| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 34 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:26 | Drake Batherson (19) Fabian Zetterlund (10), Thomas Chabot (12) · snap xG 0.08 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 5:05 | Dylan Cozens (15)PP Brady Tkachuk (17), Drake Batherson (25) · backhand xG 0.17 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 7:16 | Axel Sandin-Pellikka (6)PP Patrick Kane (21), Andrew Copp (21) · wrist xG 0.04 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:06 | Lucas Raymond (15) Marco Kasper (5), Ben Chiarot (7) · snap xG 0.06 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 16:53 | James van Riemsdyk (13)PP Dylan Larkin (20), Alex DeBrincat (26) · between-legs xG 0.72 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 19:05 | Shane Pinto (14)PP Claude Giroux (25), David Perron (15) · tip-in xG 0.19 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Overtime | |||
| 0:36 | Alex DeBrincat (26) Andrew Copp (22) · snap xG 0.15 | 3–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| OTT | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.88 | Expected goals | 3.76 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 2.11 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.26 |
| 50 | Shot attempts | 67 |
| 38 | Unblocked attempts | 56 |
| 22 | Shots on goal | 34 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:53 | DET | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · DET takes the lead, 67–33%
OTT had led since 4:25 of the 1st, by as much as 72% |
| 17:00 | DET | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced OTT 1.75–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 7:40 to 17:40 of the 2nd; goals 1–0 |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Ridly Greig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.23 | 1 | 0 | 19:57 |
| 18 | Tim Stützle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 18:24 |
| 12 | Shane Pinto | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.19 | 1 | 1 | 17:55 |
| 28 | Claude Giroux | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.20 | 3 | 1 | 16:50 |
| 8 | Brady Tkachuk | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.32 | 1 | 0 | 16:42 |
| 24 | Dylan Cozens | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.64 | 1 | 0 | 16:23 |
| 19 | Drake Batherson | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 14:37 |
| 20 | Fabian Zetterlund | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.41 | 2 | 0 | 13:46 |
| 22 | Michael Amadio | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 11:51 |
| 16 | David Perron | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 11:11 |
| 21 | Nick Cousins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 09:20 |
| 20 | Lars Eller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 09:17 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 85 | Jake Sanderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.20 | 0 | 2 | 26:06 |
| 2 | Artem Zub | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 22:26 |
| 72 | Thomas Chabot | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.13 | 2 | 3 | 19:42 |
| 4 | Nick Jensen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 17:38 |
| 43 | Tyler Kleven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 16:44 |
| 10 | Jordan Spence | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 14:57 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Reimer | 34 | 4 | 30 | .882 | 3.76 | -0.24 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 93 | Alex DeBrincat | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 12 | 0.55 | 1 | 1 | 23:14 |
| 88 | Patrick Kane | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 21:03 |
| 18 | Andrew Copp | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.49 | 1 | 0 | 19:51 |
| 71 | Dylan Larkin | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.47 | 2 | 0 | 19:24 |
| 21 | James van Riemsdyk | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.99 | 0 | 0 | 15:19 |
| 23 | Lucas Raymond | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 14:21 |
| 92 | Marco Kasper | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 3 | 1 | 13:42 |
| 37 | J.T. Compher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 12:44 |
| 22 | Mason Appleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 12:14 |
| 27 | Michael Rasmussen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 11:58 |
| 25 | Elmer Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.16 | 5 | 0 | 11:38 |
| 58 | Emmitt Finnie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 11:26 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Ben Chiarot | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 22:39 |
| 53 | Moritz Seider | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 22:36 |
| 77 | Simon Edvinsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 21:58 |
| 20 | Albert Johansson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 3 | 2 | 17:33 |
| 44 | Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 14:02 |
| 25 | Jacob Bernard-Docker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 2 | 3 | 13:22 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | 22 | 3 | 19 | .864 | 2.88 | -0.12 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Drake Batherson R | +2.01 | +1.30 | +0.13 | +0.59 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:37 |
| 24 Dylan Cozens C | +1.92 | +0.75 | +0.41 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.02 | — | 16:23 |
| 7 Brady Tkachuk L | +1.55 | +0.70 | +0.21 | +0.81 | -0.20 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 16:42 |
| 20 Fabian Zetterlund L | +1.48 | +0.70 | +0.26 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:46 |
| 72 Thomas Chabot D | +1.43 | +0.55 | +0.09 | +0.54 | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 19:42 |
| 71 Ridly Greig C | +1.17 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +1.05 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 19:57 |
| 28 Claude Giroux R | +0.97 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 16:50 |
| 12 Shane Pinto C | +0.84 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -0.08 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.07 | — | 17:55 |
| 85 Jake Sanderson D | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 26:06 |
| 18 Tim Stützle C | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 18:24 |
| 2 Artem Zub D | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 22:26 |
| 3 Nick Jensen D | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 17:38 |
| 10 Jordan Spence D | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:57 |
| 43 Tyler Kleven D | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:44 |
| 89 Lars Eller C | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.30 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 9:17 |
| 57 David Perron L | -0.10 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.50 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:11 |
| 47 James Reimer G | -0.24 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.24 | 60:08 |
| 22 Michael Amadio R | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:51 |
| 21 Nick Cousins C | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.31 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 9:20 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93 Alex DeBrincat R | +1.19 | +1.30 | +0.36 | -0.53 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 23:14 |
| 18 Andrew Copp C | +0.86 | +1.25 | +0.32 | -0.46 | -0.15 | -0.06 | -0.04 | — | 19:51 |
| 92 Marco Kasper C | +0.83 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.07 | — | 13:42 |
| 21 James van Riemsdyk L | +0.82 | +0.75 | +0.64 | -0.52 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 15:19 |
| 44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | +0.53 | +0.75 | +0.05 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:02 |
| 22 Mason Appleton C | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.29 | +0.05 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:14 |
| 58 Emmitt Finnie C | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.01 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:26 |
| 85 Elmer Soderblom L | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.34 | -0.10 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 11:38 |
| 27 Michael Rasmussen C | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.31 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 11:58 |
| 20 Albert Johansson D | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:33 |
| 71 Dylan Larkin C | +0.18 | +0.70 | +0.31 | -0.82 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 19:24 |
| 37 J.T. Compher L | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 12:44 |
| 88 Patrick Kane R | +0.13 | +0.70 | +0.03 | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:03 |
| 25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 13:22 |
| 23 Lucas Raymond L | +0.09 | +0.75 | +0.05 | -0.84 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:21 |
| 8 Ben Chiarot D | +0.05 | +0.55 | +0.02 | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:39 |
| 53 Moritz Seider D | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 22:36 |
| 36 John Gibson G | -0.12 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.12 | 59:57 |
| 77 Simon Edvinsson D | -0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:58 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.