| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 |
 |
1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 41 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:53 | |
Elias Pettersson (12) Linus Karlsson (10), Filip Hronek (24) · snap xG 0.28 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 18:13 | |
Noah Dobson (9)PP Nick Suzuki (35) · snap xG 0.07 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:50 | |
Evander Kane (7) Aatu Räty (9) · snap xG 0.30 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 4:31 | |
Alexandre Carrier (2) Nick Suzuki (36), Alexandre Texier (9) · snap xG 0.13 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 4:51 | |
Alexandre Carrier (3) Juraj Slafkovský (20), Ivan Demidov (27) · snap xG 0.21 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 9:42 | |
Max Sasson (9) Drew O'Connor (7), Pierre-Olivier Joseph (2) · snap xG 0.25 | 3–3 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:29 | |
Mike Matheson (5) Cole Caufield (22), Alexandre Texier (10) · snap xG 0.04 | 3–4 ▶ |
| 1:07 | |
Juraj Slafkovský (17) Ivan Demidov (28), Lane Hutson (37) · snap xG 0.06 | 3–5 ▶ |
| 6:05 | |
Oliver Kapanen (16) Ivan Demidov (29), Juraj Slafkovský (21) · snap xG 0.12 | 3–6 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| VAN | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.26 | Expected goals | 4.74 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 2.69 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 4.67 |
| 60 | Shot attempts | 69 |
| 34 | Unblocked attempts | 57 |
| 23 | Shots on goal | 41 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:50 | MTL | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.11–0.01
In xG over 10 minutes, 14:00 of the 2nd to 4:00 of the 3rd; goals 2–0 |
| 4:40 | MTL | No shift | No shift · Xhekaj, 12:11 on the bench
No shift from 14:36 of the 2nd to 6:47 of the 3rd; 11 shifts (9:46) before that |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 6 | Brock Boeser | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.59 | 0 | 1 | 21:41 |
| 83 | Conor Garland | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 18:33 |
| 64 | David Kampf | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.39 | 2 | 0 | 16:45 |
| 40 | Elias Pettersson | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.62 | 0 | 2 | 16:41 |
| 94 | Linus Karlsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 15:34 |
| 74 | Jake DeBrusk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 1 | 14:51 |
| 91 | Evander Kane | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 14:33 |
| 63 | Max Sasson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 14:31 |
| 18 | Drew O'Connor | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 13:40 |
| 54 | Aatu Räty | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.15 | 4 | 0 | 12:25 |
| 92 | Liam Ohgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 11:37 |
| 21 | Nils Hoglander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 11:22 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 26 | Marcus Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 22:45 |
| 17 | Filip Hronek | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 21:16 |
| 57 | Tyler Myers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 19:47 |
| 5 | Tom Willander | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 18:32 |
| 90 | Victor Mancini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 18:08 |
| 7 | Pierre-Olivier Joseph | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 17:15 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Tolopilo | 41 | 6 | 35 | .854 | 4.74 | -1.26 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 85 | Alexandre Texier | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.44 | 1 | 1 | 18:21 |
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 17:06 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.62 | 0 | 4 | 16:34 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 7 | 1.08 | 0 | 1 | 16:21 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 9 | 0.42 | 2 | 0 | 16:16 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 0.20 | 1 | 2 | 14:44 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 14:27 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 13:39 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.09 | 4 | 1 | 13:29 |
| 90 | Joseph Veleno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 3 | 0 | 12:40 |
| 0 | Sammy Blais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 2 | 11:06 |
| 62 | Owen Beck | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11:03 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | 0.06 | 2 | 2 | 23:04 |
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 0.47 | 1 | 4 | 22:18 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 0.35 | 0 | 3 | 20:01 |
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 20:01 |
| 21 | Kaiden Guhle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 19:56 |
| 72 | Arber Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.03 | 6 | 2 | 14:54 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | 23 | 3 | 20 | .870 | 3.26 | +0.26 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 Max Sasson C | +0.83 | +0.75 | +0.16 | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 14:31 |
| 7 Pierre-Olivier Joseph D | +0.44 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:15 |
| 91 Evander Kane L | +0.44 | +0.75 | +0.21 | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 14:33 |
| 18 Drew O'Connor L | +0.37 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:40 |
| 40 Elias Pettersson C | +0.35 | +0.75 | +0.41 | -0.85 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.10 | — | 16:41 |
| 90 Victor Mancini D | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:08 |
| 54 Aatu Räty C | +0.05 | +0.70 | +0.10 | -0.69 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 12:25 |
| 94 Linus Karlsson C | -0.17 | +0.70 | +0.06 | -0.93 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:34 |
| 6 Brock Boeser R | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.38 | -0.55 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 21:41 |
| 21 Nils Hoglander L | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.68 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:22 |
| 92 Liam Ohgren L | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.65 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:37 |
| 64 David Kampf C | -0.55 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -0.83 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 16:45 |
| 8 Conor Garland R | -0.58 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 18:33 |
| 17 Filip Hronek D | -0.60 | +0.55 | +0.05 | -1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 21:16 |
| 74 Jake DeBrusk L | -0.63 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 14:51 |
| 29 Marcus Pettersson D | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 22:45 |
| 57 Tyler Myers D | -0.98 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:47 |
| 60 Nikita Tolopilo G | -1.26 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.26 | 60:00 |
| 5 Tom Willander D | -1.79 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -1.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:32 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | +4.15 | +1.95 | +0.20 | +2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:27 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | +3.36 | +1.50 | +0.23 | +1.65 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 20:01 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | +3.02 | +0.75 | +0.04 | +2.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 23:04 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +2.96 | +2.00 | +0.13 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 14:44 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | +2.95 | +0.75 | +0.70 | +1.42 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 16:21 |
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +2.90 | +0.70 | +0.27 | +1.92 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 16:16 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | +2.77 | +1.40 | +0.01 | +1.28 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.05 | — | 17:06 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | +2.70 | +0.75 | +0.31 | +1.59 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 22:18 |
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +2.20 | +0.55 | +0.08 | +1.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:01 |
| 85 Alexandre Texier L | +2.05 | +1.10 | +0.28 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 18:21 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.40 | -0.11 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.20 | — | 16:34 |
| 75 Jakub Dobes G | +0.26 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.26 | 60:00 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.03 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 13:29 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 13:39 |
| 90 Joseph Veleno C | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 12:40 |
| 62 Owen Beck C | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:03 |
| 27 Sammy Blais L | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 11:06 |
| 21 Kaiden Guhle D | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:56 |
| 72 Arber Xhekaj D | -1.41 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 14:54 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.