| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 26 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 33 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:42 | Zachary Aston-Reese (1) Zach Werenski (34), Brendan Gaunce (4) · wrist xG 0.21 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 9:59 | Connor Clifton (1) Tommy Novak (16) · snap xG 0.11 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 17:52 | Rickard Rakell (7) Sidney Crosby (27) · snap xG 0.26 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 7:32 | Kirill Marchenko (18) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.11 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 17:38 | Danton Heinen (2) Erik Gudbranson (1), Egor Zamula (2) · tip-in xG 0.07 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:59 | Sidney Crosby (26) Kris Letang (22), Evgeni Malkin (25) · tip-in xG 0.08 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Rickard Rakell vs Elvis Merzlikins | No shot | ||
| Kent Johnson vs Arturs Silovs | Goal | ||
| Sidney Crosby vs Elvis Merzlikins | Saved | ||
| Adam Fantilli vs Arturs Silovs | Saved | ||
| Egor Chinakhov vs Elvis Merzlikins | Goal | ||
| Kirill Marchenko vs Arturs Silovs | Saved | ||
| Bryan Rust vs Elvis Merzlikins | Saved | ||
| Charlie Coyle vs Arturs Silovs | Goal | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CBJ | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 | Expected goals | 4.93 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.04 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.21 |
| 55 | Shot attempts | 79 |
| 39 | Unblocked attempts | 55 |
| 26 | Shots on goal | 33 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:00 | CBJ | No shift | No shift · Fabbro, 36:01 on the bench
No shift after 11:57 of the 1st; 6 shifts (4:34) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:25 | PIT | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Silovs, down 3–2
With 1:35 left; PIT scored at 18:59 of the 3rd (3–3) |
| Overtime | |||
| 0:50 | PIT | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.95–0.32
In xG over 10 minutes, 11:00 of the 3rd to 1:00 of overtime; goals 1–0 |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Boone Jenner | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.70 | 2 | 1 | 21:17 |
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.30 | 2 | 2 | 20:46 |
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 20:30 |
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.30 | 0 | 2 | 18:38 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 18:31 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 17:59 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 15:37 |
| 24 | Mathieu Olivier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 14:40 |
| 58 | Danton Heinen | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 10:33 |
| 50 | Brendan Gaunce | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 09:25 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.08 | 2 | 0 | 08:57 |
| 21 | Zachary Aston-Reese | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.22 | 5 | 1 | 07:32 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 29:18 |
| 78 | Damon Severson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.28 | 0 | 6 | 28:06 |
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.16 | 0 | 2 | 27:07 |
| 44 | Erik Gudbranson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 19:50 |
| 6 | Egor Zamula | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:40 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 04:34 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | 33 | 3 | 30 | .909 | 4.93 | +1.93 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 87 | Sidney Crosby | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 9 | 0.90 | 2 | 0 | 21:57 |
| 67 | Rickard Rakell | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 9 | 0.58 | 1 | 0 | 21:55 |
| 17 | Bryan Rust | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 10 | 0.58 | 2 | 1 | 21:55 |
| 71 | Evgeni Malkin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 0.75 | 0 | 2 | 20:06 |
| 81 | Ben Kindel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.77 | 1 | 0 | 16:59 |
| 59 | Egor Chinakhov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 15:05 |
| 18 | Tommy Novak | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.45 | 0 | 1 | 14:24 |
| 39 | Anthony Mantha | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 13:14 |
| 16 | Justin Brazeau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 12:13 |
| 19 | Connor Dewar | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:50 |
| 52 | Noel Acciari | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 11:12 |
| 46 | Blake Lizotte | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 10:09 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 58 | Kris Letang | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 25:55 |
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.15 | 0 | 2 | 21:54 |
| 6 | Ryan Shea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 19:41 |
| 75 | Connor Clifton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.23 | 5 | 0 | 18:13 |
| 29 | Parker Wotherspoon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 16:46 |
| 6 | Jack St. Ivany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 16:06 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | 26 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 2.80 | -0.20 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Elvis Merzlikins G | +1.93 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.93 | 65:00 |
| 43 Danton Heinen L | +1.78 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 10:33 |
| 78 Damon Severson D | +1.28 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.28 | — | 28:06 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +1.27 | +0.75 | +0.20 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 18:38 |
| 27 Zachary Aston-Reese L | +1.17 | +0.75 | +0.14 | +0.37 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 7:32 |
| 6 Egor Zamula D | +0.95 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:40 |
| 16 Brendan Gaunce C | +0.94 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.38 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.01 | — | 9:25 |
| 44 Erik Gudbranson D | +0.60 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 19:50 |
| 24 Mathieu Olivier R | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:40 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | +0.23 | +0.70 | +0.09 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 29:18 |
| 38 Boone Jenner C | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.45 | -0.64 | +0.30 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 21:17 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.03 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 20:46 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.03 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 27:07 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.02 | — | 20:30 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 15:37 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.01 | — | 17:59 |
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:57 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 4:34 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | -0.56 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 18:31 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87 Sidney Crosby C | +2.77 | +1.45 | +0.59 | +0.60 | 0.00 | +0.13 | 0.00 | — | 21:57 |
| 71 Evgeni Malkin C | +2.03 | +0.55 | +0.49 | +0.94 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.06 | — | 20:06 |
| 67 Rickard Rakell R | +1.52 | +0.75 | +0.38 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:55 |
| 18 Tommy Novak C | +1.50 | +0.70 | +0.29 | +0.45 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 14:24 |
| 75 Connor Clifton D | +1.11 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:13 |
| 58 Kris Letang D | +0.81 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 25:55 |
| 17 Bryan Rust R | +0.60 | 0.00 | +0.38 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:55 |
| 81 Ben Kindel C | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.50 | -0.44 | +0.30 | -0.07 | 0.00 | — | 16:59 |
| 28 Parker Wotherspoon D | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 16:46 |
| 5 Ryan Shea D | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 19:41 |
| 59 Egor Chinakhov R | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:05 |
| 3 Jack St. Ivany D | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:06 |
| 16 Justin Brazeau R | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:13 |
| 39 Anthony Mantha R | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 13:14 |
| 37 Arturs Silovs G | -0.20 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.20 | 64:26 |
| 77 Brett Kulak D | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.26 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 21:54 |
| 55 Noel Acciari C | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.05 | — | 11:12 |
| 19 Connor Dewar C | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:50 |
| 46 Blake Lizotte C | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.67 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 10:09 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.