Dallas StarsDAL 1–3 Final Anaheim DucksANA

Tuesday, January 13, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Dallas StarsDAL	0	0	1	1	25
Anaheim DucksANA	0	1	2	3	25

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
3:36	ANA	Chris Kreider (15) Mikael Granlund (11), Radko Gudas (8) · snap xG 0.08	0–1 ▶
3rd Period
12:03	ANA	Beckett Sennecke (15) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.24	0–2 ▶
17:48	DAL	Roope Hintz (14) Matt Duchene (7), Wyatt Johnston (27) · snap xG 0.19	1–2 ▶
19:39	ANA	Jacob Trouba (8)EN Jackson LaCombe (23) · wrist xG 0.53	1–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DAL 39%Deserve to win61% ANA

DAL		ANA
2.74	Expected goals	3.93
1	Goals (no shootout)	3
1.14	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.66
56	Shot attempts	73
36	Unblocked attempts	48
25	Shots on goal	25

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
8:24	DAL	Goalie	Goalie · DeSmith +2.0 goals saved 1 goal on 3.01 xG, 22 shots on goal
9:05	ANA	Goalie	Goalie · Dostal +2.0 goals saved 0 goals on 2.02 xG, 20 shots on goal
15:16	DAL	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled DeSmith, down 2–0 With 4:44 left
16:14	DAL	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled DeSmith, down 2–0 With 3:46 left; DAL scored at 17:48 of the 3rd (1–2)
18:38	DAL	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled DeSmith, down 2–1 With 1:22 left; ANA scored at 19:39 of the 3rd (1–3)

Shot map

DAL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ ANA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Dallas Stars

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
96	Mikko Rantanen	0	0	0	-1	4	0.05	1	2	23:24
53	Wyatt Johnston	0	1	1	0	9	0.94	1	1	22:08
21	Jason Robertson	0	0	0	-1	5	0.59	1	1	20:39
24	Roope Hintz	1	0	1	-1	5	0.44	2	0	18:37
95	Matt Duchene	0	1	1	-2	5	0.17	0	1	18:12
22	Mavrik Bourque	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	2	0	14:49
18	Sam Steel	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	1	0	14:47
49	Justin Hryckowian	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	3	0	14:10
15	Colin Blackwell	0	0	0	0	3	0.00	2	1	09:59
12	Radek Faksa	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	0	09:53
10	Oskar Bäck	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	1	09:50
14	Jamie Benn	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	09:38
Defense
55	Thomas Harley	0	0	0	-1	6	0.09	1	3	28:58
23	Esa Lindell	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	2	21:37
5	Nils Lundkvist	0	0	0	0	6	0.03	1	1	17:54
36	Alexander Petrovic	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	17:36
46	Ilya Lyubushkin	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	2	3	13:57
20	Kyle Capobianco	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	2	2	12:56

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Casey DeSmith	24	2	22	.917	3.40	+1.40

Anaheim Ducks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
64	Mikael Granlund	0	1	1	+2	5	0.27	1	1	19:49
17	Alex Killorn	0	0	0	+1	5	0.31	2	1	17:30
45	Beckett Sennecke	1	0	1	+2	7	0.57	2	1	17:29
22	Chris Kreider	1	0	1	0	7	0.31	1	0	16:24
83	Mason McTavish	0	0	0	0	8	0.25	2	0	15:44
22	Ryan Strome	0	0	0	-1	3	0.17	0	2	15:01
10	Jansen Harkins	0	0	0	+1	5	0.35	3	0	14:34
49	Ross Johnston	0	0	0	0	4	0.09	5	0	13:25
25	Ryan Poehling	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	1	0	13:14
13	Nikita Nesterenko	0	0	0	+1	2	0.00	2	2	11:27
Defense
65	Jacob Trouba	1	0	1	0	6	0.57	1	3	25:59
2	Jackson LaCombe	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	1	4	22:04
98	Pavel Mintyukov	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	0	1	21:47
8	Olen Zellweger	0	0	0	0	10	0.36	1	1	17:04
14	Drew Helleson	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	2	1	16:29
6	Radko Gudas	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	4	0	15:55
3	Ian Moore	0	0	0	0	3	0.49	0	0	08:14

