Ottawa SenatorsOTT 3–4 Final/OT Detroit Red WingsDET

Sunday, January 18, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Ottawa SenatorsOTT 2100 3 22
Detroit Red WingsDET 1201 4 34

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
4:26 OTT Drake Batherson (19) Fabian Zetterlund (10), Thomas Chabot (12) · snap xG 0.08 1–0 ▶
5:05 OTT Dylan Cozens (15)PP Brady Tkachuk (17), Drake Batherson (25) · backhand xG 0.17 2–0 ▶
7:16 DET Axel Sandin-Pellikka (6)PP Patrick Kane (21), Andrew Copp (21) · wrist xG 0.04 2–1 ▶
2nd Period
6:06 DET Lucas Raymond (15) Marco Kasper (5), Ben Chiarot (7) · snap xG 0.06 2–2 ▶
16:53 DET James van Riemsdyk (13)PP Dylan Larkin (20), Alex DeBrincat (26) · between-legs xG 0.72 2–3 ▶
19:05 OTT Shane Pinto (14)PP Claude Giroux (25), David Perron (15) · tip-in xG 0.19 3–3 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring
Overtime
0:36 DET Alex DeBrincat (26) Andrew Copp (22) · snap xG 0.15 3–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

OTT 35%Deserve to win65% DET
OTTDET
2.88Expected goals3.76
3Goals (no shootout)4
2.11Expected goals, 5 on 51.26
50Shot attempts67
38Unblocked attempts56
22Shots on goal34

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
16:53 DET Deserve to win Deserve to win · DET takes the lead, 67–33%
OTT had led since 4:25 of the 1st, by as much as 72%
17:00 DET xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced OTT 1.75–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 7:40 to 17:40 of the 2nd; goals 1–0

Shot map

OTT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DET shoots
James van Riemsdyk: tip-in, 100 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:43) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:22) Patrick Kane: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:45) Jordan Spence: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:54) Michael Rasmussen: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:18) Mason Appleton: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:22) Thomas Chabot: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:40) Thomas Chabot: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 4:23) Fabian Zetterlund: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.28 (P1 4:25) James van Riemsdyk: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 6:17) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:35) Andrew Copp: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 6:58) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:05) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:19) James van Riemsdyk: wrist, 3 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 8:20) J.T. Compher: backhand, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:38) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:57) Ridly Greig: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 10:10) Drake Batherson: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 11:18) Claude Giroux: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:27) Patrick Kane: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:55) Albert Johansson: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:14) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 13:47) Claude Giroux: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 14:41) Albert Johansson: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:00) Jake Sanderson: wrist, 156 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:26) Fabian Zetterlund: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:34) Artem Zub: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:38) Nick Cousins: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:51) Drake Batherson: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:58) Jake Sanderson: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 17:30) Claude Giroux: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:00) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:18) Ridly Greig: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:11) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:31) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:12) Patrick Kane: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:21) Jacob Bernard-Docker: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 1:30) Marco Kasper: slap, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:11) Mason Appleton: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:23) Artem Zub: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:48) James van Riemsdyk: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:03) Brady Tkachuk: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 4:37) Dylan Cozens: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 4:42) Moritz Seider: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:54) Lars Eller: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:34) Artem Zub: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 7:21) Fabian Zetterlund: tip-in, 88 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:38) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:35) Emmitt Finnie: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:37) Dylan Larkin: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:55) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:56) Dylan Larkin: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:57) Andrew Copp: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.28 (P2 11:33) Alex DeBrincat: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:44) Andrew Copp: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:55) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:02) Marco Kasper: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:55) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:04) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:32) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 16:48) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 16:50) Tim Stützle: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 17:50) Claude Giroux: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:16) Andrew Copp: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:28) Tim Stützle: wrist, 184 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:12) Alex DeBrincat: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:42) J.T. Compher: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 2:08) Lucas Raymond: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:12) Mason Appleton: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 3:08) Mason Appleton: tip-in, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:13) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 4:31) Ridly Greig: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:56) J.T. Compher: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:21) Fabian Zetterlund: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:04) Elmer Soderblom: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:25) J.T. Compher: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:43) Elmer Soderblom: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 10:18) Lars Eller: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:29) Emmitt Finnie: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:40) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 12:05) Jordan Spence: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:24) Moritz Seider: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:08) Fabian Zetterlund: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:52) Albert Johansson: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:02) Alex DeBrincat: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:58) Jake Sanderson: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 0:07) Drake Batherson: GOAL, snap, 19 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:26) Dylan Cozens: GOAL, backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 5:05) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: GOAL, wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:16) Lucas Raymond: GOAL, snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:06) James van Riemsdyk: GOAL, between-legs, 3 ft, xG 0.72 (P2 16:53) Shane Pinto: GOAL, tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 19:05) Alex DeBrincat: GOAL, snap, 32 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 0:36)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
71 Ridly Greig 000 0 40.23 1019:57
18 Tim Stützle 000 0 20.12 0018:24
12 Shane Pinto 101 -1 30.19 1117:55
28 Claude Giroux 011 0 50.20 3116:50
8 Brady Tkachuk 011 -1 30.32 1016:42
24 Dylan Cozens 101 0 60.64 1016:23
19 Drake Batherson 112 +1 40.20 1014:37
20 Fabian Zetterlund 011 +1 50.41 2013:46
22 Michael Amadio 000 -1 10.00 4011:51
16 David Perron 011 -1 00.00 2011:11
21 Nick Cousins 000 0 10.01 2009:20
20 Lars Eller 000 0 20.11 0009:17
Defense
85 Jake Sanderson 000 -2 40.20 0226:06
2 Artem Zub 000 0 40.10 0122:26
72 Thomas Chabot 011 +1 30.13 2319:42
4 Nick Jensen 000 0 10.00 2017:38
43 Tyler Kleven 000 0 00.00 2216:44
10 Jordan Spence 000 0 20.02 0014:57
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
James Reimer 34430 .882 3.76 -0.24

