Ottawa SenatorsOTT 8–4 Final New York RangersNYR

Wednesday, January 14, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Ottawa SenatorsOTT	4	2	2	8	30
New York RangersNYR	0	1	3	4	22

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:18	OTT	Drake Batherson (18)PP Dylan Cozens (20), Brady Tkachuk (14) · wrist xG 0.65	1–0 ▶
4:53	OTT	Nick Jensen (3) Ridly Greig (11), Dylan Cozens (21) · slap xG 0.02	2–0 ▶
15:01	OTT	Brady Tkachuk (9) Ridly Greig (12), Nick Jensen (9) · snap xG 0.14	3–0 ▶
19:54	OTT	Dylan Cozens (13) Ridly Greig (13), Brady Tkachuk (15) · wrist xG 0.13	4–0 ▶
2nd Period
5:57	OTT	Jake Sanderson (9) Artem Zub (11), Nick Cousins (5) · snap xG 0.07	5–0 ▶
12:23	OTT	Thomas Chabot (5) Nick Cousins (6), David Perron (14) · slap xG 0.03	6–0 ▶
18:55	NYR	Gabe Perreault (2) J.T. Miller (14), Mika Zibanejad (24) · backhand xG 0.11	6–1 ▶
3rd Period
5:26	NYR	Gabe Perreault (3) Mika Zibanejad (25), J.T. Miller (15) · backhand xG 0.41	6–2 ▶
8:20	OTT	David Perron (9) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.07	7–2 ▶
10:44	NYR	Noah Laba (6)PP Alexis Lafrenière (16), Scott Morrow (4) · tip-in xG 0.13	7–3 ▶
15:58	NYR	Alexis Lafrenière (10) Artemi Panarin (35), Carson Soucy (5) · wrist xG 0.06	7–4 ▶
19:11	OTT	Tim Stützle (20)EN Brady Tkachuk (16), Jake Sanderson (26) · wrist xG 0.93	8–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

OTT 80%Deserve to win20% NYR

OTT		NYR
4.17	Expected goals	1.59
8	Goals (no shootout)	4
1.66	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.36
63	Shot attempts	47
42	Unblocked attempts	31
30	Shots on goal	22

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:00	OTT	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced NYR 1.50–0.06 In xG over 10 minutes, the start of the 1st to 10:00 of the 1st; goals 2–0
19:54	NYR	Goalie	Goalie · Quick −2.2 goals saved 4 goals on 1.84 xG, 14 shots on goal
2nd Period
12:23	NYR	Goalie change	Goalie change · Martin in for Quick 12:23 of the 2nd; Quick had allowed 6 goals on 17 shots (2.21 xG)
3rd Period
15:58	OTT	Goalie	Goalie · Meriläinen −2.4 goals saved 4 goals on 1.59 xG, 22 shots on goal
18:26	NYR	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Martin, down 7–4 With 1:34 left; OTT scored at 19:11 of the 3rd (8–4)

Shot map

OTT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYR shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Ottawa Senators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
18	Tim Stützle	1	0	1	0	5	1.28	1	0	17:43
12	Shane Pinto	0	0	0	-1	3	0.26	0	0	17:32
19	Drake Batherson	1	0	1	-1	4	0.71	1	1	17:31
71	Ridly Greig	0	3	3	+2	3	0.00	1	1	16:35
28	Claude Giroux	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	0	16:21
22	Michael Amadio	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	16:01
20	Lars Eller	0	0	0	+3	2	0.01	0	1	13:37
24	Dylan Cozens	1	2	3	+2	6	0.71	1	0	13:29
16	David Perron	1	1	2	+3	5	0.12	0	0	13:28
8	Brady Tkachuk	1	3	4	+3	6	0.49	2	0	13:18
20	Fabian Zetterlund	0	0	0	-1	3	0.09	5	1	12:29
21	Nick Cousins	0	2	2	+3	3	0.04	0	1	12:13
Defense
72	Thomas Chabot	1	0	1	+2	4	0.05	1	0	23:12
85	Jake Sanderson	1	1	2	0	4	0.22	0	5	21:09
4	Nick Jensen	1	1	2	+2	4	0.06	0	2	20:37
10	Jordan Spence	0	0	0	+1	3	0.03	0	2	19:44
2	Artem Zub	0	1	1	+1	4	0.08	0	1	17:10
43	Tyler Kleven	0	0	0	+2	2	0.01	0	1	16:02

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Leevi Meriläinen	22	4	18	.818	1.59	-2.41

