Seattle KrakenSEA 3–6 Final Utah MammothUTA

Saturday, January 17, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Seattle KrakenSEA	1	2	0	3	21
Utah MammothUTA	1	2	3	6	31

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:09	SEA	Jordan Eberle (17) Kaapo Kakko (13), Matty Beniers (21) · backhand xG 0.13	1–0 ▶
2:47	UTA	Kevin Stenlund (4)SH Lawson Crouse (12), Ian Cole (14) · snap xG 0.24	1–1 ▶
2nd Period
0:28	UTA	Nate Schmidt (3) Jack McBain (10), Dylan Guenther (18) · slap xG 0.03	1–2 ▶
4:31	UTA	Nick Schmaltz (18) Lawson Crouse (13), Nate Schmidt (13) · snap xG 0.45	1–3 ▶
15:11	SEA	Matty Beniers (10) Vince Dunn (23), Berkly Catton (6) · wrist xG 0.67	2–3 ▶
17:43	SEA	Chandler Stephenson (13) Frederick Gaudreau (9), Eeli Tolvanen (19) · wrist xG 0.21	3–3 ▶
3rd Period
14:30	UTA	Nate Schmidt (4) Clayton Keller (32) · snap xG 0.30	3–4 ▶
15:12	UTA	Lawson Crouse (12) Clayton Keller (33), Nate Schmidt (14) · snap xG 0.18	3–5 ▶
19:09	UTA	Barrett Hayton (5)EN John Marino (20), Karel Vejmelka (2) · snap xG 0.92	3–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SEA 49%Deserve to win51% UTA

SEA		UTA
3.60	Expected goals	5.41
3	Goals (no shootout)	6
2.70	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.95
55	Shot attempts	68
39	Unblocked attempts	49
21	Shots on goal	31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:00	SEA	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced UTA 1.40–0.31 In xG over 10 minutes, the start of the 1st to 10:00 of the 1st; goals 1–1
18:50	UTA	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced SEA 1.31–0.20 In xG over 10 minutes, 9:00 to 19:00 of the 1st; neither team scored
2nd Period
4:31	UTA	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · UTA takes the lead, 61–39% SEA had led since 4:19 of the 1st, by as much as 82%
17:43	SEA	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · SEA takes the lead, 60–40% UTA had led since 4:31 of the 2nd, by as much as 61%
3rd Period
16:58	SEA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Grubauer, down 5–3 With 3:02 left; UTA scored at 19:09 of the 3rd (3–6)

Shot map

SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ UTA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Seattle Kraken

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
9	Chandler Stephenson	1	0	1	0	1	0.21	0	0	18:31
89	Frederick Gaudreau	0	1	1	+1	2	0.06	1	0	18:28
17	Eeli Tolvanen	0	1	1	0	1	0.09	3	3	17:27
10	Matty Beniers	1	1	2	-1	6	0.78	1	0	15:58
19	Jared McCann	0	0	0	-3	4	0.08	0	1	15:45
7	Jordan Eberle	1	0	1	-1	3	0.43	0	1	15:03
59	Ben Meyers	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	14:55
51	Shane Wright	0	0	0	-2	3	0.44	1	0	14:16
27	Berkly Catton	0	1	1	-2	6	0.31	0	0	13:40
71	Jaden Schwartz	0	0	0	-1	3	0.37	0	4	13:02
84	Kaapo Kakko	0	1	1	-1	3	0.00	1	0	12:59
26	Ryan Winterton	0	0	0	-1	4	0.60	0	0	12:30
Defense
62	Brandon Montour	0	0	0	+1	7	0.12	0	0	23:50
29	Vince Dunn	0	1	1	-1	5	0.05	0	1	19:55
41	Ryker Evans	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	1	1	18:36
6	Adam Larsson	0	0	0	-1	4	0.04	2	3	18:18
55	Ryan Lindgren	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	2	18:06
4	Jamie Oleksiak	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	2	2	16:52

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Philipp Grubauer	30	5	25	.833	3.70	-1.30

