Thursday, January 15, 2026
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
VAN 38%Deserve to win 62% CBJ
VAN CBJ
2.96 Expected goals 3.70
1 Goals (no shootout) 4
2.32 Expected goals, 5 on 5 3.11
59 Shot attempts 79
42 Unblocked attempts 59
31 Shots on goal 36
Shot map
VAN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → CBJ shoots
Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:48)
Erik Gudbranson: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:24)
Jake Christiansen: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:39)
Boone Jenner: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 3:15)
Charlie Coyle: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 4:06)
Brock Boeser: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:58)
Drew O'Connor: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.30 (P1 5:01)
Evander Kane: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:26)
Dante Fabbro: wrist, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:46)
Dante Fabbro: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:03)
Dante Fabbro: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:10)
Drew O'Connor: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:26)
Brock Boeser: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:51)
Linus Karlsson: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:59)
Tom Willander: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:04)
Aatu Räty: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:55)
Liam Ohgren: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 8:45)
Erik Gudbranson: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:13)
Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 9:15)
Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:16)
Charlie Coyle: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 9:21)
Charlie Coyle: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 9:22)
Charlie Coyle: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:22)
Zach Werenski: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 9:47)
Dante Fabbro: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:11)
Adam Fantilli: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 10:13)
Dante Fabbro: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:35)
Arshdeep Bains: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 12:23)
Arshdeep Bains: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:24)
Tom Willander: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:34)
Jake DeBrusk: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 14:26)
Evander Kane: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 15:09)
Ivan Provorov: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 15:45)
Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:43)
Adam Fantilli: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 17:13)
Ivan Provorov: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:52)
Cole Sillinger: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 18:27)
Zeev Buium: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:39)
Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.35 (P1 19:51)
Zach Werenski: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:52)
Charlie Coyle: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:57)
Marcus Pettersson: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:05)
Evander Kane: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:15)
Mikael Pyyhtia: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 2:43)
Tom Willander: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:15)
Boone Jenner: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:41)
Erik Gudbranson: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:57)
David Kampf: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:25)
David Kampf: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:26)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:36)
Conor Garland: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:40)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:00)
Charlie Coyle: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:43)
Charlie Coyle: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:44)
Kent Johnson: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:29)
Mikael Pyyhtia: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:34)
Erik Gudbranson: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:17)
Zach Werenski: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 11:37)
Linus Karlsson: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 13:16)
Linus Karlsson: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 13:37)
Brock Boeser: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 13:58)
Adam Fantilli: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:02)
Mathieu Olivier: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:50)
Dmitri Voronkov: bat, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:51)
Charlie Coyle: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:52)
Linus Karlsson: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:49)
Tyler Myers: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:02)
Tyler Myers: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:45)
Brock Boeser: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:50)
Elias Pettersson: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 17:52)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:48)
Liam Ohgren: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:12)
Tyler Myers: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:16)
Mathieu Olivier: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 1:14)
Jake Christiansen: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:24)
Adam Fantilli: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:34)
Brock Boeser: deflected, 19 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 4:35)
Jake DeBrusk: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:02)
Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 5:19)
Charlie Coyle: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:20)
Filip Hronek: slap, 17 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 5:35)
Linus Karlsson: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.35 (P3 5:38)
Erik Gudbranson: wrist, 165 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 6:26)
Liam Ohgren: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 6:59)
Tom Willander: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:07)
Victor Mancini: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:44)
Adam Fantilli: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:23)
Cole Sillinger: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:24)
Tom Willander: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:53)
Evander Kane: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:57)
Dante Fabbro: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:06)
Evander Kane: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:26)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:13)
Dmitri Voronkov: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:35)
Mikael Pyyhtia: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:41)
Cole Sillinger: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:21)
Charlie Coyle: GOAL, backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 17:25)
Kirill Marchenko: GOAL, wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 5:49)
Zach Werenski: GOAL, wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 10:14)
Brock Boeser: GOAL, snap, 26 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 14:09)
Kent Johnson: GOAL, wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 10:13)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Vancouver Canucks
Columbus Blue Jackets
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Vancouver Canucks
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
6 Brock Boeser R
+0.68
+0.75
+0.31
-0.36
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
19:45
40 Elias Pettersson C
+0.68
+0.70
+0.06
-0.19
0.00
-0.03
+0.13
—
16:53
18 Drew O'Connor L
+0.43
0.00
+0.20
+0.26
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
14:27
24 Zeev Buium D
+0.37
+0.55
+0.03
-0.30
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
22:46
94 Linus Karlsson C
+0.29
0.00
+0.41
-0.11
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
14:37
74 Jake DeBrusk L
-0.04
0.00
+0.11
-0.12
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
15:02
63 Max Sasson C
-0.06
0.00
0.00
+0.04
-0.15
+0.02
+0.03
—
15:32
90 Victor Mancini D
-0.07
0.00
+0.02
-0.29
0.00
0.00
+0.20
—
16:46
5 Tom Willander D
-0.10
0.00
+0.06
-0.17
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
15:36
64 David Kampf C
-0.10
0.00
+0.08
-0.25
0.00
+0.04
+0.03
—
15:28
17 Filip Hronek D
-0.17
0.00
+0.10
-0.40
+0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
20:48
13 Arshdeep Bains L
-0.20
0.00
+0.17
-0.37
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
9:56
91 Evander Kane L
-0.22
0.00
+0.11
-0.34
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
12:31
32 Kevin Lankinen G
-0.30
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.30
60:00
92 Liam Ohgren L
-0.34
0.00
+0.15
-0.54
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
17:17
54 Aatu Räty C
-0.38
0.00
+0.01
-0.39
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
10:04
8 Conor Garland R
-0.56
0.00
+0.03
-0.77
+0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
17:19
57 Tyler Myers D
-0.73
0.00
+0.07
-0.87
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
21:06
29 Marcus Pettersson D
-0.73
0.00
0.00
-0.71
-0.15
0.00
+0.13
—
20:59
Columbus Blue Jackets
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.