Friday, January 16, 2026
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
ANA 38%Deserve to win 62% LAK
ANA LAK
2.86 Expected goals 3.60
2 Goals (no shootout) 2
2.00 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.96
56 Shot attempts 65
43 Unblocked attempts 46
28 Shots on goal 28
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
16:50
ANA
No shift
No shift · Gauthier, 13:18 on the bench
No shift from 6:42 of the 3rd to 1:21 of overtime; 12 shifts (8:10) before that
Shot map
ANA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → LAK shoots
Jeff Malott: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:40)
Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 1:31)
Cutter Gauthier: backhand, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:43)
Mason McTavish: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 3:53)
Joel Armia: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 4:41)
Ian Moore: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:11)
Andre Lee: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:46)
Taylor Ward: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 7:05)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:24)
Warren Foegele: backhand, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:52)
Warren Foegele: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 8:10)
Joel Edmundson: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:17)
Drew Helleson: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:18)
Warren Foegele: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:31)
Quinton Byfield: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 9:46)
Jackson LaCombe: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:44)
Andrei Kuzmenko: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 11:30)
Kevin Fiala: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:39)
Adrian Kempe: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:24)
Jansen Harkins: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:54)
Quinton Byfield: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:37)
Mikael Granlund: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:56)
Kevin Fiala: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 14:08)
Kevin Fiala: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:09)
Quinton Byfield: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 15:33)
Alex Laferriere: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:09)
Beckett Sennecke: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 18:02)
Ryan Strome: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:54)
Quinton Byfield: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:09)
Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:18)
Drew Helleson: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:23)
Ryan Poehling: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:17)
Jacob Trouba: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:30)
Sam Colangelo: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:29)
Joel Armia: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:59)
Beckett Sennecke: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 7:06)
Kevin Fiala: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 7:36)
Kevin Fiala: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 8:04)
Alex Laferriere: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:38)
Joel Armia: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 9:04)
Joel Armia: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:05)
Andrei Kuzmenko: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:36)
Alex Killorn: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 9:54)
Andrei Kuzmenko: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:41)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:50)
Drew Doughty: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 10:55)
Andrei Kuzmenko: wrist, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:29)
Sam Colangelo: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 12:50)
Kevin Fiala: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 13:02)
Jacob Trouba: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:53)
Joel Armia: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 15:35)
Ryan Poehling: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:48)
Beckett Sennecke: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:05)
Andre Lee: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 17:41)
Olen Zellweger: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:34)
Radko Gudas: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:44)
Beckett Sennecke: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:14)
Mikael Granlund: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 19:17)
Ryan Poehling: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:41)
Mikael Granlund: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:54)
Alex Turcotte: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:39)
Warren Foegele: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:27)
Mikael Granlund: backhand, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:05)
Adrian Kempe: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:01)
Adrian Kempe: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 7:09)
Alex Turcotte: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:43)
Alex Turcotte: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 7:45)