New York Rangers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
93	Mika Zibanejad	0	2	2	+1	7	0.16	1	1	20:14
10	Artemi Panarin	0	1	1	-2	5	0.12	0	1	19:55
10	J.T. Miller	0	2	2	0	1	0.18	2	0	18:58
16	Vincent Trocheck	0	0	0	-3	1	0.00	3	0	17:53
94	Gabe Perreault	2	0	2	+2	3	0.52	1	0	16:32
13	Alexis Lafrenière	1	1	2	0	3	0.11	1	2	15:11
42	Noah Laba	1	0	1	-2	1	0.13	2	1	13:23
50	Will Cuylle	0	0	0	-3	1	0.04	7	0	13:07
78	Brennan Othmann	0	0	0	-2	1	0.06	5	1	11:59
22	Jonny Brodzinski	0	0	0	-2	2	0.03	2	1	10:54
10	Sam Carrick	0	0	0	-2	3	0.05	2	0	10:31
14	Taylor Raddysh	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	10:12
Defense
44	Vladislav Gavrikov	0	0	0	-3	5	0.11	0	0	23:52
4	Braden Schneider	0	0	0	-1	6	0.03	2	1	22:18
29	Matthew Robertson	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	1	19:01
17	Will Borgen	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	5	18:25
7	Carson Soucy	0	1	1	0	2	0.01	3	6	16:56
60	Scott Morrow	0	1	1	-2	4	0.01	0	0	16:39

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jonathan Quick	17	6	11	.647	2.21	-3.79
Spencer Martin	12	1	11	.917	1.04	+0.04

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Ottawa Senators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
7 Brady Tkachuk L	+3.85	+2.55	+0.32	+0.79	+0.15	+0.01	+0.02	—	13:17
24 Dylan Cozens C	+3.25	+2.00	+0.46	+0.81	0.00	-0.04	+0.02	—	13:30
71 Ridly Greig C	+2.82	+2.10	0.00	+0.61	+0.15	-0.05	+0.01	—	16:35
21 Nick Cousins C	+2.01	+1.25	+0.03	+0.75	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	12:13
57 David Perron L	+1.94	+1.30	+0.08	+0.71	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	13:28
3 Nick Jensen D	+1.76	+1.30	+0.04	+0.34	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	20:37
72 Thomas Chabot D	+1.53	+0.75	+0.03	+0.60	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	23:12
18 Tim Stützle C	+1.49	+0.75	+0.83	-0.07	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	17:43
85 Jake Sanderson D	+1.28	+1.30	+0.14	-0.39	0.00	0.00	+0.23	—	21:09
19 Drake Batherson R	+1.20	+0.75	+0.46	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	17:31
10 Jordan Spence D	+0.86	0.00	+0.02	+0.76	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	19:44
89 Lars Eller C	+0.62	0.00	+0.01	+0.60	0.00	-0.04	+0.05	—	13:37
43 Tyler Kleven D	+0.58	0.00	0.00	+0.57	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	16:02
2 Artem Zub D	+0.48	+0.70	+0.05	-0.32	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	17:10
20 Fabian Zetterlund L	-0.15	0.00	+0.06	-0.27	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	12:29
28 Claude Giroux R	-0.36	0.00	+0.01	-0.36	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	16:21
12 Shane Pinto C	-0.44	0.00	+0.17	-0.58	0.00	-0.03	0.00	—	17:32
22 Michael Amadio R	-0.59	0.00	0.00	-0.61	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	16:01
1 Leevi Meriläinen G	-2.41	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-2.41	60:00

New York Rangers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
94 Gabe Perreault R	+3.01	+1.50	+0.34	+1.18	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:32
93 Mika Zibanejad C	+2.26	+1.25	+0.11	+0.85	0.00	+0.03	+0.03	—	20:14
8 J.T. Miller C	+1.97	+1.25	+0.12	+0.61	0.00	+0.03	-0.04	—	18:58
24 Carson Soucy D	+1.35	+0.55	+0.01	+0.51	0.00	0.00	+0.28	—	16:56
13 Alexis Lafrenière L	+1.02	+1.45	+0.07	-0.61	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	15:11
17 Will Borgen D	+0.81	0.00	0.00	+0.58	0.00	0.00	+0.23	—	18:25
42 Noah Laba C	+0.43	+0.75	+0.08	-0.30	-0.15	-0.01	+0.05	—	13:23
60 Scott Morrow D	+0.19	+0.55	+0.01	-0.36	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:39
41 Spencer Martin G	+0.04	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.04	26:52
10 Artemi Panarin L	-0.01	+0.70	+0.08	-0.80	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	19:55
29 Matthew Robertson D	-0.09	0.00	+0.01	-0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.03	—	19:01
14 Taylor Raddysh R	-0.16	0.00	+0.01	-0.17	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:12
78 Brennan Othmann L	-0.19	0.00	+0.04	-0.41	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	11:59
39 Sam Carrick C	-0.33	0.00	+0.03	-0.42	0.00	+0.06	0.00	—	10:31
22 Jonny Brodzinski C	-0.34	0.00	+0.02	-0.41	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	10:54
50 Will Cuylle L	-0.58	0.00	+0.03	-0.62	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	13:07
4 Braden Schneider D	-0.98	0.00	+0.02	-1.01	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	22:18
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D	-1.16	0.00	+0.07	-1.21	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	23:52
16 Vincent Trocheck C	-1.53	0.00	0.00	-1.22	-0.30	+0.05	-0.06	—	17:53
32 Jonathan Quick G	-3.79	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-3.79	32:23

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.