| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 34 |
 |
1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:32 | |
James van Riemsdyk (12)PP Moritz Seider (26), Lucas Raymond (35) · backhand xG 0.46 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:28 | |
Alex DeBrincat (24) Andrew Copp (20), Ben Chiarot (6) · snap xG 0.17 | 0–2 ▶ |
| 4:54 | |
Albert Johansson (1) Patrick Kane (20), Alex DeBrincat (24) · snap xG 0.22 | 0–3 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 4:44 | |
Jackson Blake (14)PP Taylor Hall (14), Alexander Nikishin (13) · wrist xG 0.09 | 1–3 ▶ |
| 7:56 | |
Seth Jarvis (21)SH Sebastian Aho (27) · wrist xG 0.10 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 16:59 | |
Shayne Gostisbehere (6)PP Sebastian Aho (28) · slap xG 0.12 | 3–3 ▶ |
| Overtime | |||
| 3:27 | |
Andrew Copp (8) Alex DeBrincat (25) · snap xG 0.42 | 3–4 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CAR | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.73 | Expected goals | 2.92 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 2.24 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.10 |
| 82 | Shot attempts | 39 |
| 55 | Unblocked attempts | 28 |
| 34 | Shots on goal | 18 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:13 | DET | Goalie | Goalie · Gibson +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.07 xG, 23 shots on goal |
| 6:22 | CAR | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · CAR takes the lead, 60–40%
DET had led since 1:32 of the 1st, by as much as 76% |
| 12:10 | CAR | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced DET 1.14–0.13
In xG over 10 minutes, 2:10 to 12:10 of the 3rd; goals 2–0 |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 20 | Sebastian Aho | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 7 | 0.67 | 2 | 0 | 21:45 |
| 37 | Andrei Svechnikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.33 | 2 | 0 | 19:26 |
| 24 | Seth Jarvis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.52 | 2 | 0 | 19:22 |
| 27 | Nikolaj Ehlers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 8 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 17:38 |
| 53 | Jackson Blake | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.40 | 1 | 0 | 16:38 |
| 11 | Jordan Staal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | 5 | 0 | 16:07 |
| 71 | Taylor Hall | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 15:39 |
| 22 | Logan Stankoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 15:22 |
| 48 | Jordan Martinook | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 4 | 1 | 14:40 |
| 50 | Eric Robinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 10:29 |
| 82 | Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 10:23 |
| 77 | Mark Jankowski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 10:22 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 74 | Jaccob Slavin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.04 | 0 | 5 | 21:41 |
| 5 | Jalen Chatfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 20:38 |
| 26 | Sean Walker | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 20:15 |
| 4 | Shayne Gostisbehere | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 10 | 0.47 | 0 | 2 | 18:48 |
| 19 | K'Andre Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 18:30 |
| 21 | Alexander Nikishin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 15:56 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik Andersen | 18 | 4 | 14 | .778 | 2.92 | -1.08 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Dylan Larkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 18:55 |
| 23 | Lucas Raymond | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 18:32 |
| 18 | Andrew Copp | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 0.42 | 0 | 1 | 18:18 |
| 93 | Alex DeBrincat | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 9 | 0.59 | 0 | 1 | 17:12 |
| 21 | James van Riemsdyk | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.57 | 0 | 1 | 16:25 |
| 37 | J.T. Compher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 15:50 |
| 88 | Patrick Kane | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:50 |
| 58 | Emmitt Finnie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 13:43 |
| 27 | Michael Rasmussen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 2 | 0 | 13:27 |
| 92 | Marco Kasper | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 3 | 2 | 12:47 |
| 22 | Mason Appleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 12:20 |
| 25 | Elmer Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 09:43 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 53 | Moritz Seider | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 27:43 |
| 77 | Simon Edvinsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 1 | 8 | 26:16 |
| 8 | Ben Chiarot | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.19 | 4 | 2 | 22:17 |
| 20 | Albert Johansson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.22 | 0 | 2 | 17:46 |
| 25 | Jacob Bernard-Docker | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 15:13 |
| 44 | Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 09:31 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | 34 | 3 | 31 | .912 | 3.73 | +0.73 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sebastian Aho C | +2.27 | +1.40 | +0.43 | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.04 | — | 21:45 |
| 24 Seth Jarvis C | +1.92 | +0.75 | +0.34 | +0.67 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 19:22 |
| 53 Jackson Blake R | +1.65 | +0.75 | +0.26 | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:38 |
| 4 Shayne Gostisbehere D | +1.32 | +0.75 | +0.31 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 18:48 |
| 19 K'Andre Miller D | +1.08 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +1.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:30 |
| 71 Taylor Hall L | +1.01 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:39 |
| 21 Alexander Nikishin D | +0.74 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:56 |
| 11 Jordan Staal C | +0.66 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.02 | — | 16:07 |
| 48 Jordan Martinook L | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.54 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 14:40 |
| 26 Sean Walker D | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:15 |
| 22 Logan Stankoven C | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.19 | +0.15 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 15:22 |
| 37 Andrei Svechnikov R | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.17 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 19:26 |
| 50 Eric Robinson L | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:29 |
| 5 Jalen Chatfield D | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:38 |
| 82 Jesperi Kotkaniemi C | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:23 |
| 77 Mark Jankowski L | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.05 | — | 10:22 |
| 74 Jaccob Slavin D | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.23 | — | 21:41 |
| 27 Nikolaj Ehlers L | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 17:38 |
| 31 Frederik Andersen G | -1.08 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.08 | 63:14 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93 Alex DeBrincat R | +2.62 | +2.00 | +0.38 | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.01 | — | 17:12 |
| 18 Andrew Copp C | +1.99 | +1.45 | +0.27 | +0.24 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 18:18 |
| 88 Patrick Kane R | +1.15 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:50 |
| 20 Albert Johansson D | +0.84 | +0.75 | +0.14 | +0.02 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:46 |
| 36 John Gibson G | +0.73 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.73 | 63:27 |
| 21 James van Riemsdyk L | +0.69 | +0.75 | +0.37 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 16:25 |
| 85 Elmer Soderblom L | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.19 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 9:43 |
| 27 Michael Rasmussen C | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.15 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 13:27 |
| 8 Ben Chiarot D | +0.21 | +0.55 | +0.12 | -0.39 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 22:17 |
| 23 Lucas Raymond L | +0.16 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.27 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:32 |
| 53 Moritz Seider D | +0.04 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.55 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 27:43 |
| 25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.08 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:13 |
| 22 Mason Appleton C | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.01 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 12:20 |
| 44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 9:31 |
| 77 Simon Edvinsson D | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.40 | — | 26:16 |
| 37 J.T. Compher L | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.32 | 0.00 | -0.09 | +0.01 | — | 15:50 |
| 71 Dylan Larkin C | -0.50 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.75 | +0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 18:55 |
| 92 Marco Kasper C | -0.59 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.87 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 12:47 |
| 58 Emmitt Finnie C | -1.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 13:43 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.