| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 29 |
 |
0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:07 | |
Dawson Mercer (12) Nico Hischier (21) · snap xG 0.16 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 13:41 | |
Ryan Hartman (12) Brock Faber (18), Marcus Johansson (21) · deflected xG 0.13 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 19:52 | |
Ondrej Palat (3) Nico Hischier (22), Jonas Siegenthaler (5) · wrist xG 0.16 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:28 | |
Jesper Bratt (10) Dougie Hamilton (6), Jack Hughes (17) · wrist xG 0.18 | 3–1 ▶ |
| 7:49 | |
Jesper Bratt (11) Dougie Hamilton (7), Brenden Dillon (9) · tip-in xG 0.77 | 4–1 ▶ |
| 9:39 | |
Ondrej Palat (4) Dawson Mercer (16) · wrist xG 0.22 | 5–1 ▶ |
| 19:41 | |
Marcus Foligno (2)PP Jonas Brodin (12), Vinnie Hinostroza (5) · wrist xG 0.06 | 5–2 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NJD | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.53 | Expected goals | 2.64 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 2.71 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.11 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 62 |
| 42 | Unblocked attempts | 43 |
| 29 | Shots on goal | 23 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:49 | NJD | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · NJD takes the lead, 73–27%
MIN had led since 3:26 of the 1st, by as much as 69% |
| 7:50 | NJD | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MIN 1.72–0.10
In xG over 10 minutes, 19:40 of the 2nd to 9:40 of the 3rd; goals 4–0 |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Jack Hughes | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 | 19:04 |
| 13 | Nico Hischier | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 0.46 | 0 | 1 | 18:13 |
| 28 | Timo Meier | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.09 | 2 | 1 | 18:12 |
| 91 | Dawson Mercer | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.36 | 1 | 1 | 16:36 |
| 12 | Cody Glass | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 2 | 1 | 16:31 |
| 16 | Connor Brown | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 16:12 |
| 63 | Jesper Bratt | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 1.24 | 2 | 1 | 15:42 |
| 81 | Arseny Gritsyuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 15:19 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.37 | 4 | 1 | 14:36 |
| 33 | Evgenii Dadonov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11:22 |
| 41 | Luke Glendening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10:20 |
| 47 | Paul Cotter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 09:31 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Luke Hughes | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 22:38 |
| 71 | Jonas Siegenthaler | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 19:45 |
| 22 | Brett Pesce | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 19:22 |
| 8 | Johnathan Kovacevic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 2 | 19:19 |
| 7 | Dougie Hamilton | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 0.17 | 0 | 2 | 19:08 |
| 5 | Brenden Dillon | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 3 | 16:07 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | 23 | 2 | 21 | .913 | 2.64 | +0.64 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 12 | Matt Boldy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.41 | 1 | 0 | 19:35 |
| 97 | Kirill Kaprizov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.05 | 3 | 0 | 18:59 |
| 36 | Mats Zuccarello | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 18:47 |
| 38 | Ryan Hartman | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.68 | 0 | 3 | 16:51 |
| 90 | Marcus Johansson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 16:17 |
| 17 | Marcus Foligno | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 0.18 | 3 | 0 | 15:40 |
| 22 | Danila Yurov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 |
| 78 | Nico Sturm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 13:22 |
| 91 | Vladimir Tarasenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 12:40 |
| 13 | Yakov Trenin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 4 | 0 | 11:57 |
| 18 | Vinnie Hinostroza | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 09:16 |
| 18 | Ben Jones | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 08:39 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 7 | Brock Faber | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 8 | 0.11 | 0 | 2 | 26:35 |
| 43 | Quinn Hughes | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 10 | 0.25 | 0 | 2 | 26:06 |
| 25 | Jonas Brodin | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 18:24 |
| 46 | Jared Spurgeon | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 18:05 |
| 55 | Jake Middleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 16:04 |
| 48 | Daemon Hunt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:37 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt | 29 | 5 | 24 | .828 | 3.53 | -1.47 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 Jesper Bratt L | +3.64 | +1.50 | +0.80 | +1.30 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:42 |
| 7 Dougie Hamilton D | +3.27 | +1.40 | +0.11 | +1.50 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:08 |
| 13 Nico Hischier C | +2.75 | +1.40 | +0.30 | +0.91 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.05 | — | 18:13 |
| 91 Dawson Mercer C | +2.49 | +1.45 | +0.23 | +0.62 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:36 |
| 18 Ondrej Palat L | +2.34 | +1.50 | +0.24 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:36 |
| 5 Brenden Dillon D | +2.18 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +1.64 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 16:07 |
| 86 Jack Hughes C | +1.94 | +0.55 | +0.18 | +1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 19:04 |
| 43 Luke Hughes D | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:38 |
| 22 Brett Pesce D | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:22 |
| 12 Cody Glass C | +0.68 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.57 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.05 | — | 16:31 |
| 25 Jacob Markstrom G | +0.64 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.64 | 59:47 |
| 28 Timo Meier R | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.03 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.05 | — | 18:12 |
| 16 Connor Brown R | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:12 |
| 47 Paul Cotter L | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 9:31 |
| 81 Arseny Gritsyuk R | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:19 |
| 71 Jonas Siegenthaler D | -0.38 | +0.55 | +0.02 | -1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 19:45 |
| 33 Evgenii Dadonov L | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:22 |
| 14 Luke Glendening C | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.57 | -0.15 | +0.07 | 0.00 | — | 10:20 |
| 8 Johnathan Kovacevic D | -0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:19 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38 Ryan Hartman R | +1.87 | +0.75 | +0.44 | +0.58 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.11 | — | 16:51 |
| 12 Matt Boldy L | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.27 | +0.67 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.02 | — | 19:35 |
| 7 Brock Faber D | +0.52 | +0.70 | +0.07 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 26:35 |
| 90 Marcus Johansson L | +0.48 | +0.55 | +0.16 | -0.38 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:17 |
| 17 Marcus Foligno L | +0.42 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -0.30 | -0.15 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 15:40 |
| 39 Ben Jones C | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.06 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 8:39 |
| 91 Vladimir Tarasenko R | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:40 |
| 25 Jonas Brodin D | +0.12 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:24 |
| 48 Daemon Hunt D | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:37 |
| 43 Quinn Hughes D | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 26:06 |
| 13 Yakov Trenin C | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.31 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 11:57 |
| 97 Kirill Kaprizov L | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:59 |
| 22 Danila Yurov R | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.35 | 0.00 | -0.14 | +0.02 | — | 15:06 |
| 46 Jared Spurgeon D | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 18:05 |
| 18 Vinnie Hinostroza C | -0.63 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:16 |
| 36 Mats Zuccarello R | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.76 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | — | 18:47 |
| 5 Jake Middleton D | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:04 |
| 78 Nico Sturm C | -1.26 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.32 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 13:22 |
| 30 Jesper Wallstedt G | -1.47 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.47 | 60:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.