Wednesday, January 14, 2026
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
VGK 43%Deserve to win 57% LAK
VGK LAK
2.10 Expected goals 2.46
3 Goals (no shootout) 2
1.69 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.90
43 Shot attempts 61
30 Unblocked attempts 40
27 Shots on goal 24
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
18:20
LAK
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Kuemper, down 2–1
With 1:40 left; LAK scored at 18:33 of the 3rd (2–2)
Shot map
VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → LAK shoots
Alex Turcotte: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:53)
Taylor Ward: poke, 12 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 2:32)
Colton Sissons: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:45)
Tomas Hertl: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 3:29)
Alex Laferriere: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:00)
Taylor Ward: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 4:47)
Drew Doughty: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:32)
Andrei Kuzmenko: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:04)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:50)
Mikey Anderson: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:52)
Adrian Kempe: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:55)
Brian Dumoulin: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:32)
Alex Laferriere: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:36)
Jeff Malott: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:37)
Jeff Malott: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 9:50)
Colton Sissons: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 10:29)
Braeden Bowman: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 11:12)
Drew Doughty: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:31)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:32)
Andrei Kuzmenko: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:52)
Shea Theodore: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:16)
Tomas Hertl: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 0:32)
Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:36)
Mark Stone: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:37)
Pavel Dorofeyev: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:32)
Kaedan Korczak: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 1:48)
Alexander Holtz: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:29)
Ben Hutton: wrist, 133 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:46)
Adrian Kempe: wrist, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:48)
Quinton Byfield: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:07)
Brian Dumoulin: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:17)
Adrian Kempe: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:01)
Taylor Ward: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:04)
Adrian Kempe: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 9:30)
Brandt Clarke: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:35)
Jack Eichel: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:49)
Mitch Marner: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:52)
Andre Lee: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:22)
Jack Eichel: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:55)
Mark Stone: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 11:57)
Kevin Fiala: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:48)
Adrian Kempe: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:49)
Adrian Kempe: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 13:18)
Quinton Byfield: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 13:30)
Jack Eichel: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:40)
Colton Sissons: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 16:00)
Colton Sissons: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 16:34)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:21)
Ben Hutton: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:23)
Jack Eichel: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:04)
Alex Turcotte: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:19)
Warren Foegele: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:59)
Alex Turcotte: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 6:17)
Kevin Fiala: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 6:20)
Alex Turcotte: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:21)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:13)
Mitch Marner: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:12)
Cole Reinhardt: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:12)
Mitch Marner: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 13:52)
Kaedan Korczak: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 14:10)
Andrei Kuzmenko: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:17)
Jack Eichel: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:17)
Shea Theodore: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:24)
Warren Foegele: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:07)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 18:32)
Braeden Bowman: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 3:56)
Kevin Fiala: GOAL, snap, 13 ft, xG 0.41 (P3 6:24)
Mitch Marner: GOAL, wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 12:07)
Brandt Clarke: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 18:33)
Mark Stone: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.22 (OT 0:25)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Vegas Golden Knights
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Akira Schmid
24 2 22
.917
2.46
+0.46
Los Angeles Kings
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Vegas Golden Knights
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
9 Jack Eichel C
+2.16
+1.95
+0.17
+0.22
-0.15
-0.09
+0.06
—
19:01
61 Mark Stone R
+1.87
+1.45
+0.26
+0.14
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
19:58
42 Braeden Bowman R
+1.83
+0.75
+0.17
+0.93
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
13:46
27 Shea Theodore D
+1.65
+0.55
+0.01
+0.89
+0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
23:37
5 Jeremy Lauzon D
+1.10
0.00
0.00
+1.05
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
21:59
6 Kaedan Korczak D
+0.55
0.00
+0.15
+0.24
0.00
0.00
+0.17
—
15:56
55 Keegan Kolesar R
+0.53
0.00
0.00
+0.42
+0.15
0.00
-0.04
—
13:41
48 Tomas Hertl C
+0.47
0.00
+0.13
+0.33
0.00
+0.03
-0.02
—
15:34
40 Akira Schmid G
+0.46
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.46
60:19
10 Colton Sissons C
+0.44
0.00
+0.22
+0.11
0.00
+0.03
+0.08
—
12:59
49 Ivan Barbashev L
+0.24
0.00
+0.01
+0.15
0.00
-0.01
+0.10
—
18:21
17 Ben Hutton D
+0.16
0.00
+0.04
+0.03
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
13:05
93 Mitch Marner R
+0.05
+0.75
+0.16
-0.89
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
16:35
23 Cole Reinhardt L
-0.04
0.00
0.00
-0.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
12:04
26 Alexander Holtz R
-0.07
0.00
+0.02
-0.13
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
10:54
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R
-0.96
0.00
+0.02
-0.99
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:02
15 Noah Hanifin D
-0.98
0.00
0.00
-1.17
0.00
0.00
+0.19
—
21:03
19 Reilly Smith R
-1.05
0.00
0.00
-1.02
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
14:02
2 Zach Whitecloud D
-1.43
0.00
0.00
-1.41
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
20:44
Los Angeles Kings
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
22 Kevin Fiala L
+2.14
+1.30
+0.35
+0.58
-0.15
0.00
+0.06
—
22:25
92 Brandt Clarke D
+2.10
+0.75
+0.17
+1.03
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
19:34
15 Alex Turcotte C
+1.39
+0.70
+0.11
+0.50
0.00
+0.03
+0.05
—
14:47
6 Joel Edmundson D
+1.11
0.00
0.00
+1.13
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
18:51
96 Andrei Kuzmenko L
+1.09
+0.55
+0.12
+0.46
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
17:44
9 Adrian Kempe R
+0.85
+0.70
+0.19
+0.05
-0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
19:33
39 Jeff Malott L
+0.33
0.00
+0.12
+0.19
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
13:18
14 Alex Laferriere R
+0.32
0.00
+0.15
+0.13
0.00
+0.01
+0.03
—
20:28
37 Warren Foegele L
+0.13
0.00
+0.05
+0.10
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
15:53
43 Jacob Moverare D
+0.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
0:22
52 Taylor Ward R
-0.01
0.00
+0.11
-0.07
0.00
-0.01
-0.04
—
14:31
55 Quinton Byfield R
-0.14
0.00
+0.11
-0.24
0.00
+0.03
-0.04
—
20:32
8 Drew Doughty D
-0.15
0.00
+0.05
-0.33
+0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
23:29
47 Andre Lee L
-0.36
0.00
+0.05
-0.45
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
12:08
44 Mikey Anderson D
-0.40
0.00
0.00
-0.40
0.00
0.00
-0.01
—
22:11
5 Cody Ceci D
-0.43
0.00
0.00
-0.43
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:15
79 Samuel Helenius C
-0.43
0.00
0.00
-0.49
0.00
-0.01
+0.07
—
9:22
2 Brian Dumoulin D
-0.60
0.00
+0.02
-0.62
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
17:21
35 Darcy Kuemper G
-0.90
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.90
60:12
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.