Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 7–2 Final San Jose SharksSJS

Sunday, January 11, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 232 7 32
San Jose SharksSJS 110 2 20

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
7:19 VGK Jack Eichel (15) Ivan Barbashev (20), Jeremy Lauzon (7) · wrist xG 0.26 1–0 ▶
9:33 SJS Collin Graf (12) Jeff Skinner (7) · wrist xG 0.16 1–1 ▶
10:57 VGK Pavel Dorofeyev (17)PP Tomas Hertl (19), Mark Stone (24) · wrist xG 0.16 2–1 ▶
2nd Period
4:19 VGK Jack Eichel (16) Mark Stone (25) · snap xG 0.10 3–1 ▶
11:00 VGK Tomas Hertl (17)PP Mark Stone (26), Pavel Dorofeyev (15) · wrist xG 0.17 4–1 ▶
12:25 VGK Zach Whitecloud (2) Tomas Hertl (20), Noah Hanifin (15) · slap xG 0.02 5–1 ▶
16:29 SJS Alexander Wennberg (10) Timothy Liljegren (8), Tyler Toffoli (19) · wrist xG 0.12 5–2 ▶
3rd Period
17:03 VGK Shea Theodore (6)EN Tomas Hertl (21) · wrist xG 0.46 6–2 ▶
18:59 VGK Tomas Hertl (18) Pavel Dorofeyev (16), Noah Hanifin (16) · slap xG 0.07 7–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VGK 64%Deserve to win36% SJS
VGKSJS
3.52Expected goals2.26
7Goals (no shootout)2
2.03Expected goals, 5 on 51.18
56Shot attempts46
41Unblocked attempts34
32Shots on goal20

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
12:25 SJS Goalie Goalie · Askarov −3.0 goals saved
5 goals on 2.04 xG, 20 shots on goal
3rd Period
15:57 SJS Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Askarov, down 5–2
With 4:03 left; VGK scored at 17:03 of the 3rd (6–2)

Shot map

VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SJS shoots
Noah Hanifin: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:39) Alexander Holtz: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:42) Reilly Smith: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:26) Adam Gaudette: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 2:22) Igor Chernyshov: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:56) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:50) Adam Gaudette: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:18) Jack Eichel: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:28) Pavel Dorofeyev: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:51) Reilly Smith: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:07) Jack Eichel: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 7:17) Mark Stone: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 10:09) Jack Eichel: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:24) Jeff Skinner: tip-in, 76 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:24) Jeremy Lauzon: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:21) William Eklund: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 15:39) Sam Dickinson: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:48) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:19) Collin Graf: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:13) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 18:23) Reilly Smith: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 18:24) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:11) William Eklund: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:12) Alexander Wennberg: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 19:24) John Klingberg: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:35) Mitch Marner: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 19:55) William Eklund: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 0:23) Vincent Iorio: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:05) Dmitry Orlov: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:52) Tyler Toffoli: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 3:57) Mark Stone: slap, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:43) Braeden Bowman: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:54) Alexander Wennberg: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 7:28) William Eklund: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 7:48) William Eklund: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:01) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:30) Macklin Celebrini: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:40) Colton Sissons: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 9:32) Mitch Marner: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:22) Jack Eichel: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 10:49) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:50) Mark Stone: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:51) Tomas Hertl: slap, 17 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 13:44) Mitch Marner: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 13:52) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:59) Sam Dickinson: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:06) Noah Hanifin: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:02) Shea Theodore: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:23) Mark Stone: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:41) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:47) Colton Sissons: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 4:44) Zach Whitecloud: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:56) Jeremy Lauzon: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:18) Timothy Liljegren: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:53) Igor Chernyshov: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 7:55) Alexander Wennberg: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:59) Jack Eichel: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 8:53) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 9:07) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:41) John Klingberg: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:35) Adam Gaudette: wrist, 79 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:07) Braeden Bowman: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 17:33) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:01) Reilly Smith: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 18:37) Mitch Marner: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:50) Barclay Goodrow: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 19:38) Jack Eichel: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.26 (P1 7:19) Collin Graf: GOAL, wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 9:33) Pavel Dorofeyev: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 10:57) Jack Eichel: GOAL, snap, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:19) Tomas Hertl: GOAL, wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 11:00) Zach Whitecloud: GOAL, slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:25) Alexander Wennberg: GOAL, wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 16:29) Shea Theodore: GOAL, wrist, 185 ft, xG 0.46 (P3 17:03) Tomas Hertl: GOAL, slap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 18:59)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Mitch Marner 000 -1 50.24 0021:40
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 123 +1 80.43 0218:25
61 Mark Stone 033 +1 50.15 1217:44
19 Reilly Smith 000 +1 50.32 0017:03
9 Jack Eichel 202 +2 70.84 1017:00
15 Colton Sissons 000 -1 30.29 1015:49
48 Tomas Hertl 235 +3 50.44 0015:35
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 +1 00.00 5012:51
10 Alexander Holtz 000 -1 10.01 1011:36
42 Braeden Bowman 000 0 20.13 0010:59
49 Ivan Barbashev 011 +2 00.00 1009:59
29 Cole Reinhardt 000 +1 00.00 1009:53
Defense
27 Shea Theodore 101 +3 30.51 0223:05
5 Jeremy Lauzon 011 +3 40.04 4120:26
15 Noah Hanifin 022 0 40.07 0020:24
28 Zach Whitecloud 101 0 20.04 1219:02
6 Kaedan Korczak 000 0 20.00 3215:26
17 Ben Hutton 000 0 00.00 0013:06
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Carl Lindbom 20218 .900 2.26 +0.26

