| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 32 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:44 | Parker Wotherspoon (3) Blake Lizotte (6), Anthony Mantha (17) · slap xG 0.03 | 1–0 | |
| 7:50 | Connor Dewar (10)SH Unassisted · wrist xG 0.22 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 16:12 | Ben Meyers (5) Jaden Schwartz (8), Ryan Winterton (8) · wrist xG 0.09 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 13:55 | Ryan Lindgren (2) Ryan Winterton (9), Ben Meyers (5) · snap xG 0.38 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 14:45 | Brett Kulak (1) Sidney Crosby (28) · wrist xG 0.03 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:21 | Justin Brazeau (14) Anthony Mantha (18), Connor Clifton (1) · wrist xG 0.04 | 4–2 ▶ | |
| 7:47 | Eeli Tolvanen (10)PP Brandon Montour (12), Shane Wright (10) · slap xG 0.09 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 16:48 | Rickard Rakell (8) Sidney Crosby (29) · wrist xG 0.09 | 5–3 ▶ | |
| 19:30 | Connor Dewar (11)EN Blake Lizotte (7) · wrist xG 0.64 | 6–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| PIT | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.37 | Expected goals | 2.91 |
| 6 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.96 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.15 |
| 65 | Shot attempts | 48 |
| 49 | Unblocked attempts | 38 |
| 32 | Shots on goal | 23 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:55 | SEA | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · SEA takes the lead, 61–39%
PIT had led since 7:50 of the 1st, by as much as 63% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 16:48 | SEA | Goalie | Goalie · Daccord −2.3 goals saved
5 goals on 2.69 xG, 30 shots on goal |
| 17:55 | SEA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Daccord, down 5–3
With 2:05 left; PIT scored at 19:30 of the 3rd (6–3) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 17 | Bryan Rust | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 20:30 |
| 67 | Rickard Rakell | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.20 | 3 | 0 | 18:43 |
| 87 | Sidney Crosby | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 18:04 |
| 71 | Evgeni Malkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 16:39 |
| 59 | Egor Chinakhov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.31 | 1 | 0 | 15:46 |
| 81 | Ben Kindel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 14:23 |
| 39 | Anthony Mantha | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 13:47 |
| 18 | Tommy Novak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 13:16 |
| 52 | Noel Acciari | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 |
| 19 | Connor Dewar | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.89 | 2 | 1 | 12:26 |
| 46 | Blake Lizotte | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 11:58 |
| 16 | Justin Brazeau | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 11:28 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 58 | Kris Letang | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 21:58 |
| 29 | Parker Wotherspoon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 0 | 20:47 |
| 6 | Ryan Shea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.02 | 3 | 3 | 20:40 |
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 20:27 |
| 75 | Connor Clifton | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 15:31 |
| 27 | Ryan Graves | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 15:14 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | 23 | 3 | 20 | .870 | 2.91 | -0.09 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 21:20 |
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 20:03 |
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 2 | 0.16 | 1 | 2 | 18:30 |
| 19 | Jared McCann | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 15:52 |
| 89 | Frederick Gaudreau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 15:51 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 | 0.33 | 2 | 1 | 15:51 |
| 71 | Jaden Schwartz | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 14:48 |
| 84 | Kaapo Kakko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 1 | 13:33 |
| 59 | Ben Meyers | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.58 | 2 | 0 | 13:01 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 11:38 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 09:57 |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 09:25 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 62 | Brandon Montour | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 6 | 0.16 | 2 | 1 | 25:18 |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 22:48 |
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 5 | 0.12 | 2 | 2 | 22:12 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.46 | 1 | 0 | 15:48 |
| 41 | Ryker Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 15:44 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.11 | 4 | 2 | 14:13 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | 31 | 5 | 26 | .839 | 2.73 | -2.27 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Connor Dewar C | +2.20 | +1.50 | +0.58 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:26 |
| 87 Sidney Crosby C | +1.77 | +1.40 | +0.17 | +0.06 | +0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 18:04 |
| 46 Blake Lizotte C | +1.58 | +1.40 | +0.05 | +0.22 | -0.15 | +0.04 | +0.01 | — | 11:58 |
| 39 Anthony Mantha R | +0.97 | +1.25 | +0.17 | -0.56 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 13:47 |
| 77 Brett Kulak D | +0.97 | +0.75 | +0.04 | +0.46 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 20:27 |
| 75 Connor Clifton D | +0.95 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:31 |
| 67 Rickard Rakell R | +0.87 | +0.75 | +0.13 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:43 |
| 71 Evgeni Malkin C | +0.84 | 0.00 | +0.28 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:39 |
| 59 Egor Chinakhov R | +0.79 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:46 |
| 18 Tommy Novak C | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 13:16 |
| 55 Noel Acciari C | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.36 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 13:10 |
| 58 Kris Letang D | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:58 |
| 27 Ryan Graves D | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:14 |
| 16 Justin Brazeau R | +0.02 | +0.75 | +0.14 | -0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:28 |
| 28 Parker Wotherspoon D | +0.02 | +0.75 | +0.02 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:47 |
| 17 Bryan Rust R | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:30 |
| 74 Stuart Skinner G | -0.09 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.09 | 59:50 |
| 5 Ryan Shea D | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 20:40 |
| 81 Ben Kindel C | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.65 | +0.15 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 14:23 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 Ben Meyers C | +3.39 | +1.30 | +0.38 | +1.68 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.02 | — | 13:01 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | +2.81 | +1.25 | +0.05 | +1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:38 |
| 17 Jaden Schwartz L | +1.98 | +0.70 | +0.21 | +1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:48 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | +1.74 | +0.75 | +0.30 | +0.99 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:48 |
| 41 Ryker Evans D | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:44 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | +0.37 | +0.75 | +0.22 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:51 |
| 62 Brandon Montour D | +0.19 | +0.70 | +0.10 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 25:18 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | +0.10 | +0.55 | +0.05 | -0.45 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.01 | — | 9:57 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.23 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 14:13 |
| 27 Berkly Catton C | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 9:25 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.41 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 22:12 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:30 |
| 89 Frederick Gaudreau C | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 15:51 |
| 19 Jared McCann L | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:52 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 22:48 |
| 84 Kaapo Kakko R | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:33 |
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | -0.79 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:03 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | -1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.02 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.04 | — | 21:20 |
| 35 Joey Daccord G | -2.27 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.27 | 58:08 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.