Monday, January 12, 2026
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
SEA 59%Deserve to win 41% NYR
SEA NYR
3.25 Expected goals 2.30
4 Goals (no shootout) 2
2.54 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.81
43 Shot attempts 58
40 Unblocked attempts 38
29 Shots on goal 22
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
17:58
NYR
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Quick, down 3–2
With 2:02 left; SEA scored at 19:50 of the 3rd (4–2)
Shot map
SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → NYR shoots
Jared McCann: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:19)
Ryker Evans: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 2:29)
Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:04)
Matty Beniers: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 3:41)
Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 3:50)
Eeli Tolvanen: slap, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 4:23)
Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:45)
Brennan Othmann: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 4:52)
Matthew Robertson: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 5:56)
Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 80 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:58)
Cale Fleury: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:36)
Ryan Winterton: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 12:04)
Jordan Eberle: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:43)
Noah Laba: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 13:23)
Braden Schneider: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:32)
Vladislav Gavrikov: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:41)
Ryan Lindgren: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:30)
Sam Carrick: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:11)
Adam Larsson: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:39)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:42)
Mika Zibanejad: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 16:46)
Braden Schneider: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:55)
Gabe Perreault: tip-in, 82 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:13)
Frederick Gaudreau: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 18:52)
Matty Beniers: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 19:51)
Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:56)
Noah Laba: deflected, 23 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 2:09)
Will Borgen: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:34)
Kaapo Kakko: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 4:09)
Vince Dunn: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:18)
Brennan Othmann: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:45)
Ryker Evans: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:06)
Shane Wright: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:14)
Jared McCann: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:15)
Matthew Robertson: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:05)
Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:32)
Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:00)
Noah Laba: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:42)
Noah Laba: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 8:44)
Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 9:26)
Vladislav Gavrikov: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:59)
Matthew Robertson: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:10)
Sam Carrick: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:20)
Sam Carrick: deflected, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:38)
Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:06)
Shane Wright: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 16:20)
Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:20)
Jared McCann: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 19:11)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:02)
Cale Fleury: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:04)
Kaapo Kakko: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 3:25)
Jaden Schwartz: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:31)
Will Borgen: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:03)
Vladislav Gavrikov: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 4:35)
Jacob Melanson: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 5:19)
Vince Dunn: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:29)
Jared McCann: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:41)
Sam Carrick: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:50)
Kaapo Kakko: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:25)
Jared McCann: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:41)
Berkly Catton: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 12:00)
Berkly Catton: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:01)
Mika Zibanejad: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:40)
Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:53)
Ryker Evans: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:09)
Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 16:43)
Matty Beniers: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:54)
Artemi Panarin: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:15)
Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:34)
Vincent Trocheck: backhand, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:12)
J.T. Miller: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 19:32)
Artemi Panarin: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:36)
Mika Zibanejad: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 3:08)
Sam Carrick: GOAL, wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 5:31)
Eeli Tolvanen: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 1:00)
Jordan Eberle: GOAL, snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:27)
Berkly Catton: GOAL, wrist, 1 ft, xG 0.33 (P3 12:02)
Jared McCann: GOAL, wrist, 108 ft, xG 0.47 (P3 19:50)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Seattle Kraken
New York Rangers
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Seattle Kraken
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
20 Eeli Tolvanen R
+1.64
+0.75
+0.27
+0.67
-0.15
0.00
+0.10
—
16:04
84 Kaapo Kakko R
+1.54
+0.70
+0.13
+0.71
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
15:26
55 Ryan Lindgren D
+1.45
+0.55
+0.07
+0.76
0.00
0.00
+0.06
—
22:12
19 Jared McCann L
+1.41
+0.75
+0.47
+0.10
0.00
-0.01
+0.10
—
18:48
89 Frederick Gaudreau C
+1.31
+0.70
+0.08
+0.53
0.00
+0.02
-0.02
—
16:30
7 Jordan Eberle R
+1.25
+0.75
+0.07
+0.45
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
19:38
10 Matty Beniers C
+1.19
+0.55
+0.15
+0.30
+0.15
+0.01
+0.03
—
20:14
51 Shane Wright C
+1.11
+0.70
+0.12
+0.34
0.00
-0.04
0.00
—
12:32
8 Cale Fleury D
+1.08
0.00
+0.02
+0.93
0.00
0.00
+0.13
—
20:54
27 Berkly Catton C
+0.88
+0.75
+0.34
-0.19
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
13:28
17 Jaden Schwartz L
+0.60
0.00
+0.07
+0.49
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
17:14
29 Vince Dunn D
+0.51
0.00
+0.05
+0.39
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
18:53
6 Adam Larsson D
+0.43
0.00
+0.01
+0.39
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
22:02
31 Philipp Grubauer G
+0.30
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.30
60:00
63 Jacob Melanson R
+0.12
0.00
+0.09
-0.17
+0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
8:13
26 Ryan Winterton C
-0.11
0.00
+0.12
-0.26
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
9:08
59 Ben Meyers C
-0.12
0.00
0.00
-0.12
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
12:36
41 Ryker Evans D
-0.18
0.00
+0.05
-0.23
-0.15
0.00
+0.15
—
16:31
24 Jamie Oleksiak D
-0.32
0.00
+0.01
-0.36
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
15:37
New York Rangers
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.