New Jersey DevilsNJD 3–4 Final Winnipeg JetsWPG

Sunday, January 11, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
New Jersey DevilsNJD	1	2	0	3	27
Winnipeg JetsWPG	1	2	1	4	22

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
18:50	WPG	Alex Iafallo (8) Nino Niederreiter (11), Dylan Samberg (7) · wrist xG 0.37	0–1 ▶
19:27	NJD	Nico Hischier (13) Luke Hughes (18), Jesper Bratt (25) · wrist xG 0.32	1–1 ▶
2nd Period
1:05	NJD	Cody Glass (8) Luke Hughes (19), Jack Hughes (15) · tip-in xG 0.09	2–1 ▶
2:36	WPG	Jonathan Toews (5) Cole Perfetti (9) · backhand xG 0.12	2–2 ▶
8:08	NJD	Cody Glass (9) Jack Hughes (16), Johnathan Kovacevic (1) · wrist xG 0.11	3–2 ▶
17:57	WPG	Gabriel Vilardi (18) Cole Perfetti (10), Josh Morrissey (28) · bat xG 0.74	3–3 ▶
3rd Period
6:17	WPG	Tanner Pearson (6) Josh Morrissey (29), Cole Koepke (6) · wrist xG 0.21	3–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NJD 52%Deserve to win48% WPG

NJD		WPG
3.64	Expected goals	4.26
3	Goals (no shootout)	4
2.84	Expected goals, 5 on 5	3.07
62	Shot attempts	52
46	Unblocked attempts	40
27	Shots on goal	22

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
11:00	WPG	No shift	No shift · Miller, 35:11 on the bench No shift after 16:41 of the 1st; 6 shifts (4:14) before that
16:50	NJD	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · NJD takes the lead, 61–39% WPG had led since 18:47 of the 1st, by as much as 74%
17:00	NJD	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced WPG 1.28–0.07 In xG over 10 minutes, 7:10 to 17:10 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
3rd Period
7:00	WPG	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced NJD 1.15–0.11 In xG over 10 minutes, 17:00 of the 2nd to 7:00 of the 3rd; goals 2–0
9:04	WPG	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · WPG takes the lead, 60–40% NJD had led since 16:50 of the 2nd, by as much as 62%
18:09	NJD	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Allen, down 4–3 With 1:51 left

Shot map

NJD shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WPG shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New Jersey Devils

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
86	Jack Hughes	0	2	2	+2	10	0.59	0	1	27:04
13	Nico Hischier	1	0	1	+1	4	0.89	1	1	24:16
63	Jesper Bratt	0	1	1	0	5	0.45	2	0	21:05
28	Timo Meier	0	0	0	-1	8	0.49	2	1	17:49
91	Dawson Mercer	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	0	16:44
16	Connor Brown	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	0	0	15:07
81	Arseny Gritsyuk	0	0	0	-1	8	0.31	0	0	14:16
12	Cody Glass	2	0	2	+1	4	0.20	1	0	12:19
33	Evgenii Dadonov	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	0	10:00
41	Luke Glendening	0	0	0	-1	2	0.26	2	2	09:25
47	Paul Cotter	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	0	06:58
81	Ondrej Palat	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	06:32
Defense
43	Luke Hughes	0	2	2	-1	4	0.06	0	0	24:41
22	Brett Pesce	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	0	2	19:50
71	Simon Nemec	0	0	0	-1	5	0.07	0	1	19:28
71	Jonas Siegenthaler	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	1	0	18:49
8	Johnathan Kovacevic	0	1	1	+1	3	0.10	1	2	18:14
5	Brenden Dillon	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	2	1	15:14

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jake Allen	22	4	18	.818	3.53	-0.47

Winnipeg Jets

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
55	Mark Scheifele	0	0	0	-3	2	0.17	1	1	20:40
81	Kyle Connor	0	0	0	-2	6	0.61	0	0	19:42
9	Alex Iafallo	1	0	1	0	4	0.94	0	0	17:47
7	Vladislav Namestnikov	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	0	0	17:29
62	Nino Niederreiter	0	1	1	+1	3	0.23	0	1	17:26
17	Adam Lowry	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	3	0	16:22
13	Gabriel Vilardi	1	0	1	+2	5	0.82	0	0	16:16
19	Jonathan Toews	1	0	1	+2	3	0.32	0	1	15:17
91	Cole Perfetti	0	2	2	+3	6	0.71	1	0	15:04
45	Cole Koepke	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	2	0	09:25
70	Tanner Pearson	1	0	1	0	4	0.21	2	1	08:16
53	Danil Zhilkin	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	1	07:53
Defense
44	Josh Morrissey	0	2	2	+1	2	0.00	0	1	26:28
2	Dylan DeMelo	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	2	3	25:07
4	Neal Pionk	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	22:56
54	Dylan Samberg	0	1	1	0	7	0.10	1	2	21:13
8	Logan Stanley	0	0	0	+2	1	0.00	2	1	16:25
6	Colin Miller	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	04:14

