Montréal CanadiensMTL 6–5 Final/OT Ottawa SenatorsOTT

Saturday, January 17, 2026

Final/OT	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T	SOG
Montréal CanadiensMTL	2	1	2	1	6	19
Ottawa SenatorsOTT	0	4	1	0	5	34

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:06	MTL	Juraj Slafkovský (18)PP Cole Caufield (24), Nick Suzuki (38) · snap xG 0.15	1–0 ▶
17:50	MTL	Cole Caufield (23)PP Nick Suzuki (39), Lane Hutson (40) · wrist xG 0.10	2–0 ▶
2nd Period
0:42	OTT	Brady Tkachuk (10)PP Claude Giroux (24), Jake Sanderson (27) · wrist xG 0.21	2–1 ▶
3:07	OTT	Tim Stützle (21) Nick Cousins (7), Lars Eller (5) · between-legs xG 0.08	2–2 ▶
4:26	MTL	Josh Anderson (11) Mike Matheson (17), Noah Dobson (22) · wrist xG 0.01	3–2 ▶
15:31	OTT	Dylan Cozens (14)PP Tim Stützle (28), Jake Sanderson (28) · wrist xG 0.12	3–3 ▶
18:24	OTT	David Perron (10) Artem Zub (12), Jake Sanderson (29) · tip-in xG 0.58	3–4 ▶
3rd Period
7:55	OTT	Jake Sanderson (10) Ridly Greig (14) · wrist xG 0.15	3–5 ▶
15:36	MTL	Juraj Slafkovský (19) Lane Hutson (41), Phillip Danault (10) · tip-in xG 0.07	4–5 ▶
16:41	MTL	Alexandre Carrier (4) Ivan Demidov (30), Josh Anderson (5) · slap xG 0.02	5–5 ▶
Overtime
0:33	MTL	Cole Caufield (24) Lane Hutson (42) · slap xG 0.22	6–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MTL 18%Deserve to win82% OTT

MTL		OTT
2.39	Expected goals	4.51
6	Goals (no shootout)	5
1.34	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.55
49	Shot attempts	74
33	Unblocked attempts	48
19	Shots on goal	34

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
0:42	OTT	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · OTT takes the lead, 60–40% MTL had led since 3:06 of the 1st, by as much as 73%
4:26	OTT	Goalie	Goalie · Meriläinen −2.2 goals saved 3 goals on 0.83 xG, 8 shots on goal
15:10	OTT	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.96–0.32 In xG over 10 minutes, 8:30 to 18:30 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
3rd Period
15:20	MTL	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Montembeault, down 5–3 With 4:40 left; MTL scored at 15:36 of the 3rd (4–5)

Shot map

MTL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ OTT shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Montréal Canadiens

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
14	Nick Suzuki	0	2	2	+2	5	0.34	2	0	21:25
20	Juraj Slafkovský	2	0	2	-1	8	0.56	4	2	20:00
13	Cole Caufield	2	1	3	+1	5	0.71	0	0	19:17
90	Joseph Veleno	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	5	0	15:32
71	Jake Evans	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	0	1	15:20
93	Ivan Demidov	0	1	1	0	3	0.09	0	0	15:07
91	Oliver Kapanen	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	0	0	14:04
76	Zachary Bolduc	0	0	0	-1	4	0.28	3	1	13:36
85	Alexandre Texier	0	0	0	0	3	0.00	1	1	12:56
17	Josh Anderson	1	1	2	+2	2	0.09	2	1	12:53
7	Brendan Gallagher	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	12:48
24	Phillip Danault	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	0	1	10:59
Defense
48	Lane Hutson	0	3	3	+1	6	0.15	0	3	26:22
8	Mike Matheson	0	1	1	+2	4	0.03	2	5	23:59
53	Noah Dobson	0	1	1	-1	5	0.02	1	2	21:54
45	Alexandre Carrier	1	0	1	0	1	0.02	1	4	17:12
21	Kaiden Guhle	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	15:42
72	Arber Xhekaj	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	07:40

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Samuel Montembeault	34	5	29	.853	4.51	-0.49

