| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 37 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 30 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:41 | Zach Hyman (14) Evan Bouchard (35), Connor McDavid (49) · tip-in xG 0.30 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:16 | Evan Bouchard (10) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (26), Connor McDavid (50) · snap xG 0.10 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 14:46 | Tyler Bertuzzi (24) Wyatt Kaiser (6) · wrist xG 0.18 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 19:07 | Evan Bouchard (11)EN Zach Hyman (11) · wrist xG 0.44 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 19:15 | Leon Draisaitl (24) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.09 | 4–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| EDM | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.54 | Expected goals | 3.29 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 3.86 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.46 |
| 63 | Shot attempts | 63 |
| 54 | Unblocked attempts | 46 |
| 37 | Shots on goal | 30 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:50 | EDM | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.15–0.10
In xG over 10 minutes, 4:50 to 14:50 of the 1st; goals 1–0 |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 7:50 | CHI | No shift | No shift · Teravainen, 32:58 on the bench
No shift after 17:48 of the 1st; 7 shifts (5:27) before that |
| 11:56 | EDM | Goalie | Goalie · Ingram +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.03 xG, 16 shots on goal |
| 13:10 | CHI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced EDM 1.37–0.29
In xG over 10 minutes, 4:50 to 14:50 of the 2nd; neither team scored |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:00 | CHI | Goalie | Goalie · Knight +2.0 goals saved
2 goals on 4.00 xG, 35 shots on goal |
| 18:32 | CHI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Knight, down 2–1
With 1:28 left; EDM scored at 19:07 of the 3rd (3–1) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 21:18 |
| 29 | Leon Draisaitl | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 21:11 |
| 18 | Zach Hyman | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 0.58 | 0 | 0 | 19:28 |
| 93 | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 | 18:39 |
| 42 | Kasperi Kapanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.44 | 1 | 1 | 15:12 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 2 | 0 | 15:01 |
| 96 | Jack Roslovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.67 | 0 | 1 | 14:23 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 14:06 |
| 13 | Mattias Janmark | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:41 |
| 26 | Andrew Mangiapane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 11:26 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 09:28 |
| 20 | Curtis Lazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.24 | 2 | 0 | 07:05 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 7 | 0.72 | 0 | 1 | 24:31 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 5 | 21:22 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 2 | 20:37 |
| 49 | Ty Emberson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 19:40 |
| 24 | Spencer Stastney | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.14 | 0 | 3 | 16:16 |
| 75 | Alec Regula | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 14:36 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Ingram | 30 | 1 | 29 | .967 | 3.29 | +2.29 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.40 | 0 | 0 | 20:35 |
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.55 | 0 | 0 | 20:28 |
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 18:42 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.28 | 1 | 0 | 17:47 |
| 16 | Jason Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 16:24 |
| 11 | Oliver Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 16:12 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 15:36 |
| 84 | Landon Slaggert | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.34 | 2 | 1 | 14:02 |
| 76 | Nick Lardis | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.37 | 2 | 1 | 12:52 |
| 34 | Colton Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 3 | 0 | 11:40 |
| 71 | Nick Foligno | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 10:47 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 05:27 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 55 | Artyom Levshunov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.32 | 6 | 1 | 24:33 |
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 19:34 |
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | 0 | 1 | 19:07 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 17:59 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 17:41 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 17:09 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | 36 | 3 | 33 | .917 | 4.10 | +1.10 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | +3.83 | +2.20 | +0.47 | +1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 24:31 |
| 18 Zach Hyman L | +3.16 | +1.45 | +0.38 | +1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:28 |
| 97 Connor McDavid C | +2.49 | +1.10 | +0.06 | +1.35 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.02 | — | 21:18 |
| 39 Connor Ingram G | +2.29 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.29 | 60:00 |
| 93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | +1.83 | +0.70 | +0.24 | +0.92 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 18:39 |
| 29 Leon Draisaitl C | +1.40 | +0.75 | +0.14 | +0.54 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 21:11 |
| 28 Jack Roslovic C | +1.09 | 0.00 | +0.44 | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 14:23 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | +1.08 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +1.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:37 |
| 75 Alec Regula D | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:36 |
| 24 Spencer Stastney D | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 16:16 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 | — | 21:22 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:06 |
| 10 Trent Frederic C | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:28 |
| 88 Andrew Mangiapane L | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:26 |
| 42 Kasperi Kapanen R | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.29 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:12 |
| 20 Curtis Lazar C | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 7:05 |
| 13 Mattias Janmark C | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:41 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.04 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:01 |
| 49 Ty Emberson D | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:40 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | +1.35 | +0.75 | +0.36 | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 20:28 |
| 30 Spencer Knight G | +1.10 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.10 | 59:25 |
| 76 Nick Lardis L | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.24 | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 12:52 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.05 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:35 |
| 11 Oliver Moore C | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | — | 16:12 |
| 55 Artyom Levshunov D | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 24:33 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | +0.06 | +0.70 | +0.20 | -0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 19:07 |
| 84 Landon Slaggert L | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:02 |
| 16 Jason Dickinson C | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:24 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 5:27 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:59 |
| 34 Colton Dach C | -0.47 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:40 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | -0.47 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:09 |
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | -0.55 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:42 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:34 |
| 17 Nick Foligno L | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.96 | +0.15 | -0.04 | +0.03 | — | 10:47 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | -0.92 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.93 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:47 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | -1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 17:41 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | -1.63 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -1.66 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:36 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.