Detroit Red Wings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Alex DeBrincat 112 +1 120.55 1123:14
88 Patrick Kane 011 0 30.04 0121:03
18 Andrew Copp 022 +1 40.49 1019:51
71 Dylan Larkin 011 0 60.47 2019:24
21 James van Riemsdyk 101 -1 60.99 0015:19
23 Lucas Raymond 101 0 40.08 1014:21
92 Marco Kasper 011 +1 20.04 3113:42
37 J.T. Compher 000 0 50.31 0012:44
22 Mason Appleton 000 0 40.24 1012:14
27 Michael Rasmussen 000 0 10.02 0011:58
25 Elmer Soderblom 000 0 40.16 5011:38
58 Emmitt Finnie 000 0 20.08 0011:26
Defense
8 Ben Chiarot 011 0 40.03 0122:39
53 Moritz Seider 000 +1 30.04 0022:36
77 Simon Edvinsson 000 -1 10.00 0121:58
20 Albert Johansson 000 0 30.06 3217:33
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka 101 +1 20.08 0114:02
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker 000 0 10.07 2313:22
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
John Gibson 22319 .864 2.88 -0.12

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Ottawa Senators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
19 Drake Batherson R +2.01 +1.30 +0.13 +0.59 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 14:37
24 Dylan Cozens C +1.92 +0.75 +0.41 +0.70 0.00 +0.07 -0.02 — 16:23
7 Brady Tkachuk L +1.55 +0.70 +0.21 +0.81 -0.20 +0.04 0.00 — 16:42
20 Fabian Zetterlund L +1.48 +0.70 +0.26 +0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:46
72 Thomas Chabot D +1.43 +0.55 +0.09 +0.54 +0.10 0.00 +0.15 — 19:42
71 Ridly Greig C +1.17 0.00 +0.15 +1.05 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 19:57
28 Claude Giroux R +0.97 +0.70 +0.13 +0.06 0.00 +0.04 +0.03 — 16:50
12 Shane Pinto C +0.84 +0.75 +0.12 -0.08 0.00 -0.02 +0.07 — 17:55
85 Jake Sanderson D +0.64 0.00 +0.13 +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 26:06
18 Tim Stützle C +0.64 0.00 +0.08 +0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 18:24
2 Artem Zub D +0.48 0.00 +0.06 +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 22:26
3 Nick Jensen D +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:38
10 Jordan Spence D +0.23 0.00 +0.01 +0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:57
43 Tyler Kleven D +0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 16:44
89 Lars Eller C -0.09 0.00 +0.07 -0.30 +0.15 +0.01 -0.02 — 9:17
57 David Perron L -0.10 +0.55 0.00 -0.50 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 11:11
47 James Reimer G -0.24 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.24 60:08
22 Michael Amadio R -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:51
21 Nick Cousins C -0.43 0.00 +0.01 -0.31 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 9:20

Detroit Red Wings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
93 Alex DeBrincat R +1.19 +1.30 +0.36 -0.53 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 23:14
18 Andrew Copp C +0.86 +1.25 +0.32 -0.46 -0.15 -0.06 -0.04 — 19:51
92 Marco Kasper C +0.83 +0.70 +0.03 +0.02 0.00 +0.01 +0.07 — 13:42
21 James van Riemsdyk L +0.82 +0.75 +0.64 -0.52 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 15:19
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D +0.53 +0.75 +0.05 -0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:02
22 Mason Appleton C +0.49 0.00 +0.16 +0.29 +0.05 -0.01 0.00 — 12:14
58 Emmitt Finnie C +0.37 0.00 +0.05 +0.01 +0.30 0.00 0.00 — 11:26
85 Elmer Soderblom L +0.30 0.00 +0.10 +0.34 -0.10 0.00 -0.04 — 11:38
27 Michael Rasmussen C +0.29 0.00 +0.01 +0.31 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 11:58
20 Albert Johansson D +0.20 0.00 +0.04 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 17:33
71 Dylan Larkin C +0.18 +0.70 +0.31 -0.82 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 19:24
37 J.T. Compher L +0.15 0.00 +0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 12:44
88 Patrick Kane R +0.13 +0.70 +0.03 -0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:03
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D +0.12 0.00 +0.05 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 13:22
23 Lucas Raymond L +0.09 +0.75 +0.05 -0.84 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 14:21
8 Ben Chiarot D +0.05 +0.55 +0.02 -0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:39
53 Moritz Seider D -0.08 0.00 +0.03 -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 22:36
36 John Gibson G -0.12 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.12 59:57
77 Simon Edvinsson D -0.92 0.00 0.00 -0.95 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:58

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.