Ross Johnston: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 8:13)
Beckett Sennecke: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:30)
Beckett Sennecke: tip-in, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:01)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 10:10)
Beckett Sennecke: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 10:19)
Radko Gudas: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:52)
Mason McTavish: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:02)
Mason McTavish: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 13:07)
Mikey Anderson: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:46)
Alex Killorn: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 14:58)
Alex Killorn: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:24)
Adrian Kempe: slap, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:40)
Brandt Clarke: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:33)
Ian Moore: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:36)
Mikael Granlund: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.19 (OT 0:15)
Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 1:33)
Brandt Clarke: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 3:06)
Beckett Sennecke: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 3:15)
Quinton Byfield: GOAL, wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:38)
Joel Armia: GOAL, slap, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:33)
Ryan Strome: GOAL, slap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:12)
Tim Washe: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 14:56)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Anaheim Ducks
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Lukas Dostal
28 2 26
.929
3.60
+1.60
Los Angeles Kings
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Anaheim Ducks
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
45 Beckett Sennecke R
+1.91
+1.10
+0.51
+0.36
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
23:59
65 Jacob Trouba D
+1.70
+0.70
+0.01
+0.70
0.00
0.00
+0.28
—
26:14
42 Tim Washe C
+1.62
+0.75
+0.08
+0.73
0.00
-0.01
+0.07
—
13:51
1 Lukas Dostal G
+1.60
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.60
65:00
2 Jackson LaCombe D
+1.44
+0.70
+0.01
+0.64
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
27:06
74 Ian Moore D
+0.37
0.00
+0.06
+0.21
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
13:37
44 Ross Johnston L
+0.27
0.00
+0.06
+0.38
-0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
12:28
16 Ryan Strome C
+0.17
+0.75
+0.05
-0.67
0.00
+0.04
0.00
—
13:05
64 Mikael Granlund C
-0.22
0.00
+0.29
-0.44
0.00
-0.06
0.00
—
22:47
17 Alex Killorn L
-0.31
0.00
+0.21
-0.40
-0.15
-0.02
+0.05
—
20:07
12 Sam Colangelo R
-0.38
0.00
+0.06
-0.42
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
10:42
24 Jansen Harkins C
-0.41
0.00
+0.02
-0.48
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
12:31
7 Radko Gudas D
-0.43
0.00
+0.02
-0.41
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
19:20
23 Mason McTavish C
-0.45
0.00
+0.21
-0.71
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
13:28
51 Olen Zellweger D
-0.46
0.00
+0.01
-0.55
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
20:16
25 Ryan Poehling C
-0.57
0.00
+0.05
-0.62
0.00
+0.04
-0.04
—
19:03
61 Cutter Gauthier L
-0.80
0.00
+0.15
-1.11
+0.15
+0.01
0.00
—
8:54
98 Pavel Mintyukov D
-1.14
0.00
0.00
-1.14
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
18:00
14 Drew Helleson D
-1.20
0.00
+0.05
-1.35
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
11:32
Los Angeles Kings
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
40 Joel Armia R
+2.71
+1.45
+0.49
+0.74
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
15:27
22 Kevin Fiala L
+1.10
0.00
+0.35
+0.45
+0.30
0.00
0.00
—
22:14
15 Alex Turcotte C
+1.02
0.00
+0.18
+0.80
0.00
+0.02
+0.02
—
13:13
55 Quinton Byfield R
+0.97
+0.75
+0.27
-0.04
0.00
+0.01
-0.02
—
21:23
35 Darcy Kuemper G
+0.86
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.86
65:00
5 Cody Ceci D
+0.71
0.00
0.00
+0.71
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
18:36
96 Andrei Kuzmenko L
+0.61
0.00
+0.19
+0.45
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
17:26
39 Jeff Malott L
+0.58
0.00
+0.02
+0.55
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
11:35
37 Warren Foegele L
+0.57
0.00
+0.15
+0.45
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
14:07
47 Andre Lee L
+0.56
+0.70
+0.10
-0.26
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
11:28
2 Brian Dumoulin D
+0.51
0.00
0.00
+0.65
-0.15
0.00
+0.01
—
17:22
8 Drew Doughty D
+0.49
0.00
+0.06
+0.44
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
24:18
14 Alex Laferriere R
+0.42
0.00
+0.20
+0.20
0.00
-0.03
+0.05
—
21:12
44 Mikey Anderson D
+0.29
0.00
+0.02
+0.24
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
19:26
6 Joel Edmundson D
+0.24
0.00
+0.01
+0.01
0.00
0.00
+0.22
—
17:05
92 Brandt Clarke D
+0.20
0.00
+0.10
+0.01
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
22:12
79 Samuel Helenius C
+0.19
0.00
0.00
+0.15
0.00
+0.01
+0.03
—
10:18
9 Adrian Kempe R
+0.02
0.00
+0.11
-0.10
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
20:36
52 Taylor Ward R
-0.16
0.00
+0.08
-0.18
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
11:02
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.