Wednesday, January 14, 2026
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
SEA 47%Deserve to win 53% NJD
SEA NJD
2.72 Expected goals 2.88
2 Goals (no shootout) 3
1.53 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.19
47 Shot attempts 60
34 Unblocked attempts 38
17 Shots on goal 26
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
1st Period
11:37
SEA
Deserve to win
Deserve to win · SEA takes the lead, 65–35%
NJD had led since 0:54 of the 1st, by as much as 69%
Shot map
SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → NJD shoots
Dougie Hamilton: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:52)
Jack Hughes: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 2:15)
Arseny Gritsyuk: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 4:17)
Berkly Catton: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 4:48)
Jaden Schwartz: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:38)
Jordan Eberle: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:18)
Jared McCann: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 10:02)
Jared McCann: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 10:42)
Matty Beniers: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:11)
Matty Beniers: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 11:37)
Jack Hughes: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:22)
Timo Meier: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 16:55)
Cody Glass: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:28)
Cody Glass: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 1:30)
Paul Cotter: between-legs, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:52)
Evgenii Dadonov: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 2:54)
Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:46)
Berkly Catton: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:26)
Shane Wright: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:34)
Adam Larsson: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:40)
Vince Dunn: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:04)
Timo Meier: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:30)
Evgenii Dadonov: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:51)
Brenden Dillon: backhand, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:27)
Evgenii Dadonov: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:29)
Cale Fleury: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:43)
Berkly Catton: backhand, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:35)
Ben Meyers: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:58)
Timo Meier: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 15:08)
Timo Meier: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:09)
Simon Nemec: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:48)
Berkly Catton: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:13)
Brett Pesce: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:37)
Luke Hughes: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:44)
Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:01)
Dougie Hamilton: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:33)
Jack Hughes: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:43)
Chandler Stephenson: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:35)
Jared McCann: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.29 (P3 0:39)
Berkly Catton: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 1:03)
Simon Nemec: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:08)
Cale Fleury: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:43)
Ryan Lindgren: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 2:58)
Jaden Schwartz: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:08)
Adam Larsson: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:28)
Simon Nemec: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:27)
Brenden Dillon: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:17)
Jared McCann: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:33)
Shane Wright: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 7:41)
Arseny Gritsyuk: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 8:03)
Cale Fleury: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:33)
Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 9:52)
Brett Pesce: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:01)
Dawson Mercer: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 11:48)
Nico Hischier: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:59)
Brenden Dillon: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:09)
Dawson Mercer: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 15:03)
Simon Nemec: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:35)
Dougie Hamilton: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:46)
Jordan Eberle: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 18:12)
Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:11)
Dougie Hamilton: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:24)
Jack Hughes: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 0:59)
Jordan Eberle: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.18 (OT 2:45)
Jordan Eberle: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 2:47)
Arseny Gritsyuk: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 3:08)
Vince Dunn: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 3:31)
Cody Glass: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 0:54)
Adam Larsson: GOAL, wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 8:55)
Nico Hischier: GOAL, slap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 3:33)
Jared McCann: GOAL, snap, 19 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 5:06)
Nico Hischier: GOAL, backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.44 (OT 3:42)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Seattle Kraken
New Jersey Devils
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Seattle Kraken
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
19 Jared McCann L
+2.76
+1.45
+0.54
+0.76
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
16:06
29 Vince Dunn D
+1.54
+1.25
+0.10
+0.16
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
24:17
6 Adam Larsson D
+1.33
+0.75
+0.12
+0.47
-0.15
0.00
+0.15
—
22:47
27 Berkly Catton C
+0.83
0.00
+0.22
+0.40
+0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
12:13
7 Jordan Eberle R
+0.76
+0.55
+0.29
-0.06
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
20:30
51 Shane Wright C
+0.29
0.00
+0.06
+0.25
0.00
-0.02
0.00
—
12:19
10 Matty Beniers C
+0.21
0.00
+0.17
-0.10
0.00
-0.01
+0.15
—
21:26
55 Ryan Lindgren D
+0.14
0.00
+0.06
0.00
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
21:47
8 Cale Fleury D
+0.05
0.00
+0.04
-0.05
0.00
0.00
+0.06
—
21:23
84 Kaapo Kakko R
-0.09
0.00
+0.09
-0.21
0.00
-0.01
+0.03
—
16:03
31 Philipp Grubauer G
-0.12
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.12
63:42
9 Chandler Stephenson C
-0.30
0.00
+0.02
-0.44
+0.15
-0.01
-0.02
—
19:22
17 Jaden Schwartz L
-0.38
0.00
+0.02
-0.42
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
14:52
89 Frederick Gaudreau C
-0.50
0.00
0.00
-0.59
0.00
-0.01
+0.10
—
16:27
59 Ben Meyers C
-0.53
0.00
+0.02
-0.43
-0.15
+0.03
0.00
—
12:10
26 Ryan Winterton C
-0.56
0.00
0.00
-0.56
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
9:38
20 Eeli Tolvanen R
-0.82
0.00
0.00
-0.79
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
15:42
41 Ryker Evans D
-0.99
0.00
0.00
-1.02
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
16:47
24 Jamie Oleksiak D
-1.06
0.00
0.00
-1.02
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
14:54
New Jersey Devils
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
86 Jack Hughes C
+2.21
+1.40
+0.13
+0.58
0.00
0.00
+0.09
—
26:45
12 Cody Glass C
+1.87
+0.75
+0.33
+0.95
-0.15
+0.01
-0.02
—
14:19
7 Dougie Hamilton D
+1.72
+0.70
+0.07
+1.09
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
22:05
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R
+1.33
0.00
+0.26
+1.05
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
15:18
13 Nico Hischier C
+1.28
+1.50
+0.39
-0.69
0.00
+0.08
0.00
—
19:01
43 Luke Hughes D
+1.13
+1.10
+0.03
+0.02
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
23:28
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D
+0.76
0.00
0.00
+0.71
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
19:29
16 Connor Brown R
+0.75
0.00
0.00
+0.75
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:16
25 Jacob Markstrom G
+0.72
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.72
63:31
33 Evgenii Dadonov L
+0.40
0.00
+0.19
+0.23
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
8:49
47 Paul Cotter L
+0.32
0.00
+0.03
+0.14
+0.15
0.00
0.00
—
9:12
28 Timo Meier R
+0.31
0.00
+0.15
+0.10
0.00
-0.03
+0.10
—
19:07
63 Jesper Bratt L
+0.31
0.00
0.00
+0.31
0.00
-0.01
+0.01
—
18:20
14 Luke Glendening C
+0.25
0.00
0.00
-0.03
+0.15
-0.02
+0.15
—
7:56
17 Simon Nemec D
+0.14
0.00
+0.05
+0.04
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
19:33
22 Brett Pesce D
+0.07
0.00
+0.02
-0.04
0.00
0.00
+0.09
—
19:44
5 Brenden Dillon D
-0.27
0.00
+0.03
-0.37
0.00
0.00
+0.06
—
18:08
91 Dawson Mercer C
-0.44
0.00
+0.19
-0.57
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
18:48
18 Ondrej Palat L
-0.65
0.00
0.00
-0.65
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
12:54
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.