| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 32 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:19 | Jack Eichel (15) Ivan Barbashev (20), Jeremy Lauzon (7) · wrist xG 0.26 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 9:33 | Collin Graf (12) Jeff Skinner (7) · wrist xG 0.16 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 10:57 | Pavel Dorofeyev (17)PP Tomas Hertl (19), Mark Stone (24) · wrist xG 0.16 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 4:19 | Jack Eichel (16) Mark Stone (25) · snap xG 0.10 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 11:00 | Tomas Hertl (17)PP Mark Stone (26), Pavel Dorofeyev (15) · wrist xG 0.17 | 4–1 ▶ | |
| 12:25 | Zach Whitecloud (2) Tomas Hertl (20), Noah Hanifin (15) · slap xG 0.02 | 5–1 ▶ | |
| 16:29 | Alexander Wennberg (10) Timothy Liljegren (8), Tyler Toffoli (19) · wrist xG 0.12 | 5–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:03 | Shea Theodore (6)EN Tomas Hertl (21) · wrist xG 0.46 | 6–2 ▶ | |
| 18:59 | Tomas Hertl (18) Pavel Dorofeyev (16), Noah Hanifin (16) · slap xG 0.07 | 7–2 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| VGK | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.52 | Expected goals | 2.26 |
| 7 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 2.03 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.18 |
| 56 | Shot attempts | 46 |
| 41 | Unblocked attempts | 34 |
| 32 | Shots on goal | 20 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:25 | SJS | Goalie | Goalie · Askarov −3.0 goals saved
5 goals on 2.04 xG, 20 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:57 | SJS | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Askarov, down 5–2
With 4:03 left; VGK scored at 17:03 of the 3rd (6–2) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 93 | Mitch Marner | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 21:40 |
| 16 | Pavel Dorofeyev | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 | 0.43 | 0 | 2 | 18:25 |
| 61 | Mark Stone | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 0.15 | 1 | 2 | 17:44 |
| 19 | Reilly Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 17:03 |
| 9 | Jack Eichel | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.84 | 1 | 0 | 17:00 |
| 15 | Colton Sissons | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.29 | 1 | 0 | 15:49 |
| 48 | Tomas Hertl | 2 | 3 | 5 | +3 | 5 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 | 15:35 |
| 55 | Keegan Kolesar | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 0 | 12:51 |
| 10 | Alexander Holtz | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 11:36 |
| 42 | Braeden Bowman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 10:59 |
| 49 | Ivan Barbashev | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 09:59 |
| 29 | Cole Reinhardt | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 09:53 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 27 | Shea Theodore | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 0.51 | 0 | 2 | 23:05 |
| 5 | Jeremy Lauzon | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 0.04 | 4 | 1 | 20:26 |
| 15 | Noah Hanifin | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 20:24 |
| 28 | Zach Whitecloud | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 19:02 |
| 6 | Kaedan Korczak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 15:26 |
| 17 | Ben Hutton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:06 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Lindbom | 20 | 2 | 18 | .900 | 2.26 | +0.26 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 6 | 0.40 | 0 | 1 | 23:53 |
| 27 | William Eklund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 6 | 0.44 | 1 | 1 | 22:41 |
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 21:06 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 17:19 |
| 92 | Igor Chernyshov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 16:37 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 13:13 |
| 84 | Pavol Regenda | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:33 |
| 53 | Jeff Skinner | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 12:15 |
| 77 | Michael Misa | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 11:43 |
| 63 | Zack Ostapchuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 11:34 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 5 | 0 | 10:56 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 1 | 1 | 09:56 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 21:52 |
| 3 | John Klingberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.07 | 2 | 1 | 21:48 |
| 27 | Timothy Liljegren | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 18:55 |
| 6 | Vincent Iorio | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 2 | 17:18 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 2 | 16:47 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 14:15 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | 31 | 6 | 25 | .806 | 3.06 | -2.94 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 Tomas Hertl C | +4.28 | +3.60 | +0.29 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 | — | 15:35 |
| 9 Jack Eichel C | +3.01 | +1.50 | +0.55 | +1.01 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 17:00 |
| 16 Pavel Dorofeyev R | +2.91 | +2.00 | +0.28 | +0.72 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 18:25 |
| 61 Mark Stone R | +2.83 | +1.95 | +0.10 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:44 |
| 27 Shea Theodore D | +2.18 | +0.75 | +0.33 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 23:05 |
| 5 Jeremy Lauzon D | +1.77 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.99 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:26 |
| 2 Zach Whitecloud D | +1.51 | +0.75 | +0.03 | +0.48 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:02 |
| 49 Ivan Barbashev L | +1.25 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 9:59 |
| 15 Noah Hanifin D | +1.14 | +1.10 | +0.05 | +0.18 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:24 |
| 19 Reilly Smith R | +0.97 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 17:03 |
| 23 Cole Reinhardt L | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.47 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:53 |
| 30 Carl Lindbom G | +0.26 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.26 | 59:57 |
| 93 Mitch Marner R | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.09 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 21:40 |
| 42 Braeden Bowman R | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:59 |
| 6 Kaedan Korczak D | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 15:26 |
| 10 Colton Sissons C | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.16 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 15:49 |
| 17 Ben Hutton D | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:06 |
| 55 Keegan Kolesar R | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:51 |
| 26 Alexander Holtz R | -0.71 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.65 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.06 | — | 11:36 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51 Collin Graf R | +0.92 | +0.75 | +0.13 | -0.10 | +0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 13:13 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | +0.90 | +0.75 | +0.23 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:06 |
| 53 Jeff Skinner L | +0.63 | +0.70 | +0.13 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:15 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +0.46 | +0.55 | +0.08 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:19 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 14:15 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 9:56 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 10:56 |
| 63 Zack Ostapchuk C | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.07 | — | 11:34 |
| 37 Timothy Liljegren D | -0.01 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.63 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:55 |
| 22 Vincent Iorio D | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 17:18 |
| 3 John Klingberg D | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:48 |
| 84 Pavol Regenda L | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:33 |
| 77 Michael Misa C | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.25 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 11:43 |
| 72 William Eklund L | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.29 | -0.99 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:41 |
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | -0.58 | 0.00 | +0.26 | -1.03 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 23:53 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | -0.72 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.68 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:47 |
| 92 Igor Chernyshov L | -0.89 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:37 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | -0.94 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:52 |
| 30 Yaroslav Askarov G | -2.94 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.94 | 58:49 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.