hockeystats.io

St. Louis BluesSTL 0–5 Final Edmonton OilersEDM

Sunday, January 18, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
St. Louis BluesSTL 000 0 27
Edmonton OilersEDM 311 5 28

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
5:55 EDM Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (12)PP Evan Bouchard (37), Jake Walman (9) · wrist xG 0.11 0–1 ▶
11:52 EDM Andrew Mangiapane (6) Curtis Lazar (2) · wrist xG 0.14 0–2 ▶
18:43 EDM Zach Hyman (18) Mattias Ekholm (17), Vasily Podkolzin (11) · tip-in xG 0.25 0–3 ▶
2nd Period
10:52 EDM Zach Hyman (19) Connor McDavid (54), Mattias Ekholm (18) · wrist xG 0.11 0–4 ▶
3rd Period
1:19 EDM Vasily Podkolzin (12) Connor McDavid (55), Zach Hyman (12) · snap xG 0.33 0–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

STL 46%Deserve to win54% EDM
STLEDM
3.02Expected goals3.26
0Goals (no shootout)5
2.21Expected goals, 5 on 52.71
66Shot attempts44
44Unblocked attempts38
27Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
19:14 EDM Deserve to win Deserve to win · EDM takes the lead, 60–40%
STL had led since 6:54 of the 1st, by as much as 60%
2nd Period
8:20 EDM No shift No shift · Kapanen, 38:43 on the bench
No shift after 16:14 of the 1st; 5 shifts (2:53) before that
10:52 STL Goalie Goalie · Binnington −2.2 goals saved
4 goals on 1.82 xG, 16 shots on goal
16:46 EDM Goalie Goalie · Ingram +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.10 xG, 16 shots on goal
3rd Period
18:00 STL Shortened bench Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Sundqvist and Holloway: last shifts between 7:58 and 8:52 of the 3rd

Shot map

STL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ EDM shoots
Cam Fowler: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 0:26) Zach Hyman: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 0:44) Connor McDavid: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 0:59) Vasily Podkolzin: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:09) Nathan Walker: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 1:20) Justin Faulk: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:42) Jimmy Snuggerud: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 2:21) Nick Bjugstad: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:54) Otto Stenberg: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:39) Brayden Schenn: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 6:22) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 176 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:27) Oskar Sundqvist: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:43) Pavel Buchnevich: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 6:54) Connor McDavid: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:24) Brayden Schenn: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:34) Kasperi Kapanen: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:35) Connor McDavid: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:35) Jimmy Snuggerud: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:18) Curtis Lazar: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:50) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 13:37) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:38) Alexey Toropchenko: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:47) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:40) Colton Parayko: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:08) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 17:35) Jack Roslovic: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 19:14) Jimmy Snuggerud: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 1:19) Justin Faulk: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 2:04) Alexey Toropchenko: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 2:26) Jimmy Snuggerud: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:27) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:52) Dalibor Dvorsky: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 4:54) Jake Walman: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 5:12) Evan Bouchard: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:01) Trent Frederic: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:00) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:04) Nick Bjugstad: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:23) Evan Bouchard: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:49) Zach Hyman: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:51) Nick Bjugstad: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 11:17) Tyler Tucker: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:31) Colton Parayko: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:34) Philip Broberg: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:37) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:38) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:08) Isaac Howard: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 15:44) Isaac Howard: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 16:25) Nick Bjugstad: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 16:46) Colton Parayko: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:45) Dylan Holloway: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:21) Connor McDavid: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 18:40) Justin Faulk: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 19:58) Zach Hyman: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 0:56) Vasily Podkolzin: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:57) Jimmy Snuggerud: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:42) Dylan Holloway: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:46) Evan Bouchard: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:34) Nick Bjugstad: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:16) Tyler Tucker: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:55) Isaac Howard: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 6:08) Evan Bouchard: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:26) Otto Stenberg: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 7:17) Nick Bjugstad: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 7:27) Nathan Walker: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:28) Colton Parayko: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:42) Mattias Janmark: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:35) Jimmy Snuggerud: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:44) Jack Roslovic: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 10:00) Jake Walman: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:21) Jake Walman: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:23) Mattias Ekholm: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:35) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:40) Otto Stenberg: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:27) Pavel Buchnevich: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 14:18) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:36) Darnell Nurse: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:01) Philip Broberg: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:02) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: GOAL, wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 5:55) Andrew Mangiapane: GOAL, wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 11:52) Zach Hyman: GOAL, tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.25 (P1 18:43) Zach Hyman: GOAL, wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 10:52) Vasily Podkolzin: GOAL, snap, 7 ft, xG 0.33 (P3 1:19)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
10 Brayden Schenn 000 -1 50.22 1117:56
21 Jimmy Snuggerud 000 -1 70.48 1017:37
63 Jake Neighbours 000 -1 10.00 2017:36
89 Pavel Buchnevich 000 -2 60.22 0016:35
25 Jordan Kyrou 000 -1 20.00 0015:51
15 Dalibor Dvorsky 000 -1 30.26 0015:12
28 Otto Stenberg 000 -1 60.25 1014:49
72 Nick Bjugstad 000 -2 70.55 2214:40
13 Alexey Toropchenko 000 0 20.24 1013:20
26 Nathan Walker 000 0 20.11 4013:15
81 Dylan Holloway 000 -2 40.11 0112:45
70 Oskar Sundqvist 000 0 10.03 1012:27
Defense
6 Philip Broberg 000 -2 20.06 0025:27
72 Justin Faulk 000 0 60.26 0020:43
55 Colton Parayko 000 -3 60.12 1119:52
17 Cam Fowler 000 -1 20.07 0117:49
23 Logan Mailloux 000 -1 10.00 4015:35
75 Tyler Tucker 000 -1 30.04 2013:54
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jordan Binnington 28523 .821 3.26 -1.74

