hockeystats.io

St. Louis BluesSTL 2–4 Final Vegas Golden KnightsVGK

Saturday, January 10, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
St. Louis BluesSTL 101 2 19
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 121 4 25

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:53 STL Robert Thomas (11) Philip Broberg (13), Colton Parayko (12) · wrist xG 0.09 1–0 ▶
7:34 VGK Mitch Marner (10) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.07 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
1:27 VGK Jack Eichel (14) Kaedan Korczak (8) · wrist xG 0.03 1–2 ▶
15:48 VGK Shea Theodore (5) Jeremy Lauzon (6), Mitch Marner (36) · wrist xG 0.02 1–3 ▶
3rd Period
3:33 STL Jake Neighbours (11)PP Robert Thomas (22), Jordan Kyrou (10) · snap xG 0.18 2–3 ▶
17:36 VGK Mark Stone (15)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.45 2–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

STL 55%Deserve to win45% VGK
STLVGK
2.33Expected goals2.54
2Goals (no shootout)4
1.70Expected goals, 5 on 51.81
41Shot attempts52
31Unblocked attempts34
19Shots on goal25

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
10:24 VGK Deserve to win Deserve to win · VGK takes the lead, 60–40%
STL had led since 4:54 of the 1st, by as much as 66%
3rd Period
17:27 STL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Binnington, down 3–2
With 2:33 left; VGK scored at 17:36 of the 3rd (2–4)
18:58 STL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Binnington, down 4–2
With 1:02 left

Shot map

STL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VGK shoots
Ben Hutton: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:07) Robert Thomas: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:47) Robert Thomas: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 4:54) Colton Sissons: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 6:58) Brett Howden: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:15) Noah Hanifin: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:20) Mitch Marner: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 7:33) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:50) Robert Thomas: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.32 (P1 7:53) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 8:03) Mitch Marner: deflected, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 8:49) Colton Parayko: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:54) Jonatan Berggren: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:56) Ivan Barbashev: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:21) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:48) Kaedan Korczak: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:46) Brett Howden: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 17:11) Keegan Kolesar: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 17:16) Mitch Marner: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 17:59) Pavel Dorofeyev: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:42) Jeremy Lauzon: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:57) Shea Theodore: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:00) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:50) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 0:17) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:25) Justin Faulk: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:46) Otto Stenberg: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:48) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:32) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:33) Jimmy Snuggerud: bat, 4 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:34) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:35) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:31) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:39) Jeremy Lauzon: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:22) Jack Eichel: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:16) Noah Hanifin: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:24) Kaedan Korczak: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:42) Jack Eichel: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:50) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 9:02) Jack Eichel: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:06) Braeden Bowman: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:24) Cole Reinhardt: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 11:26) Jimmy Snuggerud: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 13:23) Jordan Kyrou: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 14:08) Jake Neighbours: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:09) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:44) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 0:51) Jack Eichel: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 1:08) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:08) Justin Faulk: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:14) Tyler Tucker: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:29) Jack Eichel: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 9:36) Pavel Buchnevich: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 14:16) Colton Parayko: wrist, 135 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:47) Alexey Toropchenko: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:25) Alexey Toropchenko: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 17:52) Jake Neighbours: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 19:41) Cam Fowler: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:49) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.32 (P3 19:52) Robert Thomas: GOAL, wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 0:53) Mitch Marner: GOAL, wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:34) Jack Eichel: GOAL, wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:27) Shea Theodore: GOAL, wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:48) Jake Neighbours: GOAL, snap, 26 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 3:33) Mark Stone: GOAL, wrist, 138 ft, xG 0.45 (P3 17:36)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
89 Pavel Buchnevich 000 -3 10.15 1018:11
21 Jimmy Snuggerud 000 -1 70.71 2017:56
63 Jake Neighbours 101 0 30.31 2117:30
18 Robert Thomas 112 0 60.67 0017:13
10 Brayden Schenn 000 -3 30.02 2015:32
25 Jordan Kyrou 011 +1 50.26 0115:11
26 Nathan Walker 000 -1 20.00 4114:18
13 Alexey Toropchenko 000 -1 20.10 0013:07
29 Jonatan Berggren 000 -1 10.01 2113:04
28 Otto Stenberg 000 0 10.00 2012:50
15 Dalibor Dvorsky 000 0 10.00 1012:27
70 Oskar Sundqvist 000 -1 00.00 2112:23
Defense
17 Cam Fowler 000 -1 10.05 0327:41
55 Colton Parayko 011 0 40.02 3326:43
72 Justin Faulk 000 -2 30.03 2325:18
23 Logan Mailloux 000 -1 00.00 3120:01
75 Tyler Tucker 000 -3 10.01 4218:45
6 Philip Broberg 011 +1 00.00 0000:55
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jordan Binnington 24321 .875 2.09 -0.91

