| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 41 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 10:59 | Pavel Zacha (14) Mason Lohrei (15), Viktor Arvidsson (14) · wrist xG 0.07 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:49 | Fraser Minten (11) Charlie McAvoy (24), David Pastrnak (37) · wrist xG 0.32 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 16:01 | Mark Kastelic (7)EN Tanner Jeannot (14), Sean Kuraly (10) · backhand xG 0.69 | 0–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| DET | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.01 | Expected goals | 4.40 |
| 0 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.53 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.05 |
| 58 | Shot attempts | 71 |
| 44 | Unblocked attempts | 54 |
| 24 | Shots on goal | 41 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:17 | DET | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · DET takes the lead, 61–39%
BOS had led since 1:37 of the 1st, by as much as 69% |
| 9:43 | BOS | Goalie | Goalie · Swayman +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.00 xG, 16 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 12:06 | BOS | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · BOS takes the lead, 62–38%
DET had led since 6:17 of the 2nd, by as much as 61% |
| 15:53 | DET | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Talbot, down 2–0
With 4:07 left; BOS scored at 16:01 of the 3rd (0–3) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 18 | Andrew Copp | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 1.07 | 0 | 1 | 19:06 |
| 88 | Patrick Kane | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 17:17 |
| 23 | Lucas Raymond | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 16:44 |
| 93 | Alex DeBrincat | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 8 | 0.46 | 0 | 0 | 16:41 |
| 37 | J.T. Compher | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 15:45 |
| 21 | James van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 15:00 |
| 22 | Mason Appleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 14:27 |
| 27 | Michael Rasmussen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.47 | 0 | 2 | 13:40 |
| 71 | Dylan Larkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 13:23 |
| 25 | Elmer Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:13 |
| 92 | Marco Kasper | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 5 | 0 | 12:26 |
| 58 | Emmitt Finnie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 12:09 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 53 | Moritz Seider | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.20 | 0 | 2 | 26:39 |
| 77 | Simon Edvinsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 3 | 5 | 25:27 |
| 20 | Albert Johansson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 17:49 |
| 8 | Ben Chiarot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 17:48 |
| 44 | Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 15:47 |
| 25 | Jacob Bernard-Docker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 13:27 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot | 40 | 2 | 38 | .950 | 3.70 | +1.70 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 0.51 | 3 | 0 | 21:30 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 20:17 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 15:57 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 15:24 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.41 | 0 | 1 | 15:04 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:03 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 14 | 1.04 | 1 | 0 | 13:50 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 13:29 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.66 | 0 | 0 | 12:36 |
| 21 | Alex Steeves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 3 | 1 | 12:01 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.76 | 1 | 1 | 11:58 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 11:39 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 23:00 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 21:22 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 19:46 |
| 20 | Henri Jokiharju | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 19:06 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 17:55 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 16:29 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 24 | 0 | 24 | 1.000 | 3.01 | +3.01 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Cam Talbot G | +1.70 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.70 | 59:12 |
| 18 Andrew Copp C | +1.23 | 0.00 | +0.70 | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.07 | — | 19:06 |
| 53 Moritz Seider D | +1.12 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 26:39 |
| 77 Simon Edvinsson D | +1.09 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.27 | — | 25:27 |
| 93 Alex DeBrincat R | +1.06 | 0.00 | +0.30 | +0.66 | +0.15 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 16:41 |
| 88 Patrick Kane R | +1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:17 |
| 27 Michael Rasmussen C | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.30 | -0.06 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.06 | — | 13:40 |
| 22 Mason Appleton C | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:27 |
| 71 Dylan Larkin C | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.07 | +0.05 | — | 13:23 |
| 58 Emmitt Finnie C | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:09 |
| 92 Marco Kasper C | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:26 |
| 85 Elmer Soderblom L | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:13 |
| 25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:27 |
| 20 Albert Johansson D | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:49 |
| 44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | -1.12 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -1.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:47 |
| 21 James van Riemsdyk L | -1.22 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -1.31 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 15:00 |
| 37 J.T. Compher L | -1.28 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -1.27 | 0.00 | -0.07 | -0.02 | — | 15:45 |
| 8 Ben Chiarot D | -1.68 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -1.60 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:48 |
| 23 Lucas Raymond L | -1.72 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:44 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | +3.01 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +3.01 | 59:34 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +3.01 | +0.75 | +0.26 | +1.92 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 15:04 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +2.49 | +0.55 | +0.67 | +1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 13:50 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | +1.68 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +1.48 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:29 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | +1.46 | +0.75 | +0.49 | -0.06 | +0.15 | +0.07 | +0.05 | — | 11:58 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | +1.40 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:29 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +1.28 | +0.75 | +0.43 | +0.13 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 12:36 |
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +1.22 | +0.55 | +0.33 | +0.20 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:30 |
| 20 Henri Jokiharju D | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 19:06 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 19:46 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | +0.60 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:39 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +0.33 | +0.70 | +0.12 | -0.39 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 23:00 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:55 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:22 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | +0.02 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.56 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | — | 15:03 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.21 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:57 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:24 |
| 21 Alex Steeves C | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:01 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.63 | -0.15 | +0.07 | -0.02 | — | 20:17 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.