Edmonton Oilers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Connor McDavid 022 +3 50.33 0022:42
22 Matt Savoie 000 0 00.00 0118:18
18 Zach Hyman 213 +3 70.61 0117:59
13 Mattias Janmark 000 +1 10.01 0016:46
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 101 0 60.38 0016:20
96 Jack Roslovic 000 0 20.25 0016:14
53 Isaac Howard 000 0 30.43 0114:48
92 Vasily Podkolzin 112 +3 40.41 2014:05
10 Trent Frederic 000 0 20.02 6111:14
26 Andrew Mangiapane 101 +1 10.14 1110:19
20 Curtis Lazar 011 +1 10.02 2109:31
42 Kasperi Kapanen 000 0 10.07 0002:53
Defense
25 Darnell Nurse 000 0 30.02 1323:04
2 Evan Bouchard 011 +3 40.26 1121:05
49 Ty Emberson 000 0 00.00 0420:52
14 Mattias Ekholm 022 +3 10.02 1119:02
96 Jake Walman 011 +1 30.28 0218:54
24 Spencer Stastney 000 +1 00.00 1417:54
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Ingram 27027 1.000 3.02 +3.02

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
72 Justin Faulk D +0.54 0.00 +0.17 +0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:43
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R +0.40 0.00 +0.31 +0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:37
13 Alexey Toropchenko R +0.25 0.00 +0.16 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 13:20
63 Jake Neighbours L +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.04 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 17:36
23 Logan Mailloux D +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:35
77 Nick Bjugstad C +0.11 0.00 +0.36 -0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 14:40
26 Nathan Walker L +0.06 0.00 +0.07 +0.13 -0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 13:15
10 Brayden Schenn C +0.05 0.00 +0.15 -0.03 -0.15 +0.05 +0.03 — 17:56
17 Cam Fowler D -0.12 0.00 +0.04 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:49
28 Otto Stenberg C -0.17 0.00 +0.17 -0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:49
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R -0.34 0.00 +0.17 -0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:12
75 Tyler Tucker D -0.40 0.00 +0.02 -0.27 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:54
70 Oskar Sundqvist C -0.41 0.00 +0.02 -0.38 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 12:27
25 Jordan Kyrou R -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:51
6 Philip Broberg D -0.59 0.00 +0.04 -0.72 +0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 25:27
89 Pavel Buchnevich L -0.66 0.00 +0.15 -0.79 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 16:35
81 Dylan Holloway L -0.83 0.00 +0.07 -0.94 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:45
55 Colton Parayko D -1.54 0.00 +0.08 -1.67 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:52
50 Jordan Binnington G -1.74 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.74 60:00

Edmonton Oilers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
18 Zach Hyman L +3.89 +2.05 +0.40 +1.22 +0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 17:59
14 Mattias Ekholm D +3.14 +1.25 +0.02 +2.00 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 19:02
39 Connor Ingram G +3.02 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +3.02 60:00
92 Vasily Podkolzin R +3.02 +1.30 +0.27 +1.18 +0.30 -0.03 0.00 — 14:05
2 Evan Bouchard D +2.95 +0.70 +0.17 +2.36 -0.30 0.00 +0.01 — 21:05
97 Connor McDavid C +2.62 +1.40 +0.22 +1.06 0.00 -0.02 -0.04 — 22:42
88 Andrew Mangiapane L +1.29 +0.75 +0.09 +0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:19
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C +1.06 +0.75 +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.05 +0.02 — 16:20
20 Curtis Lazar C +0.69 +0.70 +0.01 -0.10 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 9:31
13 Mattias Janmark C +0.58 0.00 +0.01 +0.59 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 16:46
96 Jake Walman D +0.51 +0.55 +0.18 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 18:54
53 Isaac Howard L +0.19 0.00 +0.28 -0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:48
10 Trent Frederic C -0.01 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 11:14
42 Kasperi Kapanen R -0.01 0.00 +0.05 -0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 2:53
28 Jack Roslovic C -0.07 0.00 +0.16 -0.18 0.00 -0.04 -0.02 — 16:14
22 Matt Savoie C -0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.35 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 18:18
25 Darnell Nurse D -0.35 0.00 +0.01 -0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 23:04
24 Spencer Stastney D -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.16 — 17:54
49 Ty Emberson D -0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.77 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 20:52

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.