Roslovic C -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.29 0.00 -0.01 +0.08 — 12:40
49 Ty Emberson D -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 18:18
39 Connor Ingram G -0.40 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.40 65:00
75 Alec Regula D -0.41 0.00 +0.03 -0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:56
53 Isaac Howard L -0.54 0.00 0.00 -0.44 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 10:24
22 Matt Savoie C -0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.61 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 11:47
25 Darnell Nurse D -0.59 0.00 +0.02 -0.68 -0.15 0.00 +0.22 — 24:41
24 Spencer Stastney D -0.68 0.00 +0.08 -0.74 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:20

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.