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Lukas Dostal	25	1	24	.960	2.74	+1.74

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Dallas Stars

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
1 Casey DeSmith G	+1.40	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.40	56:56
24 Roope Hintz C	+0.78	+0.75	+0.29	-0.20	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	18:37
53 Wyatt Johnston C	+0.12	+0.55	+0.61	-1.22	+0.15	-0.02	+0.05	—	22:08
18 Sam Steel C	+0.07	0.00	+0.12	-0.05	0.00	+0.02	-0.02	—	14:47
12 Radek Faksa C	+0.04	0.00	+0.02	+0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:53
21 Jason Robertson L	-0.02	0.00	+0.38	-0.30	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	20:39
15 Colin Blackwell C	-0.13	0.00	0.00	-0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	9:59
10 Oskar Bäck C	-0.20	0.00	0.00	-0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	9:50
23 Esa Lindell D	-0.23	0.00	0.00	-0.44	+0.15	0.00	+0.06	—	21:37
14 Jamie Benn L	-0.29	0.00	0.00	-0.32	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	9:38
46 Ilya Lyubushkin D	-0.34	0.00	+0.03	-0.51	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	13:57
22 Mavrik Bourque C	-0.37	0.00	+0.04	-0.37	0.00	+0.01	-0.04	—	14:49
95 Matt Duchene C	-0.40	+0.70	+0.11	-1.18	0.00	0.00	-0.03	—	18:12
20 Kyle Capobianco D	-0.44	0.00	0.00	-0.50	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	12:56
5 Nils Lundkvist D	-0.62	0.00	+0.02	-0.54	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	17:54
55 Thomas Harley D	-0.63	0.00	+0.06	-0.86	0.00	0.00	+0.17	—	28:58
49 Justin Hryckowian C	-0.63	0.00	+0.07	-0.69	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:10
96 Mikko Rantanen R	-0.65	0.00	+0.03	-0.74	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	23:24
28 Alexander Petrovic D	-0.71	0.00	0.00	-0.79	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	17:36

Anaheim Ducks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
45 Beckett Sennecke R	+2.38	+0.75	+0.37	+1.08	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	17:29
64 Mikael Granlund C	+1.98	+0.70	+0.18	+1.15	-0.15	+0.03	+0.07	—	19:49
51 Olen Zellweger D	+1.74	0.00	+0.24	+1.45	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	17:04
1 Lukas Dostal G	+1.74	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.74	59:54
7 Radko Gudas D	+1.47	+0.55	0.00	+1.07	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	15:55
65 Jacob Trouba D	+1.42	+0.75	+0.37	+0.19	0.00	0.00	+0.11	—	25:59
20 Chris Kreider L	+1.35	+0.75	+0.20	+0.38	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	16:24
17 Alex Killorn L	+1.30	0.00	+0.20	+1.08	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	17:30
2 Jackson LaCombe D	+1.14	+0.70	0.00	+0.28	0.00	0.00	+0.16	—	22:04
13 Nikita Nesterenko C	+1.00	0.00	0.00	+0.89	0.00	+0.01	+0.10	—	11:27
74 Ian Moore D	+0.77	0.00	+0.32	+0.43	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	8:14
23 Mason McTavish C	+0.69	0.00	+0.16	+0.53	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:44
14 Drew Helleson D	+0.60	0.00	+0.01	+0.56	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	16:29
16 Ryan Strome C	+0.54	0.00	+0.11	+0.35	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	15:01
42 Tim Washe C	+0.21	0.00	0.00	+0.17	0.00	+0.02	+0.02	—	11:57
24 Jansen Harkins C	+0.14	0.00	+0.23	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	—	14:34
98 Pavel Mintyukov D	+0.13	0.00	+0.01	+0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	21:47
25 Ryan Poehling C	+0.09	0.00	+0.10	-0.13	+0.15	-0.05	+0.02	—	13:14
44 Ross Johnston L	-0.40	0.00	+0.06	-0.42	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	13:25

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.