| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 26 |
 |
0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:10 | |
Pontus Holmberg (7) Zemgus Girgensons (4), Yanni Gourde (10) · snap xG 0.26 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:33 | |
Jake Guentzel (20) Erik Cernak (5), Brandon Hagel (19) · deflected xG 0.17 | 2–0 ▶ |
| 4:29 | |
Brayden Point (11)PP Oliver Bjorkstrand (15), Jake Guentzel (27) · backhand xG 0.26 | 3–0 ▶ |
| 5:40 | |
Christian Dvorak (10) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.11 | 3–1 ▶ |
| 19:29 | |
Brandon Hagel (22)PP Darren Raddysh (26), Nikita Kucherov (44) · wrist xG 0.07 | 4–1 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 16:39 | |
Nikita Kucherov (23)EN Darren Raddysh (27), Anthony Cirelli (16) · wrist xG 0.66 | 5–1 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| TBL | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.76 | Expected goals | 2.62 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 1.76 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.64 |
| 55 | Shot attempts | 52 |
| 37 | Unblocked attempts | 38 |
| 26 | Shots on goal | 21 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:40 | TBL | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced PHI 1.44–0.10
In xG over 10 minutes, 17:00 of the 2nd to 7:00 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
| 11:20 | TBL | No shift | No shift · Point, 17:13 on the bench
No shift after 4:29 of the 2nd; 8 shifts (5:47) before that |
| 15:16 | PHI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Vladar, down 4–1
With 4:44 left; TBL scored at 16:39 of the 3rd (5–1) |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 38 | Brandon Hagel | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 | 19:21 |
| 86 | Nikita Kucherov | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1.40 | 0 | 0 | 18:40 |
| 59 | Jake Guentzel | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 17:43 |
| 37 | Yanni Gourde | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 16:47 |
| 28 | Oliver Bjorkstrand | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 15:39 |
| 28 | Zemgus Girgensons | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 |
| 71 | Anthony Cirelli | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.43 | 0 | 2 | 15:09 |
| 29 | Pontus Holmberg | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.44 | 1 | 0 | 14:59 |
| 17 | Dominic James | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:29 |
| 20 | Nick Paul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 11:32 |
| 93 | Gage Goncalves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 10:42 |
| 21 | Brayden Point | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.79 | 0 | 0 | 05:47 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Darren Raddysh | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.32 | 1 | 1 | 25:17 |
| 90 | J.J. Moser | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 23:00 |
| 51 | Charle-Edouard D'Astous | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 2 | 1 | 19:31 |
| 81 | Erik Cernak | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.05 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 |
| 72 | Declan Carlile | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 14:45 |
| 24 | Max Crozier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:54 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Johansson | 21 | 1 | 20 | .952 | 2.62 | +1.62 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 19:39 |
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 18:35 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.46 | 3 | 0 | 17:48 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.45 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 |
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 1 | 1 | 15:12 |
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.39 | 2 | 0 | 14:21 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 13:31 |
| 86 | Denver Barkey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:29 |
| 91 | Carl Grundstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 1 | 12:15 |
| 18 | Rodrigo Abols | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.29 | 4 | 0 | 12:14 |
| 17 | Nikita Grebenkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10:50 |
| 21 | Garnet Hathaway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 10 | 0 | 10:16 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Cam York | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 23:05 |
| 55 | Rasmus Ristolainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.18 | 1 | 2 | 21:56 |
| 36 | Emil Andrae | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.04 | 2 | 2 | 19:32 |
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 19:12 |
| 47 | Noah Juulsen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 4 | 15:59 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | 25 | 4 | 21 | .840 | 4.10 | +0.10 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86 Nikita Kucherov R | +3.04 | +1.30 | +0.91 | +0.84 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:40 |
| 59 Jake Guentzel C | +1.88 | +1.30 | +0.19 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 17:43 |
| 21 Brayden Point C | +1.78 | +0.75 | +0.51 | +0.54 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 5:47 |
| 43 Darren Raddysh D | +1.68 | +1.40 | +0.21 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 25:17 |
| 31 Jonas Johansson G | +1.62 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.62 | 59:13 |
| 38 Brandon Hagel L | +1.41 | +1.30 | +0.27 | -0.02 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 19:21 |
| 29 Pontus Holmberg R | +1.09 | +0.75 | +0.28 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:59 |
| 71 Anthony Cirelli C | +0.98 | +0.55 | +0.28 | +0.11 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.10 | — | 15:09 |
| 81 Erik Cernak D | +0.94 | +0.70 | +0.04 | +0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.21 | — | 19:16 |
| 37 Yanni Gourde C | +0.82 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.07 | — | 16:47 |
| 28 Zemgus Girgensons C | +0.81 | +0.70 | +0.05 | +0.09 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:16 |
| 90 J.J. Moser D | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 23:00 |
| 93 Gage Goncalves C | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.35 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 10:42 |
| 22 Oliver Bjorkstrand R | +0.38 | +0.70 | +0.11 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:39 |
| 24 Max Crozier D | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:54 |
| 51 Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:31 |
| 67 Declan Carlile D | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.12 | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:45 |
| 20 Nick Paul L | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.36 | +0.06 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 11:32 |
| 17 Dominic James C | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.49 | +0.30 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:29 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +0.66 | 0.00 | +0.30 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 17:48 |
| 52 Denver Barkey C | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:29 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.05 | — | 15:12 |
| 55 Rasmus Ristolainen D | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 21:56 |
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | +0.27 | +0.75 | +0.17 | -0.63 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.06 | — | 19:39 |
| 19 Garnet Hathaway R | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.37 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:16 |
| 18 Rodrigo Abols C | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.22 | -0.24 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:14 |
| 47 Noah Juulsen D | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 17:16 |
| 36 Emil Andrae D | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:32 |
| 80 Dan Vladar G | +0.10 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.10 | 57:41 |
| 29 Nikita Grebenkin R | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:50 |
| 27 Noah Cates L | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.23 | +0.15 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 13:31 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 19:12 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.29 | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:07 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.29 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 15:59 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.26 | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:21 |
| 8 Cam York D | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 23:05 |
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | -0.45 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.63 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:35 |
| 91 Carl Grundstrom R | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:15 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.