New York IslandersNYI 4–5 Final Winnipeg JetsWPG

Tuesday, January 13, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
New York IslandersNYI	0	3	1	4	27
Winnipeg JetsWPG	1	4	0	5	22

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
4:20	WPG	Kyle Connor (22) Alex Iafallo (9), Mark Scheifele (31) · tip-in xG 0.13	0–1 ▶
2nd Period
5:41	WPG	Josh Morrissey (8) Cole Perfetti (11), Adam Lowry (7) · wrist xG 0.07	0–2 ▶
6:23	WPG	Jonathan Toews (6)PP Gabriel Vilardi (23), Kyle Connor (32) · slap xG 0.62	0–3 ▶
7:40	NYI	Anthony Duclair (8) Anders Lee (16), Ryan Pulock (19) · wrist xG 0.07	1–3 ▶
8:58	NYI	Emil Heineman (14)PS Unassisted · backhand xG 0.32	2–3 ▶
10:21	NYI	Kyle MacLean (2) Casey Cizikas (7) · snap xG 0.26	3–3 ▶
12:23	WPG	Dylan DeMelo (3) Mark Scheifele (32), Vladislav Namestnikov (3) · wrist xG 0.02	3–4 ▶
19:40	WPG	Adam Lowry (4) Neal Pionk (6), Dylan Samberg (8) · deflected xG 0.11	3–5 ▶
3rd Period
19:14	NYI	Matthew Schaefer (13) Mathew Barzal (26), Emil Heineman (8) · wrist xG 0.04	4–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYI 50%Deserve to win50% WPG

NYI		WPG
3.04	Expected goals	3.64
4	Goals (no shootout)	5
2.33	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.10
52	Shot attempts	47
42	Unblocked attempts	35
27	Shots on goal	22

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
6:23	WPG	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · WPG takes the lead, 70–30% NYI had led since 10:43 of the 1st, by as much as 66%
19:40	NYI	Goalie	Goalie · Sorokin −2.3 goals saved 5 goals on 2.74 xG, 20 shots on goal
3rd Period
16:38	NYI	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Sorokin, down 5–3 With 3:22 left
19:17	NYI	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Sorokin, down 5–4 With 0:43 left

Shot map

NYI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WPG shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Islanders

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
13	Mathew Barzal	0	1	1	+1	5	0.17	0	1	24:38
72	Anders Lee	0	1	1	+1	10	0.89	0	1	19:28
51	Emil Heineman	1	1	2	0	8	0.80	4	0	18:14
92	Simon Holmstrom	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	17:43
44	Jean-Gabriel Pageau	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	2	0	17:24
11	Anthony Duclair	1	0	1	0	4	0.27	0	0	16:34
49	Maxim Shabanov	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	0	15:04
92	Jonathan Drouin	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	0	13:44
64	Calum Ritchie	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	0	0	11:57
53	Casey Cizikas	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	11:08
17	Marc Gatcomb	0	0	0	+1	2	0.09	3	1	08:59
32	Kyle MacLean	1	0	1	+1	4	0.42	1	0	08:57
Defense
3	Adam Pelech	0	0	0	-1	4	0.05	0	2	22:43
48	Matthew Schaefer	1	0	1	0	2	0.04	0	1	22:39
6	Ryan Pulock	0	1	1	-1	2	0.01	0	3	21:58
77	Tony DeAngelo	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	0	1	19:12
24	Scott Mayfield	0	0	0	+1	3	0.00	0	1	16:15
34	Adam Boqvist	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	12:35

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Ilya Sorokin	22	5	17	.773	3.04	-1.96

Winnipeg Jets

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
81	Kyle Connor	1	1	2	+1	4	0.65	0	0	21:30
55	Mark Scheifele	0	2	2	+2	5	0.26	0	0	21:28
9	Alex Iafallo	0	1	1	+1	2	0.14	1	0	18:35
13	Gabriel Vilardi	0	1	1	0	7	0.77	0	1	18:17
17	Adam Lowry	1	1	2	-1	4	0.23	0	0	16:05
62	Nino Niederreiter	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	2	15:59
19	Jonathan Toews	1	0	1	0	3	0.72	0	0	15:25
7	Vladislav Namestnikov	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	4	1	15:01
91	Cole Perfetti	0	1	1	+1	5	0.38	1	0	14:42
45	Cole Koepke	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	08:54
70	Tanner Pearson	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	08:43
53	Danil Zhilkin	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	1	07:42
Defense
44	Josh Morrissey	1	0	1	+3	5	0.34	1	0	26:02
2	Dylan DeMelo	1	0	1	+2	2	0.02	0	0	21:59
4	Neal Pionk	0	1	1	-2	2	0.00	2	1	20:21
54	Dylan Samberg	0	1	1	-1	2	0.04	1	2	19:18
8	Logan Stanley	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	0	1	15:42
2	Luke Schenn	0	0	0	+1	2	0.00	2	0	12:29

