| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 28 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 28 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:22 | Travis Konecny (15) Trevor Zegras (25), Travis Sanheim (15) · snap xG 0.07 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 7:05 | Artemi Panarin (17) Vincent Trocheck (17), Alexis Lafrenière (17) · snap xG 0.18 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 7:26 | Mika Zibanejad (19) J.T. Miller (16), Braden Schneider (7) · snap xG 0.03 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 8:25 | Brennan Othmann (1) Will Cuylle (14) · snap xG 0.18 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:38 | Mika Zibanejad (20)PP Artemi Panarin (36), Vincent Trocheck (18) · snap xG 0.15 | 4–1 ▶ | |
| 8:25 | Mika Zibanejad (21) J.T. Miller (17), Scott Morrow (5) · snap xG 0.24 | 5–1 ▶ | |
| 14:31 | Artemi Panarin (18) Alexis Lafrenière (18) · wrist xG 0.09 | 6–1 ▶ | |
| 16:48 | Travis Sanheim (6)SH Travis Konecny (26) · snap xG 0.23 | 6–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 8:01 | Trevor Zegras (19) Denver Barkey (5), Owen Tippett (14) · wrist xG 0.20 | 6–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYR | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | Expected goals | 2.76 |
| 6 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.59 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.36 |
| 61 | Shot attempts | 65 |
| 48 | Unblocked attempts | 43 |
| 28 | Shots on goal | 28 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:25 | PHI | Goalie | Goalie · Kolosov −2.4 goals saved
3 goals on 0.59 xG, 3 shots on goal |
| 8:25 | PHI | Goalie change | Goalie change · Ersson in for Kolosov
8:25 of the 1st; Kolosov had allowed 3 goals on 3 shots (0.59 xG) |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:50 | NYR | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced PHI 1.17–0.12
In xG over 10 minutes, 16:50 of the 1st to 6:50 of the 2nd; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 11:50 | PHI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYR 1.43–0.33
In xG over 10 minutes, 1:50 to 11:50 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0.44 | 0 | 2 | 20:56 |
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0.48 | 1 | 2 | 20:45 |
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0.56 | 0 | 0 | 20:02 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 3 | 2 | 18:59 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.45 | 5 | 1 | 16:38 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 1 | 16:21 |
| 94 | Gabe Perreault | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.28 | 1 | 1 | 15:29 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 |
| 78 | Brennan Othmann | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.18 | 2 | 1 | 12:19 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 10:51 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 07:52 |
| 22 | Jonny Brodzinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 07:30 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.12 | 3 | 0 | 23:37 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 0.04 | 4 | 1 | 22:01 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 20:38 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 17:43 |
| 60 | Scott Morrow | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 2 | 16:13 |
| 18 | Urho Vaakanainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 14:01 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Martin | 28 | 3 | 25 | .893 | 2.76 | -0.24 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 0.84 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 |
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 | 18:52 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.20 | 2 | 0 | 16:42 |
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.28 | 1 | 0 | 16:15 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 16:11 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 14:42 |
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.20 | 2 | 1 | 14:20 |
| 86 | Denver Barkey | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 14:12 |
| 91 | Carl Grundstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.24 | 3 | 0 | 13:55 |
| 17 | Nikita Grebenkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 13:53 |
| 21 | Garnet Hathaway | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 7 | 0 | 12:46 |
| 18 | Rodrigo Abols | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 01:19 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | 1 | 1 | 24:00 |
| 8 | Cam York | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 5 | 0.04 | 0 | 5 | 22:00 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 20:31 |
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 6 | 0.15 | 0 | 1 | 19:20 |
| 47 | Noah Juulsen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 17:14 |
| 36 | Emil Andrae | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 16:42 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Kolosov | 3 | 3 | 0 | .000 | 0.59 | -2.41 |
| Samuel Ersson | 25 | 3 | 22 | .880 | 2.91 | -0.09 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +3.07 | +2.25 | +0.36 | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 20:02 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +2.81 | +2.20 | +0.28 | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.08 | — | 20:56 |
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +1.85 | +1.40 | +0.01 | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.10 | — | 18:59 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | +1.79 | +1.25 | +0.31 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.04 | — | 20:45 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | +1.50 | +1.25 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:05 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | +1.43 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 22:01 |
| 78 Brennan Othmann L | +1.18 | +0.75 | +0.12 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:19 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +0.92 | +0.70 | +0.29 | +0.02 | -0.15 | +0.03 | +0.03 | — | 16:38 |
| 94 Gabe Perreault R | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:29 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 23:37 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | +0.67 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.27 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:38 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 16:21 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 17:43 |
| 60 Scott Morrow D | +0.22 | +0.55 | +0.04 | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:13 |
| 22 Jonny Brodzinski C | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 7:30 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:52 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.10 | — | 10:51 |
| 18 Urho Vaakanainen D | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:01 |
| 41 Spencer Martin G | -0.24 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.24 | 60:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | +2.64 | +1.45 | +0.55 | +0.67 | 0.00 | -0.08 | +0.05 | — | 19:12 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | +1.46 | +1.45 | +0.22 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 18:52 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | +1.33 | +1.30 | +0.15 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:00 |
| 52 Denver Barkey C | +1.08 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:12 |
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +0.91 | +0.55 | +0.13 | +0.26 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:42 |
| 36 Emil Andrae D | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:42 |
| 47 Noah Juulsen D | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 17:14 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:31 |
| 18 Rodrigo Abols C | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 1:19 |
| 91 Carl Grundstrom R | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:55 |
| 27 Noah Cates L | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.05 | — | 14:42 |
| 33 Samuel Ersson G | -0.24 | 0.00 | — | — | -0.15 | — | — | -0.09 | 51:35 |
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.38 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 16:15 |
| 19 Garnet Hathaway R | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:46 |
| 29 Nikita Grebenkin R | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.40 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:53 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | -0.73 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.63 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:11 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | -0.73 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.89 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.07 | — | 14:20 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | -0.97 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -1.23 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:20 |
| 8 Cam York D | -1.55 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.23 | — | 22:00 |
| 35 Aleksei Kolosov G | -2.41 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.41 | 8:25 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.