New York IslandersNYI 1–0 Final Edmonton OilersEDM

Thursday, January 15, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
New York IslandersNYI	0	0	1	1	18
Edmonton OilersEDM	0	0	0	0	35

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
13:42	NYI	Anthony Duclair (9)PP Calum Ritchie (5), Mathew Barzal (27) · snap xG 0.18	1–0 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYI 13%Deserve to win87% EDM

NYI		EDM
3.56	Expected goals	4.92
1	Goals (no shootout)	0
1.75	Expected goals, 5 on 5	4.01
43	Shot attempts	75
31	Unblocked attempts	59
18	Shots on goal	35

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:46	EDM	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · EDM takes the lead, 61–39% NYI had led since 2:46 of the 1st, by as much as 62%
2nd Period
1:24	NYI	Goalie	Goalie · Sorokin +2.1 goals saved 0 goals on 2.07 xG, 15 shots on goal
6:30	EDM	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.10–0.03 In xG over 10 minutes, 16:30 of the 1st to 6:30 of the 2nd; neither team scored
3rd Period
3:50	EDM	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.18–0.08 In xG over 10 minutes, 13:50 of the 2nd to 3:50 of the 3rd; neither team scored
6:47	NYI	Goalie	Goalie · Sorokin +4.0 goals saved 0 goals on 4.04 xG, 30 shots on goal
18:20	EDM	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Ingram, down 1–0 With 1:40 left

Shot map

NYI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ EDM shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Islanders

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
13	Mathew Barzal	0	1	1	0	3	0.38	0	2	20:52
92	Simon Holmstrom	0	0	0	0	3	1.14	0	0	19:34
72	Anders Lee	0	0	0	0	6	0.40	1	0	17:46
11	Anthony Duclair	1	0	1	0	6	0.37	0	1	17:25
44	Jean-Gabriel Pageau	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	17:10
92	Jonathan Drouin	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	1	15:16
51	Emil Heineman	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	4	0	14:12
53	Casey Cizikas	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	13:14
64	Calum Ritchie	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	11:30
49	Maxim Shabanov	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	11:01
17	Marc Gatcomb	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	0	2	09:40
32	Kyle MacLean	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	2	0	09:33
Defense
48	Matthew Schaefer	0	0	0	0	5	0.51	2	1	26:35
3	Adam Pelech	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	0	2	24:06
6	Ryan Pulock	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	2	22:24
77	Tony DeAngelo	0	0	0	0	4	0.00	1	0	20:41
24	Scott Mayfield	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	13:27
34	Adam Boqvist	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	3	11:34

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Ilya Sorokin	35	0	35	1.000	4.92	+4.92

Edmonton Oilers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
97	Connor McDavid	0	0	0	0	6	0.61	1	0	25:33
29	Leon Draisaitl	0	0	0	0	6	0.35	1	0	24:40
18	Zach Hyman	0	0	0	0	7	0.99	0	0	22:17
93	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	0	0	18:48
42	Kasperi Kapanen	0	0	0	0	4	0.38	1	0	16:12
92	Vasily Podkolzin	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	2	0	15:09
96	Jack Roslovic	0	0	0	0	6	0.37	0	0	13:01
22	Matt Savoie	0	0	0	0	6	0.43	1	0	10:30
53	Isaac Howard	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	2	0	10:08
13	Mattias Janmark	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	0	0	10:03
10	Trent Frederic	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	0	08:47
20	Curtis Lazar	0	0	0	0	1	0.28	1	0	08:46
Defense
2	Evan Bouchard	0	0	0	0	10	0.54	1	1	26:03
14	Mattias Ekholm	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	0	3	21:55
25	Darnell Nurse	0	0	0	0	4	0.05	2	0	18:43
49	Ty Emberson	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	1	1	18:00
96	Jake Walman	0	0	0	0	6	0.12	0	2	16:41
24	Spencer Stastney	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	1	1	14:42

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Connor Ingram	18	1	17	.944	2.08	+1.08

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Islanders

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
30 Ilya Sorokin G	+4.92	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+4.92	60:00
16 Marc Gatcomb C	+0.56	0.00	+0.12	+0.33	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	9:40
32 Kyle MacLean C	+0.47	0.00	+0.15	+0.33	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	9:33
11 Anthony Duclair L	+0.42	+0.75	+0.24	-0.63	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	17:25
53 Casey Cizikas C	+0.32	0.00	0.00	+0.34	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:14
13 Mathew Barzal C	-0.19	+0.55	+0.25	-1.06	0.00	-0.01	+0.08	—	20:52
64 Calum Ritchie C	-0.22	+0.70	0.00	-0.85	0.00	-0.03	-0.04	—	11:30
34 Adam Boqvist D	-0.23	0.00	+0.05	-0.45	0.00	0.00	+0.17	—	11:34
27 Anders Lee L	-0.40	0.00	+0.26	-0.66	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:46
24 Scott Mayfield D	-0.41	0.00	0.00	-0.46	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	13:27
10 Simon Holmstrom R	-0.45	0.00	+0.74	-1.17	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:34
6 Ryan Pulock D	-0.63	0.00	+0.02	-0.77	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	22:24
48 Matthew Schaefer D	-0.72	0.00	+0.33	-1.19	+0.15	0.00	-0.01	—	26:35
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	-0.88	0.00	0.00	-0.92	0.00	+0.06	-0.02	—	17:10
49 Max Shabanov R	-0.94	0.00	0.00	-0.99	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	11:01
3 Adam Pelech D	-0.97	0.00	+0.01	-0.92	-0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	24:06
29 Jonathan Drouin L	-0.99	0.00	+0.07	-1.09	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	15:16
51 Emil Heineman L	-1.13	0.00	+0.07	-1.03	-0.15	-0.02	0.00	—	14:12
77 Tony DeAngelo D	-1.28	0.00	0.00	-1.26	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	20:41

Edmonton Oilers

Player	Rating	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
97 Connor McDavid C	+2.30	+0.40	+1.86	0.00	+0.02	+0.02	—	25:33
18 Zach Hyman L	+1.82	+0.64	+1.18	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	22:17
2 Evan Bouchard D	+1.78	+0.35	+1.40	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	26:03
14 Mattias Ekholm D	+1.37	+0.05	+1.16	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	21:55
25 Darnell Nurse D	+1.10	+0.03	+0.96	+0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	18:43
39 Connor Ingram G	+1.08	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.08	58:20
29 Leon Draisaitl C	+1.08	+0.23	+1.05	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	—	24:40
28 Jack Roslovic C	+1.07	+0.24	+0.71	+0.15	-0.03	0.00	—	13:01
96 Jake Walman D	+1.04	+0.08	+0.92	0.00	0.00	+0.04	—	16:41
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	+0.81	+0.14	+0.68	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	18:48
42 Kasperi Kapanen R	+0.73	+0.25	+0.49	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:12
92 Vasily Podkolzin R	+0.63	+0.06	+0.56	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:09
22 Matt Savoie C	+0.61	+0.28	+0.33	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:30
24 Spencer Stastney D	+0.37	+0.02	+0.35	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	14:42
53 Isaac Howard L	+0.35	+0.04	+0.32	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	10:08
20 Curtis Lazar C	+0.29	+0.18	+0.09	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	8:46
49 Ty Emberson D	+0.28	+0.06	+0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	18:00
13 Mattias Janmark C	+0.20	+0.13	+0.09	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	10:03
10 Trent Frederic C	+0.14	+0.01	+0.10	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	8:47

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.