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck	27	3	24	.889	3.64	+0.64

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New Jersey Devils

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
13 Nico Hischier C	+3.13	+0.75	+0.58	+1.59	+0.15	-0.01	+0.07	—	24:16
86 Jack Hughes C	+3.06	+1.25	+0.38	+1.40	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	27:04
63 Jesper Bratt L	+1.85	+0.55	+0.29	+1.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	21:05
12 Cody Glass C	+1.42	+1.50	+0.13	-0.20	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	12:19
8 Johnathan Kovacevic D	+1.20	+0.55	+0.06	+0.55	0.00	0.00	+0.04	—	18:14
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D	+0.67	0.00	0.00	+0.84	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	18:49
43 Luke Hughes D	+0.62	+1.40	+0.04	-0.82	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	24:41
22 Brett Pesce D	+0.44	0.00	0.00	+0.38	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	19:50
14 Luke Glendening C	+0.28	0.00	+0.17	-0.04	0.00	+0.05	+0.10	—	9:25
18 Ondrej Palat L	-0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	6:32
47 Paul Cotter L	-0.05	0.00	+0.01	-0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	6:58
17 Simon Nemec D	-0.46	0.00	+0.05	-0.52	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	19:28
34 Jake Allen G	-0.47	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.47	58:09
16 Connor Brown R	-0.54	0.00	+0.10	-0.61	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	15:07
28 Timo Meier R	-0.76	0.00	+0.32	-1.16	0.00	+0.01	+0.07	—	17:49
33 Evgenii Dadonov L	-0.79	0.00	0.00	-0.79	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:00
91 Dawson Mercer C	-1.00	0.00	+0.02	-0.99	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	16:44
5 Brenden Dillon D	-1.22	0.00	+0.01	-1.29	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:14
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R	-1.24	0.00	+0.20	-1.29	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	14:16

Winnipeg Jets

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
91 Cole Perfetti C	+4.33	+1.40	+0.46	+2.49	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:04
13 Gabriel Vilardi C	+2.71	+0.75	+0.54	+1.44	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	16:16
19 Jonathan Toews C	+2.44	+0.75	+0.21	+1.37	0.00	+0.07	+0.05	—	15:17
44 Josh Morrissey D	+1.79	+1.25	0.00	+0.70	-0.15	0.00	-0.01	—	26:28
62 Nino Niederreiter R	+1.65	+0.70	+0.15	+0.81	0.00	-0.01	+0.01	—	17:26
9 Alex Iafallo L	+1.26	+0.75	+0.61	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	17:47
64 Logan Stanley D	+0.96	0.00	0.00	+0.93	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	16:25
37 Connor Hellebuyck G	+0.64	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.64	60:00
54 Dylan Samberg D	+0.44	+0.55	+0.07	-0.26	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	21:13
70 Tanner Pearson L	+0.38	+0.75	+0.14	-0.56	0.00	-0.02	+0.07	—	8:16
6 Colin Miller D	+0.34	0.00	0.00	+0.19	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	4:14
45 Cole Koepke L	+0.03	+0.55	0.00	-0.50	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	9:25
53 Danil Zhilkin C	-0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	7:53
17 Adam Lowry C	-0.04	0.00	+0.08	-0.12	0.00	+0.02	-0.02	—	16:22
2 Dylan DeMelo D	-0.23	0.00	0.00	-0.38	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	25:07
4 Neal Pionk D	-0.38	0.00	+0.01	-0.38	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	22:56
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C	-0.64	0.00	+0.01	-0.60	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	—	17:29
81 Kyle Connor L	-0.96	0.00	+0.40	-1.33	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:42
55 Mark Scheifele C	-1.36	0.00	+0.11	-1.61	+0.15	-0.06	+0.05	—	20:40

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.