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck	27	4	23	.852	3.04	-0.96

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Islanders

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
51 Emil Heineman L	+1.86	+1.30	+0.52	-0.09	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	18:14
32 Kyle MacLean C	+1.54	+0.75	+0.27	+0.55	0.00	+0.01	-0.04	—	8:57
53 Casey Cizikas C	+1.20	+0.70	0.00	+0.46	0.00	+0.04	0.00	—	11:08
27 Anders Lee L	+1.16	+0.70	+0.58	-0.12	0.00	+0.01	-0.01	—	19:28
6 Ryan Pulock D	+1.10	+0.55	+0.01	+0.41	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	21:58
48 Matthew Schaefer D	+1.05	+0.75	+0.02	+0.22	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	22:39
13 Mathew Barzal C	+0.86	+0.70	+0.11	-0.01	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	24:38
11 Anthony Duclair L	+0.81	+0.75	+0.17	-0.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:34
3 Adam Pelech D	+0.60	0.00	+0.03	+0.48	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	22:43
16 Marc Gatcomb C	+0.57	0.00	+0.06	+0.46	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	8:59
29 Jonathan Drouin L	-0.01	0.00	+0.02	-0.06	0.00	+0.01	+0.02	—	13:44
10 Simon Holmstrom R	-0.12	0.00	0.00	-0.31	+0.15	-0.01	+0.05	—	17:43
64 Calum Ritchie C	-0.18	0.00	+0.08	-0.19	0.00	-0.04	-0.02	—	11:57
49 Max Shabanov R	-0.19	0.00	+0.02	-0.15	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	15:04
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	-0.22	0.00	+0.06	-0.31	0.00	+0.03	0.00	—	17:24
34 Adam Boqvist D	-0.56	0.00	0.00	-0.41	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	12:35
77 Tony DeAngelo D	-0.57	0.00	+0.02	-0.59	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	19:12
24 Scott Mayfield D	-0.61	0.00	0.00	-0.49	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	16:15
30 Ilya Sorokin G	-1.96	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.96	56:13

Winnipeg Jets

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
13 Gabriel Vilardi C	+2.41	+0.70	+0.50	+1.07	+0.15	-0.02	+0.01	—	18:17
44 Josh Morrissey D	+2.34	+0.75	+0.22	+1.52	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	26:02
19 Jonathan Toews C	+2.09	+0.75	+0.47	+0.89	0.00	+0.02	-0.04	—	15:25
91 Cole Perfetti C	+2.08	+0.70	+0.25	+1.13	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:42
2 Dylan DeMelo D	+1.83	+0.75	+0.02	+1.04	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	21:59
17 Adam Lowry C	+1.47	+1.30	+0.15	-0.02	0.00	+0.04	0.00	—	16:05
81 Kyle Connor L	+1.03	+1.30	+0.43	-0.69	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	21:30
55 Mark Scheifele C	+0.67	+1.25	+0.17	-0.68	0.00	-0.03	-0.04	—	21:28
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C	+0.34	+0.55	0.00	-0.23	0.00	+0.01	+0.01	—	15:01
9 Alex Iafallo L	+0.04	+0.70	+0.09	-0.74	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	18:35
62 Nino Niederreiter R	-0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.30	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	15:59
45 Cole Koepke L	-0.07	0.00	+0.02	-0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:54
70 Tanner Pearson L	-0.09	0.00	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	8:43
5 Luke Schenn D	-0.15	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	12:29
53 Danil Zhilkin C	-0.16	0.00	0.00	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	+0.03	—	7:42
4 Neal Pionk D	-0.28	+0.70	0.00	-1.01	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	20:21
54 Dylan Samberg D	-0.29	+0.55	+0.02	-0.92	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	19:18
64 Logan Stanley D	-0.42	0.00	+0.04	-0.51	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:42
37 Connor Hellebuyck G	-0.96	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.96	59:48

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.