San Jose Sharks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
71 Macklin Celebrini 000 -4 60.40 0123:53
27 William Eklund 000 -4 60.44 1122:41
21 Alexander Wennberg 101 -1 50.35 0021:06
73 Tyler Toffoli 011 -1 10.12 1017:19
92 Igor Chernyshov 000 -3 20.13 0016:37
51 Collin Graf 101 +1 20.21 1013:13
84 Pavol Regenda 000 -1 00.00 2012:33
53 Jeff Skinner 011 +1 70.20 1012:15
77 Michael Misa 000 +1 00.00 0111:43
63 Zack Ostapchuk 000 0 00.00 3111:34
23 Barclay Goodrow 000 0 10.08 5010:56
81 Adam Gaudette 000 0 30.19 1109:56
Defense
9 Dmitry Orlov 000 -2 20.01 1221:52
3 John Klingberg 000 -2 30.07 2121:48
27 Timothy Liljegren 011 -1 10.04 0118:55
6 Vincent Iorio 000 +1 30.02 1217:18
6 Sam Dickinson 000 -2 30.02 1216:47
38 Mario Ferraro 000 +1 10.00 1114:15
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Yaroslav Askarov 31625 .806 3.06 -2.94

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
48 Tomas Hertl C +4.28 +3.60 +0.29 +0.30 0.00 +0.09 0.00 — 15:35
9 Jack Eichel C +3.01 +1.50 +0.55 +1.01 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 17:00
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +2.91 +2.00 +0.28 +0.72 -0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 18:25
61 Mark Stone R +2.83 +1.95 +0.10 +0.70 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 17:44
27 Shea Theodore D +2.18 +0.75 +0.33 +1.04 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 23:05
5 Jeremy Lauzon D +1.77 +0.55 +0.03 +0.99 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 20:26
2 Zach Whitecloud D +1.51 +0.75 +0.03 +0.48 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 19:02
49 Ivan Barbashev L +1.25 +0.70 0.00 +0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 9:59
15 Noah Hanifin D +1.14 +1.10 +0.05 +0.18 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 20:24
19 Reilly Smith R +0.97 0.00 +0.21 +0.82 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 17:03
23 Cole Reinhardt L +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.47 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 9:53
30 Carl Lindbom G +0.26 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.26 59:57
93 Mitch Marner R +0.23 0.00 +0.16 +0.09 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 21:40
42 Braeden Bowman R +0.13 0.00 +0.09 +0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:59
6 Kaedan Korczak D +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 15:26
10 Colton Sissons C -0.02 0.00 +0.19 -0.16 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 15:49
17 Ben Hutton D -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:06
55 Keegan Kolesar R -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:51
26 Alexander Holtz R -0.71 0.00 +0.01 -0.65 0.00 -0.01 -0.06 — 11:36

San Jose Sharks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
51 Collin Graf R +0.92 +0.75 +0.13 -0.10 +0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 13:13
21 Alexander Wennberg C +0.90 +0.75 +0.23 -0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:06
53 Jeff Skinner L +0.63 +0.70 +0.13 -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:15
73 Tyler Toffoli C +0.46 +0.55 +0.08 -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:19
38 Mario Ferraro D +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 14:15
81 Adam Gaudette R +0.28 0.00 +0.12 +0.11 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 9:56
23 Barclay Goodrow C +0.18 0.00 +0.05 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 10:56
63 Zack Ostapchuk C +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.01 0.00 -0.02 +0.07 — 11:34
37 Timothy Liljegren D -0.01 +0.70 +0.02 -0.63 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 18:55
22 Vincent Iorio D -0.06 0.00 +0.01 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 17:18
3 John Klingberg D -0.11 0.00 +0.05 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 21:48
84 Pavol Regenda L -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:33
77 Michael Misa C -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.25 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 11:43
72 William Eklund L -0.51 0.00 +0.29 -0.99 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 22:41
71 Macklin Celebrini C -0.58 0.00 +0.26 -1.03 +0.15 +0.01 +0.03 — 23:53
6 Sam Dickinson D -0.72 0.00 +0.01 -0.68 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 16:47
92 Igor Chernyshov L -0.89 0.00 +0.08 -0.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:37
9 Dmitry Orlov D -0.94 0.00 +0.01 -1.02 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 21:52
30 Yaroslav Askarov G -2.94 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.94 58:49

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.