Tuesday, January 13, 2026
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
VAN 31%Deserve to win 69% OTT
VAN OTT
2.39 Expected goals 4.00
1 Goals (no shootout) 2
2.21 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.87
55 Shot attempts 75
36 Unblocked attempts 55
20 Shots on goal 40
Shot map
VAN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → OTT shoots
Artem Zub: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:23)
Fabian Zetterlund: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 1:24)
David Perron: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 1:44)
Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:23)
Thomas Chabot: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:29)
Nick Cousins: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 6:20)
Marcus Pettersson: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:48)
David Kampf: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:34)
Zeev Buium: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:45)
Tim Stützle: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 9:21)
Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:21)
Jordan Spence: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:25)
Jake DeBrusk: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 11:37)
Tim Stützle: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 13:42)
Lars Eller: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 14:08)
Dylan Cozens: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 14:46)
Shane Pinto: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:27)
Aatu Räty: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:24)
Aatu Räty: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:25)
Aatu Räty: poke, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:26)
Tyler Myers: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 17:00)
Elias Pettersson: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 17:02)
Jake DeBrusk: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 17:04)
Jake Sanderson: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:25)
Jordan Spence: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:06)
Drake Batherson: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:58)
Brock Boeser: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 0:34)
Nick Jensen: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:31)
Claude Giroux: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 2:05)
Fabian Zetterlund: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 2:18)
Thomas Chabot: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:30)
Dylan Cozens: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 3:04)
Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:14)
Tim Stützle: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 3:40)
Nick Cousins: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:00)
Claude Giroux: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 4:26)
Dylan Cozens: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 4:27)
Liam Ohgren: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 5:15)
Claude Giroux: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:53)
Brock Boeser: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:39)
Conor Garland: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 7:04)
Tyler Myers: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:08)
Drew O'Connor: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:32)
Pierre-Olivier Joseph: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:33)
Brady Tkachuk: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:13)
Nick Jensen: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:44)
Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 9:57)
Drake Batherson: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 11:45)
Thomas Chabot: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:54)
Drake Batherson: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.30 (P2 12:11)
Tim Stützle: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:24)
Conor Garland: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:06)
Ridly Greig: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 14:16)
Liam Ohgren: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:34)
Evander Kane: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 14:54)
Jordan Spence: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:17)
Lars Eller: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 16:20)
Lars Eller: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:27)
Shane Pinto: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:01)
Ridly Greig: deflected, 77 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:14)
Michael Amadio: wrap-around, 3 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 18:25)
David Kampf: wrist, 142 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:13)
Tim Stützle: backhand, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:27)
Tim Stützle: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 2:01)
Evander Kane: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:41)
Marcus Pettersson: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:34)
Brock Boeser: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 4:56)
Claude Giroux: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:52)
Fabian Zetterlund: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 7:50)
Shane Pinto: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:02)
Artem Zub: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:09)
Claude Giroux: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 8:30)
Evander Kane: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:08)
Nick Cousins: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 9:27)
Lars Eller: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:31)
Liam Ohgren: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:53)
Liam Ohgren: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:21)
Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:00)
Aatu Räty: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:20)
Dylan Cozens: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:51)
Brock Boeser: wrist, 77 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:27)
Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:14)
Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:16)
Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 18:18)
Elias Pettersson: poke, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:19)
Ridly Greig: wrist, 122 ft, xG 0.44 (P3 18:25)
Jake Sanderson: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:37)
Ridly Greig: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:38)
Artem Zub: GOAL, wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:36)
Jordan Spence: GOAL, wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:51)
Elias Pettersson: GOAL, snap, 26 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 1:17)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Vancouver Canucks
Ottawa Senators
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Vancouver Canucks
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
94 Linus Karlsson C
+1.77
+0.70
0.00
+1.00
0.00
-0.01
+0.08
—
14:06
40 Elias Pettersson C
+1.70
+0.75
+0.19
+0.70
0.00
-0.04
+0.10
—
15:28
32 Kevin Lankinen G
+1.56
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.56
58:15
74 Jake DeBrusk L
+1.12
0.00
+0.39
+0.63
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
14:43
24 Zeev Buium D
+0.66
0.00
+0.01
+0.47
+0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
21:23
6 Brock Boeser R
+0.62
0.00
+0.26
+0.34
0.00
+0.02
0.00
—
17:19
57 Tyler Myers D
+0.56
0.00
+0.17
+0.36
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
20:20
64 David Kampf C
+0.28
0.00
+0.01
+0.29
0.00
-0.02
0.00
—
15:50
8 Conor Garland R
+0.13
0.00
+0.09
+0.13
-0.15
0.00
+0.07
—
17:31
29 Marcus Pettersson D
+0.07
0.00
+0.03
-0.06
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
24:49
92 Liam Ohgren L
0.00
0.00
+0.18
-0.17
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
13:15
17 Filip Hronek D
-0.13
0.00
0.00
-0.06
-0.15
0.00
+0.08
—
23:16
54 Aatu Räty C
-0.80
0.00
+0.10
-0.88
0.00
+0.02
-0.04
—
14:39
63 Max Sasson C
-0.97
0.00
0.00
-0.99
0.00
-0.03
+0.05
—
13:56
18 Drew O'Connor L
-0.98
0.00
+0.02
-0.96
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
13:30
90 Victor Mancini D
-1.15
0.00
0.00
-1.18
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
14:51
21 Nils Hoglander L
-1.19
0.00
0.00
-1.21
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
14:27
91 Evander Kane L
-1.29
0.00
+0.10
-1.39
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:23
7 Pierre-Olivier Joseph D
-1.30
0.00
+0.02
-1.41
0.00
0.00
+0.09
—
13:31
Ottawa Senators
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
19 Drake Batherson R
+2.01
+0.70
+0.33
+1.00
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
15:53
18 Tim Stützle C
+1.76
+0.55
+0.40
+0.77
0.00
+0.07
-0.04
—
17:47
10 Jordan Spence D
+1.44
+0.75
+0.04
+0.57
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
16:12
1 Leevi Meriläinen G
+1.39
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.39
60:00
2 Artem Zub D
+1.14
+0.75
+0.05
-0.01
+0.15
0.00
+0.20
—
22:22
89 Lars Eller C
+1.09
0.00
+0.23
+0.83
0.00
-0.02
+0.05
—
11:16
57 David Perron L
+0.98
0.00
+0.04
+0.98
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
13:21
20 Fabian Zetterlund L
+0.89
0.00
+0.22
+0.56
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
14:29
21 Nick Cousins C
+0.78
0.00
+0.15
+0.64
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
11:41
22 Michael Amadio R
+0.55
+0.55
+0.06
-0.10
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
16:00
43 Tyler Kleven D
+0.48
0.00
0.00
+0.43
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
16:40
72 Thomas Chabot D
+0.47
0.00
+0.04
+0.33
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
21:04
12 Shane Pinto C
+0.45
+0.70
+0.06
-0.27
0.00
-0.02
-0.02
—
16:45
3 Nick Jensen D
+0.34
0.00
+0.03
+0.31
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
18:57
85 Jake Sanderson D
+0.27
0.00
+0.05
+0.12
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
22:52
71 Ridly Greig C
+0.13
0.00
+0.40
-0.27
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
16:04
24 Dylan Cozens C
-0.25
0.00
+0.16
-0.46
0.00
+0.04
+0.01
—
15:39
28 Claude Giroux R
-0.33
0.00
+0.20
-0.45
-0.15
+0.02
+0.04
—
15:06
7 Brady Tkachuk L
-0.35
0.00
+0.13
-0.50
0.00
-0.01
+0.03
—
15:52
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.