Utah Mammoth

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
8	Nick Schmaltz	1	0	1	+2	5	0.75	0	0	19:01
67	Lawson Crouse	1	2	3	+3	6	0.98	8	1	18:42
9	Clayton Keller	0	2	2	+2	3	0.09	0	1	18:08
11	Dylan Guenther	0	1	1	+1	4	0.15	0	0	16:55
10	JJ Peterka	0	0	0	-1	4	0.15	0	0	15:37
22	Jack McBain	0	1	1	+1	4	0.50	4	2	15:13
82	Kevin Stenlund	1	0	1	+1	1	0.24	0	2	14:26
53	Michael Carcone	0	0	0	+1	8	0.27	0	0	14:23
27	Barrett Hayton	1	0	1	0	3	0.99	1	1	14:03
50	Daniil But	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	0	1	13:05
13	Brandon Tanev	0	0	0	-1	1	0.22	4	0	09:14
38	Liam O'Brien	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	08:50
Defense
6	John Marino	0	1	1	+5	3	0.30	0	1	22:21
98	Mikhail Sergachev	0	0	0	-1	4	0.11	0	3	20:50
88	Nate Schmidt	2	2	4	+4	9	0.38	2	1	20:39
28	Ian Cole	0	1	1	+1	4	0.03	1	1	19:17
5	Sean Durzi	0	0	0	-3	4	0.16	1	1	18:01
57	Nick DeSimone	0	0	0	0	4	0.01	1	0	15:15

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Karel Vejmelka	21	3	18	.857	3.60	+0.60

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Seattle Kraken

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
10 Matty Beniers C	+2.24	+1.30	+0.50	+0.43	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	15:58
27 Berkly Catton C	+1.30	+0.55	+0.20	+0.56	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	13:40
7 Jordan Eberle R	+1.20	+0.75	+0.28	+0.31	-0.15	0.00	+0.01	—	15:03
62 Brandon Montour D	+1.05	0.00	+0.08	+0.99	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	23:50
9 Chandler Stephenson C	+0.94	+0.75	+0.14	+0.02	0.00	+0.03	0.00	—	18:31
20 Eeli Tolvanen R	+0.87	+0.55	+0.06	+0.12	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	17:27
84 Kaapo Kakko R	+0.82	+0.70	0.00	+0.14	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:59
89 Frederick Gaudreau C	+0.72	+0.70	+0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	18:28
29 Vince Dunn D	+0.71	+0.70	+0.04	-0.10	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	19:55
51 Shane Wright C	+0.35	0.00	+0.29	-0.09	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	14:16
55 Ryan Lindgren D	-0.01	0.00	+0.01	-0.10	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	18:06
26 Ryan Winterton C	-0.02	0.00	+0.39	-0.56	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	12:30
17 Jaden Schwartz L	-0.08	0.00	+0.24	-0.50	0.00	-0.02	+0.20	—	13:02
41 Ryker Evans D	-0.15	0.00	0.00	-0.20	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	18:36
24 Jamie Oleksiak D	-0.36	0.00	0.00	-0.44	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	16:52
59 Ben Meyers C	-0.68	0.00	0.00	-0.79	+0.15	-0.04	0.00	—	14:55
19 Jared McCann L	-0.84	0.00	+0.05	-0.92	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	15:45
6 Adam Larsson D	-1.01	0.00	+0.03	-1.01	-0.15	0.00	+0.13	—	18:18
31 Philipp Grubauer G	-1.30	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.30	57:49

Utah Mammoth

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
88 Nate Schmidt D	+3.22	+2.60	+0.24	+0.39	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	20:39
67 Lawson Crouse L	+3.21	+2.15	+0.64	+0.36	0.00	-0.01	+0.07	—	18:42
9 Clayton Keller R	+3.12	+1.40	+0.06	+1.65	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	18:08
8 Nick Schmaltz C	+2.81	+0.75	+0.49	+1.43	+0.15	+0.01	-0.02	—	19:01
6 John Marino D	+2.43	+0.70	+0.20	+1.50	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	22:21
27 Barrett Hayton C	+1.40	+0.75	+0.64	-0.16	+0.15	-0.03	+0.05	—	14:03
70 Karel Vejmelka G	+1.15	+0.55	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.60	60:00
22 Jack McBain C	+1.15	+0.70	+0.32	+0.13	-0.15	+0.04	+0.10	—	15:13
11 Dylan Guenther R	+0.68	+0.55	+0.10	+0.19	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	16:55
28 Ian Cole D	+0.59	+0.55	+0.02	+0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	19:17
53 Michael Carcone L	+0.35	0.00	+0.18	+0.18	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:23
98 Mikhail Sergachev D	+0.18	0.00	+0.07	-0.02	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	20:50
57 Nick DeSimone D	+0.07	0.00	+0.01	+0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:15
38 Liam O'Brien C	+0.04	0.00	0.00	+0.04	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:50
19 Daniil But L	-0.05	0.00	+0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	13:05
82 Kevin Stenlund C	-0.05	+0.75	+0.15	-1.09	0.00	+0.05	+0.08	—	14:26
77 JJ Peterka R	-0.08	0.00	+0.10	-0.17	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	15:37
50 Sean Durzi D	-0.95	0.00	+0.10	-1.10	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	18:01
13 Brandon Tanev L	-1.07	0.00	+0.14	-1.04	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	9:14

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.