| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 26 |
 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:00 | |
Oskar Bäck (4) Nils Lundkvist (4), Mavrik Bourque (9) · snap xG 0.67 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 8:04 | |
Dominic James (4) Jake Guentzel (28), Charle-Edouard D'Astous (14) · snap xG 0.15 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 11:04 | |
Brandon Hagel (23) Nikita Kucherov (46), Darren Raddysh (30) · wrist xG 0.09 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 18:50 | |
Jake Guentzel (21) Dominic James (6), Oliver Bjorkstrand (16) · backhand xG 0.37 | 3–1 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:59 | |
Pontus Holmberg (8)EN Yanni Gourde (12), J.J. Moser (11) · snap xG 0.53 | 4–1 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| TBL | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.07 | Expected goals | 2.88 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 2.53 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.95 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 42 |
| 41 | Unblocked attempts | 26 |
| 26 | Shots on goal | 20 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:05 | DAL | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Oettinger, down 3–1
With 3:55 left |
| 17:27 | DAL | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Oettinger, down 3–1
With 2:33 left; TBL scored at 17:59 of the 3rd (4–1) |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 38 | Brandon Hagel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.53 | 0 | 0 | 18:03 |
| 59 | Jake Guentzel | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 0.67 | 0 | 1 | 17:56 |
| 37 | Yanni Gourde | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 |
| 86 | Nikita Kucherov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.73 | 0 | 2 | 16:48 |
| 71 | Anthony Cirelli | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.31 | 2 | 0 | 15:58 |
| 29 | Pontus Holmberg | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.56 | 0 | 1 | 14:43 |
| 20 | Nick Paul | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:39 |
| 28 | Oliver Bjorkstrand | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 2 | 0 | 14:19 |
| 28 | Zemgus Girgensons | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 3 | 0 | 14:05 |
| 37 | Jack Finley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 11:34 |
| 93 | Gage Goncalves | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 11:20 |
| 17 | Dominic James | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.35 | 2 | 1 | 11:14 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Darren Raddysh | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 0.15 | 2 | 2 | 22:27 |
| 51 | Charle-Edouard D'Astous | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.27 | 1 | 1 | 22:20 |
| 90 | J.J. Moser | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 21:24 |
| 24 | Max Crozier | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 20:16 |
| 81 | Erik Cernak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 16:57 |
| 72 | Declan Carlile | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 13:06 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | 20 | 1 | 19 | .950 | 2.88 | +1.88 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 21 | Jason Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 | 19:57 |
| 96 | Mikko Rantanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 | 18:46 |
| 53 | Wyatt Johnston | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.61 | 0 | 2 | 18:33 |
| 95 | Matt Duchene | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 18:13 |
| 24 | Roope Hintz | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.32 | 2 | 1 | 17:57 |
| 18 | Sam Steel | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 17:00 |
| 12 | Radek Faksa | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.05 | 5 | 0 | 13:20 |
| 22 | Mavrik Bourque | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.12 | 3 | 0 | 11:57 |
| 14 | Jamie Benn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 11:43 |
| 15 | Colin Blackwell | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 11:40 |
| 49 | Justin Hryckowian | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 11:15 |
| 10 | Oskar Bäck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 | 10:52 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 4 | Miro Heiskanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.09 | 1 | 2 | 23:48 |
| 55 | Thomas Harley | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 23:25 |
| 23 | Esa Lindell | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 23:17 |
| 5 | Nils Lundkvist | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 17:26 |
| 46 | Ilya Lyubushkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 14:12 |
| 20 | Kyle Capobianco | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 12:23 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Oettinger | 25 | 3 | 22 | .880 | 2.97 | -0.03 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 Jake Guentzel C | +3.46 | +1.45 | +0.43 | +1.64 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.01 | — | 17:56 |
| 17 Dominic James C | +2.80 | +1.45 | +0.23 | +1.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 11:14 |
| 88 Andrei Vasilevskiy G | +1.88 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.88 | 60:00 |
| 51 Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | +1.73 | +0.55 | +0.17 | +0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 22:20 |
| 86 Nikita Kucherov R | +1.42 | +0.70 | +0.48 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 16:48 |
| 38 Brandon Hagel L | +1.17 | +0.75 | +0.35 | -0.08 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:03 |
| 29 Pontus Holmberg R | +1.14 | +0.75 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:43 |
| 67 Declan Carlile D | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:06 |
| 24 Max Crozier D | +0.88 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 20:16 |
| 93 Gage Goncalves C | +0.79 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:20 |
| 37 Yanni Gourde C | +0.76 | +0.70 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.02 | — | 16:51 |
| 22 Oliver Bjorkstrand R | +0.66 | +0.55 | +0.12 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 14:19 |
| 71 Anthony Cirelli C | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.32 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 15:58 |
| 43 Darren Raddysh D | +0.33 | +0.55 | +0.10 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:27 |
| 81 Erik Cernak D | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.50 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:57 |
| 28 Zemgus Girgensons C | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:05 |
| 90 J.J. Moser D | -0.06 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.89 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 21:24 |
| 62 Jack Finley C | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 11:34 |
| 20 Nick Paul L | -0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.85 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 14:39 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oskar Bäck C | +1.81 | +0.75 | +0.44 | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 10:52 |
| 22 Mavrik Bourque C | +1.48 | +0.55 | +0.08 | +0.92 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 11:57 |
| 55 Thomas Harley D | +1.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 23:25 |
| 49 Justin Hryckowian C | +1.16 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 11:15 |
| 5 Nils Lundkvist D | +1.11 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:26 |
| 46 Ilya Lyubushkin D | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:12 |
| 96 Mikko Rantanen R | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.12 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:46 |
| 29 Jake Oettinger G | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.03 | 58:16 |
| 53 Wyatt Johnston C | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.40 | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:33 |
| 24 Roope Hintz C | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.53 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.03 | — | 17:57 |
| 18 Sam Steel C | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 17:00 |
| 14 Jamie Benn L | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 11:43 |
| 12 Radek Faksa C | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.72 | +0.15 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 13:20 |
| 15 Colin Blackwell C | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.52 | -0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 11:40 |
| 20 Kyle Capobianco D | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:23 |
| 21 Jason Robertson L | -0.75 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -0.83 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:57 |
| 95 Matt Duchene C | -1.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:13 |
| 23 Esa Lindell D | -1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 23:17 |
| 4 Miro Heiskanen D | -1.35 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -1.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 23:48 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.