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Mitch Marner 112 +2 60.46 0018:41
9 Jack Eichel 101 +2 80.52 0018:13
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 000 +2 50.32 0017:16
49 Ivan Barbashev 000 +1 20.12 1016:45
21 Brett Howden 000 0 20.08 0016:31
48 Tomas Hertl 000 0 30.00 0315:53
19 Reilly Smith 000 +2 00.00 0015:04
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 0 30.13 3014:57
61 Mark Stone 101 0 10.45 1014:15
29 Cole Reinhardt 000 0 20.09 1111:58
42 Braeden Bowman 000 0 20.06 1011:46
15 Colton Sissons 000 0 20.11 3010:30
Defense
27 Shea Theodore 101 +1 20.03 0021:57
5 Jeremy Lauzon 011 +1 40.12 4221:50
15 Noah Hanifin 000 +1 30.03 0020:29
28 Zach Whitecloud 000 +1 10.00 2018:32
6 Kaedan Korczak 011 +1 30.02 2118:08
17 Ben Hutton 000 +1 30.01 3116:16
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Akira Schmid 19217 .895 2.33 +0.33

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
18 Robert Thomas C +2.38 +1.45 +0.44 +0.50 0.00 -0.03 +0.02 — 17:13
25 Jordan Kyrou R +1.36 +0.55 +0.17 +0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:11
63 Jake Neighbours L +1.34 +0.75 +0.20 +0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 17:30
6 Philip Broberg D +0.95 +0.70 0.00 +0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 0:55
55 Colton Parayko D +0.84 +0.55 +0.01 +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 26:43
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R +0.45 0.00 +0.46 -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:56
17 Cam Fowler D +0.09 0.00 +0.03 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 27:41
23 Logan Mailloux D +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 20:01
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.13 0.00 +0.05 0.00 — 12:27
89 Pavel Buchnevich L -0.10 0.00 +0.10 -0.19 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 18:11
10 Brayden Schenn C -0.18 0.00 +0.01 -0.20 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:32
29 Jonatan Berggren R -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:03
72 Justin Faulk D -0.32 0.00 +0.02 -0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 25:18
28 Otto Stenberg C -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.30 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 12:51
26 Nathan Walker L -0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.51 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 14:18
13 Alexey Toropchenko R -0.48 0.00 +0.06 -0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:07
75 Tyler Tucker D -0.54 0.00 +0.01 -0.77 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 18:45
70 Oskar Sundqvist C -0.62 0.00 0.00 -0.57 -0.15 +0.05 +0.05 — 12:23
50 Jordan Binnington G -0.91 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.91 58:55

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
93 Mitch Marner R +2.46 +1.30 +0.30 +0.96 0.00 -0.06 -0.04 — 18:41
9 Jack Eichel C +1.60 +0.75 +0.34 +0.57 0.00 -0.04 -0.02 — 18:13
6 Kaedan Korczak D +1.44 +0.70 +0.01 +0.53 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 18:08
61 Mark Stone R +1.10 +0.75 +0.29 +0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:15
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +0.75 0.00 +0.21 +0.73 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 17:16
5 Jeremy Lauzon D +0.68 +0.70 +0.07 -0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 21:50
27 Shea Theodore D +0.54 +0.75 +0.02 -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 21:57
17 Ben Hutton D +0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:16
49 Ivan Barbashev L +0.45 0.00 +0.08 +0.42 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 16:45
19 Reilly Smith R +0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:04
40 Akira Schmid G +0.33 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.33 60:00
23 Cole Reinhardt L +0.28 0.00 +0.06 +0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:58
15 Noah Hanifin D +0.17 0.00 +0.02 +0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:29
2 Zach Whitecloud D +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:32
10 Colton Sissons C +0.12 0.00 +0.07 +0.01 0.00 +0.02 +0.02 — 10:30
42 Braeden Bowman R -0.29 0.00 +0.04 -0.31 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 11:46
55 Keegan Kolesar R -0.42 0.00 +0.09 -0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:57
48 Tomas Hertl C -0.45 0.00 0.00 -0.64 0.00 +0.04 +0.15 — 15:53
21 Brett Howden C -0.60 0.00 +0.05 -0.63 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 16:31

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.