| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 29 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 34 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:08 | Jonathan Toews (7)PP Gabriel Vilardi (24), Mark Scheifele (33) · slap xG 0.58 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 19:49 | Tanner Pearson (7) Morgan Barron (8), Dylan DeMelo (14) · snap xG 0.05 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 19:57 | Josh Morrissey (9) Mark Scheifele (34), Jonathan Toews (11) · slap xG 0.03 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 4:53 | Danila Yurov (7) Jake Middleton (9), Vladimir Tarasenko (13) · wrist xG 0.15 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 9:33 | Logan Stanley (8) Unassisted · slap xG 0.05 | 4–1 ▶ | |
| 12:51 | Gabriel Vilardi (19)PP Josh Morrissey (30), Mark Scheifele (35) · wrist xG 0.30 | 5–1 ▶ | |
| 17:12 | Mark Scheifele (23) Alex Iafallo (10), Kyle Connor (33) · wrist xG 0.03 | 6–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:18 | Marcus Johansson (13) Matt Boldy (24), Ryan Hartman (8) · snap xG 0.18 | 6–2 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| WPG | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.83 | Expected goals | 2.47 |
| 6 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 1.54 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.43 |
| 49 | Shot attempts | 59 |
| 41 | Unblocked attempts | 47 |
| 29 | Shots on goal | 34 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:08 | WPG | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · WPG takes the lead, 73–27%
MIN had led since 6:53 of the 1st, by as much as 61% |
| 17:10 | WPG | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MIN 1.50–0.13
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:00 of the 1st to the end of the 1st; goals 3–0 |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 9:33 | MIN | Goalie | Goalie · Wallstedt −2.4 goals saved
4 goals on 1.61 xG, 12 shots on goal |
| 20:00 | MIN | Goalie change | Goalie change · Gustavsson in for Wallstedt
The start of the 3rd; Wallstedt had allowed 6 goals on 20 shots (2.18 xG) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 55 | Mark Scheifele | 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 4 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 18:55 |
| 81 | Kyle Connor | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 18:38 |
| 9 | Alex Iafallo | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 1 | 16:47 |
| 13 | Gabriel Vilardi | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 16:06 |
| 19 | Jonathan Toews | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.58 | 0 | 0 | 15:45 |
| 36 | Morgan Barron | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 14:54 |
| 70 | Tanner Pearson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 13:51 |
| 17 | Adam Lowry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:50 |
| 62 | Nino Niederreiter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:16 |
| 91 | Cole Perfetti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 12:46 |
| 7 | Vladislav Namestnikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:40 |
| 45 | Cole Koepke | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.22 | 5 | 0 | 12:39 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Josh Morrissey | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 22:13 |
| 2 | Dylan DeMelo | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 2 | 2 | 19:49 |
| 57 | Elias Salomonsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 18:45 |
| 54 | Dylan Samberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 1 | 2 | 18:36 |
| 8 | Logan Stanley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 18:04 |
| 2 | Luke Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.05 | 6 | 4 | 16:44 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | 34 | 2 | 32 | .941 | 2.47 | +0.47 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Kirill Kaprizov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 20:04 |
| 12 | Matt Boldy | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 | 19:16 |
| 38 | Ryan Hartman | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.42 | 0 | 2 | 18:25 |
| 36 | Mats Zuccarello | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 16:23 |
| 22 | Danila Yurov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 15:46 |
| 17 | Marcus Foligno | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 1 | 15:37 |
| 90 | Marcus Johansson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 15:35 |
| 91 | Vladimir Tarasenko | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 13:52 |
| 78 | Nico Sturm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 13:17 |
| 13 | Yakov Trenin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.01 | 5 | 0 | 10:52 |
| 18 | Ben Jones | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 09:05 |
| 19 | Tyler Pitlick | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 08:19 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Quinn Hughes | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 28:28 |
| 7 | Brock Faber | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 25:38 |
| 55 | Jake Middleton | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 19:40 |
| 46 | Jared Spurgeon | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 8 | 0.29 | 1 | 1 | 18:57 |
| 82 | David Spacek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:59 |
| 48 | Daemon Hunt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 11:36 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt | 20 | 6 | 14 | .700 | 2.18 | -3.82 |
| Filip Gustavsson | 9 | 0 | 9 | 1.000 | 0.65 | +0.65 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 Mark Scheifele C | +3.30 | +2.55 | +0.20 | +0.57 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:55 |
| 44 Josh Morrissey D | +2.54 | +1.45 | +0.10 | +0.79 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:13 |
| 13 Gabriel Vilardi C | +1.56 | +1.45 | +0.27 | -0.32 | +0.15 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 16:06 |
| 9 Alex Iafallo L | +1.35 | +0.70 | +0.10 | +0.64 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:47 |
| 81 Kyle Connor L | +1.33 | +0.55 | +0.19 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:38 |
| 19 Jonathan Toews C | +1.27 | +1.30 | +0.38 | -0.40 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.02 | — | 15:45 |
| 36 Morgan Barron C | +1.23 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:54 |
| 70 Tanner Pearson L | +1.21 | +0.75 | +0.08 | +0.39 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:51 |
| 2 Dylan DeMelo D | +0.91 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:49 |
| 45 Cole Koepke L | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:39 |
| 37 Connor Hellebuyck G | +0.47 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.47 | 59:42 |
| 54 Dylan Samberg D | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.15 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:36 |
| 57 Elias Salomonsson D | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:45 |
| 64 Logan Stanley D | +0.17 | +0.75 | +0.07 | -0.49 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:04 |
| 7 Vladislav Namestnikov C | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:40 |
| 62 Nino Niederreiter R | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 13:16 |
| 91 Cole Perfetti C | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:46 |
| 17 Adam Lowry C | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:50 |
| 5 Luke Schenn D | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.36 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 16:44 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Marcus Johansson L | +1.25 | +0.75 | +0.23 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:35 |
| 5 Jake Middleton D | +1.16 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:40 |
| 22 Danila Yurov R | +1.00 | +0.75 | +0.13 | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 15:46 |
| 91 Vladimir Tarasenko R | +0.85 | +0.55 | +0.13 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:52 |
| 38 Ryan Hartman R | +0.71 | +0.55 | +0.27 | -0.18 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.12 | — | 18:25 |
| 12 Matt Boldy L | +0.69 | +0.70 | +0.18 | +0.03 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.06 | — | 19:16 |
| 32 Filip Gustavsson G | +0.65 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.65 | 20:00 |
| 78 Nico Sturm C | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.15 | -0.15 | +0.08 | 0.00 | — | 13:17 |
| 46 Jared Spurgeon D | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 18:57 |
| 13 Yakov Trenin C | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.26 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 10:52 |
| 19 Tyler Pitlick C | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 8:19 |
| 48 Daemon Hunt D | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:36 |
| 7 Brock Faber D | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 25:38 |
| 17 Marcus Foligno L | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:37 |
| 36 Mats Zuccarello R | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:23 |
| 97 Kirill Kaprizov L | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:04 |
| 39 Ben Jones C | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.29 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 9:05 |
| 82 David Spacek D | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:59 |
| 43 Quinn Hughes D | -0.45 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 28:28 |
| 30 Jesper Wallstedt G | -3.82 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -3.82 | 40:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.