| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 36 |
 |
1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:19 | |
Marcus Foligno (3) Vladimir Tarasenko (14), Ben Jones (1) · snap xG 0.20 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 10:05 | |
Ryan McLeod (11) Jack Quinn (16), Jason Zucker (12) · deflected xG 0.11 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 19:52 | |
Ryan Hartman (13) Quinn Hughes (37), Kirill Kaprizov (28) · tip-in xG 0.38 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:08 | |
Vladimir Tarasenko (9) Jared Spurgeon (10), Danila Yurov (11) · wrist xG 0.10 | 3–1 ▶ |
| 10:07 | |
Peyton Krebs (4) Mattias Samuelsson (16) · tip-in xG 0.06 | 3–2 ▶ |
| 11:34 | |
Jack Quinn (11) Rasmus Dahlin (28), Jason Zucker (13) · wrist xG 0.25 | 3–3 ▶ |
| 16:07 | |
Alex Tuch (17)PP Tage Thompson (25), Ryan McLeod (20) · wrist xG 0.06 | 3–4 ▶ |
| 17:04 | |
Quinn Hughes (4) Kirill Kaprizov (29), Mats Zuccarello (17) · slap xG 0.08 | 4–4 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Overtime | |||
| 1:46 | |
Mats Zuccarello (6)PP Kirill Kaprizov (30), Filip Gustavsson (1) · snap xG 0.20 | 5–4 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| MIN | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.57 | Expected goals | 2.92 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 3.46 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.89 |
| 69 | Shot attempts | 48 |
| 49 | Unblocked attempts | 38 |
| 36 | Shots on goal | 24 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:30 | MIN | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced BUF 1.75–0.42
In xG over 10 minutes, 16:20 of the 1st to 6:20 of the 2nd; goals 2–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 14:30 | BUF | No shift | No shift · Metsa, 15:25 on the bench
No shift after 4:21 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (7:04) before that |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 36 | Mats Zuccarello | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 11 | 0.66 | 0 | 0 | 25:35 |
| 97 | Kirill Kaprizov | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 7 | 0.70 | 1 | 0 | 24:28 |
| 38 | Ryan Hartman | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.50 | 1 | 1 | 22:10 |
| 22 | Danila Yurov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.39 | 2 | 1 | 16:27 |
| 91 | Vladimir Tarasenko | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.74 | 3 | 0 | 15:55 |
| 13 | Yakov Trenin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 9 | 0 | 15:33 |
| 17 | Marcus Foligno | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | 2 | 0 | 14:25 |
| 18 | Vinnie Hinostroza | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 |
| 78 | Nico Sturm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 10:55 |
| 18 | Ben Jones | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 08:54 |
| 37 | Hunter Haight | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 08:06 |
| 19 | Tyler Pitlick | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.17 | 4 | 0 | 06:08 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Quinn Hughes | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 | 0.28 | 0 | 1 | 29:52 |
| 7 | Brock Faber | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 28:41 |
| 55 | Jake Middleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | 3 | 4 | 21:17 |
| 46 | Jared Spurgeon | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 16:16 |
| 48 | Daemon Hunt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 11:36 |
| 5 | David Jiricek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 09:12 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | 24 | 4 | 20 | .833 | 2.92 | -1.08 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 72 | Tage Thompson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 8 | 0.70 | 0 | 0 | 22:17 |
| 89 | Alex Tuch | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.27 | 1 | 2 | 18:40 |
| 17 | Jason Zucker | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.17 | 2 | 0 | 17:49 |
| 6 | Zach Benson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 16:31 |
| 71 | Ryan McLeod | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.29 | 0 | 1 | 16:30 |
| 86 | Noah Ostlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 16:09 |
| 22 | Jack Quinn | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0.40 | 0 | 0 | 16:03 |
| 91 | Josh Doan | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 15:14 |
| 12 | Jordan Greenway | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 10:43 |
| 19 | Peyton Krebs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 1 | 2 | 10:31 |
| 29 | Beck Malenstyn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 09:56 |
| 48 | Tyson Kozak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 08:32 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 26 | Rasmus Dahlin | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.37 | 3 | 0 | 27:10 |
| 23 | Mattias Samuelsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 26:30 |
| 24 | Bowen Byram | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 25:36 |
| 25 | Owen Power | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 2 | 21:33 |
| 7 | Michael Kesselring | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.16 | 2 | 1 | 10:16 |
| 73 | Zach Metsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 07:04 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | 36 | 5 | 31 | .861 | 4.57 | -0.43 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97 Kirill Kaprizov L | +3.93 | +1.95 | +0.45 | +1.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 24:28 |
| 36 Mats Zuccarello R | +3.48 | +1.30 | +0.43 | +1.73 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 25:35 |
| 91 Vladimir Tarasenko R | +3.23 | +1.45 | +0.48 | +1.16 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:55 |
| 38 Ryan Hartman R | +2.82 | +0.75 | +0.33 | +1.73 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 22:10 |
| 43 Quinn Hughes D | +2.26 | +1.45 | +0.18 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 29:52 |
| 17 Marcus Foligno L | +1.55 | +0.75 | +0.18 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:25 |
| 7 Brock Faber D | +1.42 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 28:41 |
| 46 Jared Spurgeon D | +1.24 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:16 |
| 22 Danila Yurov R | +1.20 | +0.55 | +0.26 | +0.52 | -0.15 | -0.03 | +0.05 | — | 16:27 |
| 5 Jake Middleton D | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 21:17 |
| 39 Ben Jones C | +0.52 | +0.55 | +0.03 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:54 |
| 55 David Jiricek D | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.49 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 9:12 |
| 13 Yakov Trenin C | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 15:33 |
| 48 Daemon Hunt D | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:36 |
| 18 Vinnie Hinostroza C | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.28 | -0.41 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:28 |
| 37 Hunter Haight C | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | — | 8:06 |
| 19 Tyler Pitlick C | -0.50 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:08 |
| 32 Filip Gustavsson G | -0.53 | +0.55 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.08 | 61:46 |
| 78 Nico Sturm C | -0.54 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.63 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.02 | — | 10:55 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Ryan McLeod C | +1.87 | +1.30 | +0.19 | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.05 | — | 16:30 |
| 17 Jason Zucker L | +1.32 | +1.10 | +0.11 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 17:49 |
| 22 Jack Quinn R | +1.23 | +1.45 | +0.26 | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:03 |
| 19 Peyton Krebs C | +1.13 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +0.22 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.06 | — | 10:31 |
| 26 Rasmus Dahlin D | +1.02 | +0.70 | +0.24 | -0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 27:10 |
| 89 Alex Tuch R | +0.97 | +0.75 | +0.17 | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.12 | — | 18:40 |
| 72 Tage Thompson C | +0.68 | +0.70 | +0.45 | -0.43 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 22:17 |
| 73 Zach Metsa D | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:04 |
| 8 Michael Kesselring D | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:16 |
| 6 Zach Benson L | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:31 |
| 86 Noah Ostlund C | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.27 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 16:09 |
| 91 Josh Doan R | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.45 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 15:14 |
| 1 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen G | -0.43 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.43 | 61:46 |
| 23 Mattias Samuelsson D | -0.51 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 26:30 |
| 4 Bowen Byram D | -0.91 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.90 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 25:36 |
| 29 Beck Malenstyn L | -1.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:56 |
| 12 Jordan Greenway L | -1.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.37 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 10:43 |
| 48 Tyson Kozak C | -1.43 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.46 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 8:32 |
| 25 Owen Power D | -1.73 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:33 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.