Ottawa Senators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
18	Tim Stützle	1	1	2	0	5	0.40	1	1	22:13
12	Shane Pinto	0	0	0	-1	5	0.59	1	0	18:14
28	Claude Giroux	0	1	1	-2	0	0.00	1	2	17:35
71	Ridly Greig	0	1	1	-1	2	0.00	1	1	17:30
8	Brady Tkachuk	1	0	1	-2	10	1.52	1	0	16:14
19	Drake Batherson	0	0	0	0	6	0.25	5	0	14:54
22	Michael Amadio	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	0	0	13:21
24	Dylan Cozens	1	0	1	0	5	0.24	1	0	13:17
21	Nick Cousins	0	1	1	+2	1	0.03	6	1	10:50
16	David Perron	1	0	1	+1	3	0.67	0	0	10:37
20	Fabian Zetterlund	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	3	0	10:36
20	Lars Eller	0	1	1	+1	3	0.15	2	0	09:56
Defense
85	Jake Sanderson	1	3	4	0	5	0.35	1	1	25:39
2	Artem Zub	0	1	1	0	2	0.00	0	1	21:45
72	Thomas Chabot	0	0	0	-1	11	0.16	0	3	21:42
4	Nick Jensen	0	0	0	-1	3	0.01	0	3	17:36
43	Tyler Kleven	0	0	0	+1	4	0.03	2	2	15:57
10	Jordan Spence	0	0	0	+1	5	0.01	1	0	14:51

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Leevi Meriläinen	19	6	13	.684	2.39	-3.61

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Montréal Canadiens

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
13 Cole Caufield R	+2.42	+2.20	+0.46	-0.20	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	19:19
14 Nick Suzuki C	+1.52	+1.25	+0.22	+0.06	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	21:25
17 Josh Anderson R	+1.45	+1.30	+0.06	+0.19	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	12:53
48 Lane Hutson D	+1.43	+1.95	+0.10	-0.73	0.00	0.00	+0.11	—	26:22
8 Mike Matheson D	+0.96	+0.70	+0.02	-0.14	+0.15	0.00	+0.23	—	23:57
24 Phillip Danault C	+0.90	+0.55	0.00	+0.26	0.00	+0.02	+0.07	—	10:59
45 Alexandre Carrier D	+0.46	+0.75	+0.01	-0.64	+0.15	0.00	+0.18	—	17:12
20 Juraj Slafkovský L	+0.42	+1.50	+0.37	-1.54	0.00	-0.01	+0.10	—	20:00
71 Jake Evans C	+0.25	0.00	+0.05	+0.16	0.00	+0.02	+0.03	—	15:20
85 Alexandre Texier L	+0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.20	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	12:56
76 Zachary Bolduc R	+0.19	0.00	+0.19	-0.03	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	13:36
53 Noah Dobson D	+0.09	+0.55	+0.01	-0.70	+0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	21:54
72 Arber Xhekaj D	-0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.26	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	7:40
11 Brendan Gallagher R	-0.08	0.00	0.00	-0.28	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	12:48
90 Joseph Veleno C	-0.24	0.00	+0.01	-0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:32
35 Samuel Montembeault G	-0.49	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.49	60:12
21 Kaiden Guhle D	-0.60	0.00	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	15:42
93 Ivan Demidov R	-0.78	+0.70	+0.06	-1.38	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	15:07
91 Oliver Kapanen C	-1.65	0.00	0.00	-1.65	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:04

Ottawa Senators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
85 Jake Sanderson D	+3.89	+2.40	+0.23	+1.24	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	25:39
18 Tim Stützle C	+2.10	+1.45	+0.26	+0.21	+0.15	+0.01	+0.01	—	22:13
21 Nick Cousins C	+1.93	+0.70	+0.02	+1.46	-0.30	0.00	+0.05	—	10:50
57 David Perron L	+1.80	+0.75	+0.43	+0.80	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	10:37
2 Artem Zub D	+1.67	+0.70	0.00	+0.90	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	21:45
24 Dylan Cozens C	+1.60	+0.75	+0.15	+0.59	+0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	13:17
71 Ridly Greig C	+1.53	+0.70	0.00	+0.65	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	17:30
7 Brady Tkachuk L	+1.52	+0.75	+0.99	-0.20	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	16:14
89 Lars Eller C	+1.20	+0.55	+0.10	+0.58	0.00	+0.01	-0.04	—	9:56
43 Tyler Kleven D	+1.17	0.00	+0.02	+1.01	0.00	0.00	+0.14	—	15:57
10 Jordan Spence D	+0.94	0.00	+0.01	+0.95	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:51
28 Claude Giroux R	+0.88	+0.70	0.00	+0.10	0.00	-0.02	+0.10	—	17:35
12 Shane Pinto C	+0.73	0.00	+0.38	+0.36	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	18:14
3 Nick Jensen D	-0.09	0.00	+0.01	-0.21	0.00	0.00	+0.11	—	17:36
20 Fabian Zetterlund L	-0.12	0.00	+0.02	-0.14	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:36
19 Drake Batherson R	-0.12	0.00	+0.16	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	+0.02	—	14:54
22 Michael Amadio R	-0.15	0.00	+0.04	-0.19	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:21
72 Thomas Chabot D	-0.51	0.00	+0.10	-0.57	-0.15	0.00	+0.11	—	21:42
1 Leevi Meriläinen G	-3.61	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-3.61	60:33

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.